rochesterdave Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 In just a little bit we gotta start talking about this 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Gfs looks nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 3:52 PM, rochesterdave said: In just a little bit we gotta start talking about this Expand I mean it is within 7 days 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 3:52 PM, rochesterdave said: In just a little bit we gotta start talking about this Expand Back to a miss on the 12z, obviously it will flip flop.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 4:07 PM, Thinksnow18 said: I mean it is within 7 days Expand Its down in va now. lots of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 4:17 PM, wolfie09 said: Back to a miss on the 12z, obviously it will flip flop.. Expand What’s not a miss is the LES potential on all 3 runs this morning from the GFS over the metro Wednesday night through Thursday night… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 4:18 PM, Thinksnow18 said: What’s not a miss is the LES potential on all 3 runs this morning from the GFS over the metro Wednesday night through Thursday night… Expand One event like that could save this winter. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 4:18 PM, tim123 said: Its down in va now. lots of time Expand VA seems like the place to be... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 I am actually hoping for some sleet cover tomorrow before the snow. That will take longer to melt during the couple-day thaw that comes 1 day after a real 24 hours of winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Lakes going to go ape shit next weekend. And following week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 10:34 AM, 96blizz said: Happy New Year all! Great write up @BuffaloWeather!! Thinking tonight is the turning point for us! As a Miami Dolphins fan, I see this winter like our season…. P.S. Thanks for beating the Pats last week. Our turn next week! Expand Big day for both teams and you're welcome! =) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 4:34 PM, TugHillMatt said: I am actually hoping for some sleet cover tomorrow before the snow. That will take longer to melt during the couple-day thaw that comes 1 day after a real 24 hours of winter. Expand Your snow machine maker is in the mail. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Cmc next Monday. Nasty multi lake snow squall in South shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Wolfie is MIA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 4:57 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Your snow machine maker is in the mail. Expand Come on BW!!! Wed night Thursday?!?!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 5:01 PM, rochesterdave said: Wolfie is MIA? Expand Probably just hungover. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 5:03 PM, Thinksnow18 said: Come on BW!!! Wed night Thursday?!?!?! Expand Looks good now, but still too early. Its not a blockbuster event pattern but still could be good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Now mainly living in Cicero I see first hand how quickly things can change and how fast a WWA can be hoisted and accumulating snow lines are difficult to nail down unlike Long Island. Next 2 weeks look promising here as i have canceled Catskill/ Long Island business until I get a good taste of Cicero weather Cameras setup now for timelapse and weather underground gave my PWS a badge for accurate data PWS https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYCICER31 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 UK is a bit east with the D5-6 event. Seems very plausible. I could see that lead cold front causing this follow up energy to slide out too far E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 5:08 PM, lakeeffectkid383 said: Probably just hungover. Expand If so, I feel for him! I completely quit drinking alcohol in my late Moms honor (she passed in February as some of you may recall) in April. This is the first New Year’s Day in 27 years (I am 42) that I didn’t drink the night before. I feel incredible. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 5:08 PM, lakeeffectkid383 said: Probably just hungover. Expand Haha nah I don't get hangovers.. Just not much to post about, this next storm is well covered and all the LES(which is what I want) is in LALA land lol Also getting ready for ND football 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Looks like Temps dropping into 30s in niagara county 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 5:31 PM, wolfie09 said: Haha nah I don't get hangovers.. Just not much to post about, this next storm is well covered and all the LES(which is what I want) is in LALA land lol Also getting ready for ND football Expand ND Sux! Just left the Biergarten in Syracuse... weekend European football matches (as opposed to American football..which isn't football). Still gray and shitty Seattle weather. I think we grab an inch or two at most this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 4:45 PM, tim123 said: Lakes going to go ape shit next weekend. And following week. Expand Fingers crossed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Winds shifted north here. Temps dropped from 50 to 40 over the last 2 hours. Went hiking with the family and it got quite chilly. Good sign? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 6:14 PM, vortmax said: Winds shifted north here. Temps dropped from 50 to 40 over the last 2 hours. Went hiking with the family and it got quite chilly. Good sign? Expand Can't hurt. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 5:38 PM, tim123 said: Looks like Temps dropping into 30s in niagara county Expand It’s 39 in Williamsville ATM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 Just had a chance to look at afternoon models and think there is pretty good consensus on LES event late Weds into Thursday. Well aligned flow and -20 Delta Ts, moisture looks good but then drys up later Thursday night. Wind direction looks SW to start and veers Westerly over time. If the other models are right GFS/GEM is does go back north ahead of that approaching low to the SW on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 3:52 PM, rochesterdave said: In just a little bit we gotta start talking about this Expand I'd say lock it in but we all know it's best to NOT be in the bullseye this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Euro with a "glancing blow" Thursday/Friday.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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