BGM Blizzard Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 31.3° and overcast with mist. Untreated paved surfaces are just wet however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 15 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Synoptic snow is lame. It snowed for 12 hours and we got 2". We will see 2-3" per hour in LES bands later this week. I want 6” an hour. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Hoping to get to 5 inches officially for snow stats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 About 1 inch is all on my concrete patio here in Caledonia. Was really hoping for the higher end of the 1-3, but at least it looks like winter again. Go Bills! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 2021 yearly review. Global warming is very real and is changing more rapidly than I first imagined. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 EPS still favoring interior areas for end of week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 The temperature keeps dropping. Down to 21 here, it was 27 when I got up at 8. Still snowing lightly but steadily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 31 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Synoptic snow is lame. It snowed for 12 hours and we got 2". We will see 2-3" per hour in LES bands later this week. 12z really nails that band right over the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Pretty incredible what's shaping up for the Mid Atl area tonight into Monday. The last minute model shifts have been astounding. Reading the NWS discussions this AM makes me all sorts of jealous. Someone down there probably getting 2-4"/hr rates and 12+ out of this wherever the intense weenie band(s) set up. PHL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Pretty incredible what's shaping up for the Mid Atl area tonight into Monday. The last minute model shifts have been astounding. Reading the NWS discussions this AM makes me all sorts of jealous. Someone down there probably getting 2-4"/hr rates and 12+ out of this wherever the intense weenie band(s) set up. PHL It really is incredible. Came out of no where within 72 hours. Just goes to show you how bad models have been. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: 12z really nails that band right over the metro. Yeah over 12 hours of a very intense band over Metro it then sinks into southtowns for 12 hours and then slides back north. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: It really is incredible. Came out of no where within 72 hours. Just goes to show you how bad models have been. Gfs been showing for several days. Scored a coupe. And nailed this storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS was a little weaker than last run which obviously doesn't matter at this point..Does get most involved off Ontario, at least for a short time.. Some of this includes this morning(inch or two), just not here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Probably just a 1/4"-1/2" here , we have some parachutes flying now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS has a nice 3 lake connection next Monday. Air is pretty dry but still could be a decent band. A lot of times with the really cold air we're seeing in the Globals we won't be able to pinpoint the arctic fronts until a few days away as the high res guidance gets into range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GFS has a nice 3 lake connection next Monday. Air is pretty dry but still could be a decent band. A lot of times with the really cold air we're seeing in the Globals we won't be able to pinpoint the arctic fronts until a few days away as the high res guidance gets into range. Been watching this time for south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, tim123 said: Been watching this time for south shore. It’s a good look for south shore. Meandering isobars. Light winds. RH doesn’t matter as much as they think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 20 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah over 12 hours of a very intense band over Metro it then sinks into southtowns for 12 hours and then slides back north. This is very well our winter. IF this comes to fruition…then I’ll even stump yo keep Tug around… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Cmc tells gfs to hold my beer with end of week system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: This is very well our winter. IF this comes to fruition…then I’ll even stump yo keep Tug around… Still too far out right now. Probably wont have any confidence until Tuesday night into Weds. GFS has nothing for the storm Friday, GEM brings it into our area. Just crazy model differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 12 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: 30 hours with a strong LES band over BUF on GFS. Classic SW flow event. The first I've seen in awhile with a SW flow for that long. This has potential to be the one @WNash God save this weenie band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Cmc would be nice for enhanced snow off ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Yeah icon gives us a glancing blow as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 31 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah over 12 hours of a very intense band over Metro it then sinks into southtowns for 12 hours and then slides back north. 12 hours at 6” an hour. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Cmc at same time as gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Side note. I think this storm for mid Atlantic is the one gfs lost last week no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 57 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: 2021 yearly review. Global warming is very real and is changing more rapidly than I first imagined. Those official temps being consistently too high at KBUF (and SYR). doesn't inspire confidence in the data. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Those official temps being consistently too high at KBUF (and SYR). doesn't inspire confidence in the data. I call bs on these stats for buffalo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Those official temps being consistently too high at KBUF (and SYR). doesn't inspire confidence in the data. Rochester seems too low, doesn't inspire much confidence either. Majority of Northeast had a top 3 warmest year on record, Boston had its warmest. What are the chances Buffalo and Syracuse have broken thermometers in which Mets at the Buffalo recording station said its fine? https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/2021-was-bostons-warmest-year-on-record/2603147/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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