January 2022 General Discussion

[mimillman]

Selling impacts from this in Chicago proper. Good luck to Hoosier 

[A-L-E-K]

8 minutes ago, mimillman said:

Selling impacts from this in Chicago proper. Good luck to Hoosier 

Nam, gfs, euro all show band with superior connection impacting city to some degree and anecdotally major east coast event often r accompanied by les in the city

I'd take an early guess of 1-2

[Hoosier]

28 minutes ago, mimillman said:

Selling impacts from this in Chicago proper. Good luck to Hoosier 

Reverse psychology?

[Hoosier]

The floor with the late week lake effect sort of feels like 3-5" to me.  That would be with a somewhat less organized band or a band that keeps moves around.  6+ would be on the table somewhere imo if it were to stall out for a prolonged period.  

Keep in mind this is just an early guess/outline of scenarios.  Op models are not particularly useful for determining lake effect amounts.  The hi-res models sometimes aren't either, but I'd tend to lean a little more in that direction.  The hi-res stuff isn't out far enough yet though, so my numbers are mainly based on feel.  I don't work off of lake effect charts/decision trees.  Sort of like the grandma who doesn't use a written recipe to cook lol

[madwx]

Tomahawk Wi already down to -21 at 935 PM

[weatherbo]

-11 currently (wind chill -22).  It's impossible to heat the whole house with the stove alone.  The furnace keeps kicking on about every hour.

 

Bedroom is chilly

[Cary67]

55 minutes ago, weatherbo said:

-11 currently (wind chill -22).  It's impossible to heat the whole house with the stove alone.  The furnace keeps kicking on about every hour.

 

Bedroom is chilly

 Mother-in-law guest room.

Edit: Spartman's guest room

[weatherbo]

14 minutes ago, Cary67 said:

Mother-in-law guest room.

single

[WaryWarren]

and ready to mingle. 

[weatherbo]

1 minute ago, WaryWarren said:

and ready to mingle. 

eat it buddy.

[cyclone77]

Down to -8 here.  Should bottom out between -13 and -17.

[cyclone77]

Tough conditions out in central Iowa tonight.  North wind at 600kts bumping the wind chill down to -93 at Webster City.

 

[IWXwx]

FWA hit some low-hanging fruit this morning.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
615 AM EST WED JAN 26 2022

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT FORT WAYNE...

A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF -9 WAS SET AT FORT WAYNE THIS MORNING 
FOR THE DATE OF JANUARY 26TH. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF -8 SET 
IN 1936. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IF NEEDED.

[A-L-E-K]

hate this stuff, hopefully the worst of the winter

[Cary67]

-11F this morning. Kids still have school though. -31F in Wausau area near Merill WI

[madwx]

Looks like -21 is the low at the house.  About 15 more minutes of cooling left to beat that.   Airport down to -17.  
 

coldest temps in Wisconsin I could find were -35 in Black River Falls and -32 in Sparta 

[SchaumburgStormer]

-14/-29 here this morning. F this.

[WestMichigan]

Only made it down to 10 at my house this morning.  Lake Michigan doing its thing keeping us warmer.  Continual light snow over the last few days is finally adding up.  I didn't realize this but GRR is within 1.3" of their entire snowfall last year.  Compared to others in the subforum it is a virtual snowmageddon in West Michigan.

[A-L-E-K]

happy 4 u after some lean years there

 

[Baum]

8 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

-14/-29 here this morning. F this.

beavis is rocking his tropical speedos today for sure.

[OrdIowPitMsp]

-17 in the heat island this morning. Suburbs made it down into the -20s.
 

I didn’t look at lows across the state. Regionally Red Wing made it down to -24 which was the coldest spot I found within 40 miles of the metro. 

 

[beavis1729]

29 minutes ago, Baum said:

beavis is rocking his tropical speedos today for sure.

Yes sir...it's about time. 

Some low temps in N IL...pending any intra-hour drops.  Coldest since 1/31/19.  Very impressive in the normal cold/radiator spots:

RPJ -23

ARR -20

RFD -16

FEP -16

DKB -14

SQI -13

Here -11

UGN -9

ORD -5

 

 

[beavis1729]

2 hours ago, Cary67 said:

-11F this morning. Kids still have school though. -31F in Wausau area near Merill WI

Yeah...Merrill itself (KRRL) hit -34.

Minocqua -23, Wausau -20.

[weatherbo]

Frigid night... -21 here.

Wakefield -27

Randville -24

Doe Lake -27

Stonington -30

Champion -27

Coldest temp was on the Marquette/Baraga county line at -32.

[OrdIowPitMsp]

[Geoboy645]

3 hours ago, madwx said:

Looks like -21 is the low at the house.  About 15 more minutes of cooling left to beat that.   Airport down to -17.  
 

coldest temps in Wisconsin I could find were -35 in Black River Falls and -32 in Sparta 

Ahh Black River Falls and Sparta, the cold air drainage capitals of the midwest. Without fail those areas are usually the coldest or second coldest in setups like this.

[Hoosier]

Liking what I'm seeing on the 12z runs.  Healthy convergence pointed right into Lake county IN on Friday.  The heart of the band shouldn't have trouble ripping at 1-2" per hour for a time.  There is a signal for the band to start hugging the shore more with time and have less inland penetration, so we'll see.

[Brian D]

2 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

-20's to -30's during the night around the area. Winds switched to SW and temps started rising. Here in town we stay a good 10-15d warmer than inland on the lows. All month so far we have been -15 to -20 on the coldest mornings. Yesterday was the coldest high at -1. The only sub zero high this month.

Now back to near average temps the next few days. Thankfully.  

[Brian D]

Been a cold month up here. Avg temps run 15-20 for highs with 5 to-5 for the lows for the month. That comes from a large spread of temps in any given Jan. Monthly avg std dev is about 6-7d.

 

[Brian D]

Winds up to 40mph out the SW today. Wind chills -10 to -20 with upper single digit temps.