Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

 

CT river on East . West of that is WNE or western areas

Lol, Orange is not E MA, nor is Dave in Hubbardston.

[DJln491]

Just a lurker here but wow what a thread.  Lots of ups and downs, toaster baths, recommendations to seek professional help.  It's got it all and probably 24 more hours of madness. Thanks to all and good luck!  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, DJln491 said:

Just a lurker here but wow what a thread.  Lots of ups and downs, toaster baths, recommendations to seek professional help.  It's got it all and probably 24 more hours of madness. Thanks to all and good luck!  

Welcome to the circus. 

[Greg]

2 minutes ago, DJln491 said:

Just a lurker here but wow what a thread.  Lots of ups and downs, toaster baths, recommendations to seek professional help.  It's got it all and probably 24 more hours of madness. Thanks to all and good luck!  

 

[snowman21]

Using the CT River as the dividing line is dumb anyway because then basically 80% of New England is considered "east." CON-WST roughly if we're going by land mass.

[forkyfork]

this could easily jump more nw tonight 

[Greg]

1 minute ago, snowman21 said:

Using the CT River as the dividing line is dumb anyway because then basically 80% of New England is considered "east." CON-WST roughly if we're going by land mass.

Do you just see things black and white like that? We also said there was "Central" part to it. Not just west or east. There's an in-between area you know.

[weathafella]

Eastern MA is ORH on east.  Geographically makes sense.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, snowman21 said:

Using the CT River as the dividing line is dumb anyway because then basically 80% of New England is considered "east." CON-WST roughly if we're going by land mass.

Yeah, the Ct River has a big latitude range.  If Kevin or somebody from CT mentions E of the River looks good for accumulations that doesn't mean E of the River along the RT 2 corridor looks good for accumulations.

[greenmtnwx]

3 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

this could easily jump more nw tonight 

deep analysis.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Eastern MA is ORH on east.  Geographically makes sense.

Yeah if we're dividing into halves....I agree I just use ORH roughly as the midpoint (I think technically it's Rutland MA if you go by precise geography....and that's just 2 towns NW of ORH for those that don't know)...but if we divide into thirds with western/central/eastern....then I use 495 for the eastern boundary.

[forkyfork]

1 minute ago, greenmtnwx said:

deep analysis.

i'm not the kind of poster who writes paragraphs for the masses 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Nobody who lives near 128 belt considers ORH E mass . True story . I guess for weather simplification I get it . 

[JC-CT]

37 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

There is actually a very good consensus between the 12z 3km NAM, 06z EURO and 12z GEM.

 

36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

You can throw the 12z Ukie in there too.

 

33 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

HRDPS would be solid if extended past 48 

 

hi

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Nobody who lives near 128 belt considers ORH E mass . I guess for weather simplification I get it . 

In our local news and growing up, the state is almost always divided as western/central/eastern, so that's how most of us view it. But if you are just using a very crude analysis for a storm, you can use east vs west sometimes.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

The rgem would probably be a foot for someone in eastern ma looking at it closer now 

[JC-CT]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Nobody who lives near 128 belt considers ORH E mass . I guess for weather simplification I get it . 

I'm sure nobody from Cambridge considers Waltham to be BOS either. But I do!

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

16 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Lol, Orange is not E MA, nor is Dave in Hubbardston.

We do this every year. Official map:

 

[Great Snow 1717]

2 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i'm not the kind of poster who writes paragraphs for the masses 

Thank god because no one would read them...

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

this could easily jump more nw tonight 

I actually don't think you're a troll, but I think you do get kicks out of slamming home a take when it doesn't jive with the preference of the masses.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

In our local news and growing up, the state is almost always divided as western/central/eastern, so that's how most of us view it. But if you are just using a very crude analysis for a storm, you can use east vs west sometimes.

Def

just saying if you walked up to a resident of 128 they would say umm no 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Nobody who lives near 128 belt considers ORH E mass . True story . I guess for weather simplification I get it . 

I consider NE CT eastern NE

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I consider NE CT eastern NE

Except when a back door is coming , right .

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Would love to see dryslot at hr 18 on euro start saying “this is coming west” 

[Great Snow 1717]

15 minutes ago, DJln491 said:

Just a lurker here but wow what a thread.  Lots of ups and downs, toaster baths, recommendations to seek professional help.  It's got it all and probably 24 more hours of madness. Thanks to all and good luck!  

Please join us the 3rd Wednesday of every month for the Bring Your Own Model Social...I'm bringing the German Model to the next one....Jordan Carver....

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Except when a back door is coming , right .

Or when the marine influence creeps in during a snowstorm.

[8611Blizz]

10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We do this every year. Official map:

 

I get thrown in with the commies...

[wxsniss]

58 minutes ago, weathafella said:

So 12 hours ago it was toast.   6 hours ago yipee.  Now a combination.   Stop waffling with each model run!  The 2 most consistent pieces of guidance over the past few days are RGEM and Euro.  

Also, 3k is worlds apart from 12k today on NAM.  I'm feeling confident mpm uses his snowblower and I get 6+.

Just missed you in the overnight shift, now tuning in for Euro... yeah I posted that the site going down last night was a mercy kill for all the overreacting over 1/5 0z NAM.

Haven't wavered from thoughts since weekend: 3-6/4-8 for eastern SNE as a start, and now that we've survived ingest of shortwave sampling in Pac NW, I still anticipate this could trend NW in final 48 hours with potential for higher totals.

[PhineasC]

6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Would love to see dryslot at hr 18 on euro start saying “this is coming west” 

"less amped" seems to be the usual refrain on this one.

[JC-CT]

6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Would love to see dryslot at hr 18 on euro start saying “this is coming west” 

only minor changes