H2O Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 5:03 PM, WxWatcher007 said: With many above climo, right? Expand Many have gotten a good bit of climo. Not all above but not where they haven't had ANY snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 5:10 PM, H2O said: Many have gotten a good bit of climo. Not all above but not where they haven't had ANY snow. Expand I would like some more please. Getting 10" total would be nice lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:04 PM, mattie g said: Just one comment (among my others): Talking about the "SS" always kind of bothers me. "SS looks great. It really digs in and clobbers us." Like...doesn't that sound bad, or is it just my Central and Eastern European historian's sensibilities getting to me? Expand On 1/19/2022 at 5:07 PM, psuhoffman said: Don’t totally sleep on the 25 either. There is a healthy SS wave ... Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I know it's so wrong, but every time read it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 5:23 PM, mappy said: I would like some more please. Getting 10" total would be nice lol Expand It will happen or I'll stop meme'ing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 5:26 PM, mattie g said: I know it's so wrong, but every time read it... Expand I meant to reply to you yesterday, but work... I thought the same thing the first time I saw it. Since reading your post, it is all I think about now when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 5:37 PM, mappy said: I meant to reply to you yesterday, but work... I thought the same thing the first time I saw it. Since reading your post, it is all I think about now when I see it. Expand Every time. Every GD time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 5:39 PM, mattie g said: Every time. Every GD time. Expand This is what I hear when I read it the same way as you 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 i'm starting to feel that "i want my warm temps" itch - by february, absent a 2010 like scenario, i'm done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 5:47 PM, H2O said: This is what I hear when I read it the same way as you Expand Never saw the musical version, but did see the movie with Mel Brooks and Gene Wilder...hilarious! Maybe we should start abbreviating "southern stream" as "S/S" or "s/s" (and for northern, use "N/S" or "n/s"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 6:03 PM, pazzo83 said: i'm starting to feel that "i want my warm temps" itch - by february, absent a 2010 like scenario, i'm done. Expand Pretty much same here. Don’t like tracking storms but can’t stop, love snow until it warms up. If it can’t stay cold, be gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 6:07 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Never saw the musical version, but did see the movie with Mel Brooks and Gene Wilder...hilarious! Maybe we should start abbreviating "southern stream" as "S/S" or "s/s" (and for northern, use "N/S" or "n/s"). Expand I don't want to stop people from doing what they do, but if I were ruler of the world, I'd force people to do this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 5:47 PM, H2O said: This is what I hear when I read it the same way as you Expand one of the funniest movies ever 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 We've been basking in 70s for the past three days but we just might end up with some ice down here late tomorrow. Just might have to take an ice jebwalk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 7:14 PM, Jebman said: We've been basking in 70s for the past three days but we just might end up with some ice down here late tomorrow. Just might have to take an ice jebwalk. Expand A Jebslide!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dukeblue219 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 We're really closing schools the night before for this event? Crazy. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 There's a dark side of me that actually finds it somewhat humorous that it's now looking all too possible that we are going to make it through this "primed and ready" period without any substantial snows. I told myself before when everyone was losing their minds about how incredible the mid/long range looked that it's a bad omen. Its just amazing to me how many times the talk in here is how great OR terrible the long range looks, then it arrives and it's not as advertised. Keeping with that same energy, if the talk starts to be that things look brutal for February, I wouldn't be surprised AT ALL if that's when we actually get a nice storm. Just the way things seem to go in here. It's a crapshoot in here with everyone trying to figure out what the setup is going to be in a week, yet somehow we talk seriously about 14+ days away. Give me a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Wow you guys are gonna get 2-3 inches snow from this anafrontal setup Thursday! Pile it up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 1:04 AM, Steve25 said: There's a dark side of me that actually finds it somewhat humorous that it's now looking all too possible that we are going to make it through this "primed and ready" period without any substantial snows. I told myself before when everyone was losing their minds about how incredible the mid/long range looked that it's a bad omen. Its just amazing to me how many times the talk in here is how great OR terrible the long range looks, then it arrives and it's not as advertised. Keeping with that same energy, if the talk starts to be that things look brutal for February, I wouldn't be surprised AT ALL if that's when we actually get a nice storm. Just the way things seem to go in here. It's a crapshoot in here with everyone trying to figure out what the setup is going to be in a week, yet somehow we talk seriously about 14+ days away. Give me a break. Expand Thanks for your input. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/19/2022 at 5:47 PM, H2O said: This is what I hear when I read it the same way as you Expand On 1/19/2022 at 7:11 PM, Kay said: one of the funniest movies ever Expand Dear God, I love this movie. And now you've got me hankering for Young Frankenstein. And Blazing Saddles. And even Spaceballs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 12:15 PM, osfan24 said: The king got mad at all the trash that was being talked about it. GFS definitely screwed up with the transition zone/timing on this one in a big way. Expand The Gfs love has been a bit exaggerated. It did get the Jan 3 storm right first but only by about 12 hours. The other guidance started trending north also just one cycle later. And the GFS way over compensated. 24-36 hours out it showed 6” for me and had 2-3” way up onto central PA. I didn’t see a single flake. The Gfs was awful with the next wave. It was consistently showing .4-.6 qpf along 95. We had 15-1 ratios. That would have been 6-8” if it was right. The NAM and Euro were much much better with that storm. It wasn’t very good with the amplified inside runner either. Actually the ggem probably did best with locking on to the extreme solution early and sticking with it. Gfs teased with a couple runs of big snow then went too far west for a couple runs then back too far east. And it looks to have been awful today. It’s been better then the joke it used to be and it’s been better than the euro but it’s not been killing it every time like some seem to think The Euro criticism has been valid though. It’s really mishandled several NS SS interactions lately, which to be fair was a known weakness but not making excuses it’s been bad and anecdotally it seems more jumpy and prone to tangents in the medium range since the last major resolution upgrade years ago. It does do an impressive job for a global with meso scale features now but maybe it’s now got some of the high resolution CAMs issues that can become problematic with Synoptics at range. Not sure that was really a good trade. Maybe, and just speculation, having a short range euro at high resolution and a longer range lower resolution focused on Synoptics past 72 hours would be better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 4:47 PM, Yeoman said: Would this pad our stats? Expand Luckily it won't happen but only because AGW destroyed Pittsburgh instead of DC. I prefer to keep my house and electricity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 GFS has people speculating about a KU or Archambault event on 1/29. Can someone define these or link to a good reference? January 29 is Kansas Day, btw, so KU checks out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 5:16 PM, BristowWx said: it would be fun to experience one epic, 100 year blizzard. A storm that could almost never happen again but happens. Expand Saving this for later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 5:24 PM, AU74 said: GFS has people speculating about a KU or Archambault event on 1/29. Can someone define these or link to a good reference? January 29 is Kansas Day, btw, so KU checks out. Expand This is way more info than one needs… https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/rsi/docs/kocin-and-uccellini-2004.pdf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 An easier read and Cliff notes… https://www.baltimoresun.com/news/bs-xpm-2005-12-16-0512160423-story.html 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Archambault events described here… http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/03/pacific-archambault-signal-for-equinox.html 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Woke up to a big fat nothing for snow. It's sad all the models busted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 I feel like my tracking hours to inches is screwed up this year. But it only takes one big one to change that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 8:17 PM, clskinsfan said: I feel like my tracking hours to inches is screwed up this year. But it only takes one big one to change that. Expand Mine is getting ready to go way up. Gonna be dividing by and infinitely small number for a while. More fun that way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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