Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 1/5/2022 at 12:55 PM, ice1972 said:

We’ve got busses that still haven’t made it to school yet here…..lol….everyone all up in arms about how they didn’t delay opening - not sure but I think it just hit right before school opening……tough call

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We opened fine, but 2 hours into school we had an announcement that the roads, school driveway, etc are now a skating rink

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:24 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Somewhere. Someone mentioned that track a day or two ago 

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Scott did.

[cleetussnow]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:05 PM, CoastalWx said:

Some of the mesos hit pretty darn good.

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Yeah but counting on those at this range is like cashing a 3rd party check from outer Mongolia at the grocery store cash register.  It will take a day for those to 'clear.'  But hey 100 bucks we can wait a day...

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:26 PM, cleetussnow said:

Yeah but counting on those at this range is like cashing a 3rd party check from outer Mongolia at the grocery store cash register.  It will take a day for those to 'clear.'  But hey 100 bucks we can wait a day...

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Was just a comment, I know they can be unstable.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:22 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

But easy to see the whiners.

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Very small percentage of this place never does it. Its a frustrating hobby, but I think the real issue is those that clog up threads with that without ever adding anything of value.

[cleetussnow]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:26 PM, CoastalWx said:

Was just a comment, I know they can be unstable.

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The consistency is nice...

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Uncanny how my area is the anti ORH in the sense that I'm never far enough in a given direction....always too far north or south. North early in the year, now south for Monday and Friday. Going to add to the frustration if that comes to fruition.

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Except when you get a 31" monster

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Uncanny how my area is the anti ORH in the sense that I'm never far enough in a given direction....always too far north or south. North early in the year, now south for Monday and Friday. Going to add to the frustration if that comes to fruition.

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its insane.  But somewhere out there is a Miller B pattern just for you...

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 1/5/2022 at 12:57 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Folks should have stuck to KFS

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Mm, yummy - Kentucky Fried Shittin'

[mahk_webstah]

nobody is talking about a deformation band.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:34 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Except when you get a 31" monster

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Talking about the past 4 years.

I think if I don't move back to Wilmington, I may go to the Amesbury area...nice city, and in a perfect spot to always have the CF just to the east, due to the shape of the coast to the north.

[dryslot]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:36 PM, mahk_webstah said:

nobody is talking about a deformation band.

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Where would you like it? Models don't even know.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:37 PM, dryslot said:

Where would you like it? Models don't even know.

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Need to make sure we get a consolidated low first.

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:36 PM, mahk_webstah said:

nobody is talking about a deformation band.

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I think some just would like snow. 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:36 PM, mahk_webstah said:

nobody is talking about a deformation band.

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There's isn't really very strong deformation in this setup...but there is definitely a banding signal for well northwest of the lower level reflection....so a fluff band in a separate stripe well northwest of the main jackpot area is likely IMHO. It won't be huge totals, but I wouldn't be shocked at one of those 6"+ deals inside the band where it drops 0.30" qpf.

[JC-CT]

today's system needs to gtfo

[dryslot]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:38 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Need to make sure we get a consolidated low first.

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Yeah, That can be ironed out later once you even get the track ironed out.

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:36 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Talking about the past 4 years.

I think if I don't move back to Wilmington, I may go to the Amesbury area...nice city, and in a perfect spot to always have the CF just to the east, due to the shape of the coast to the north.

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Wow.  That was more than 4 years ago?   My brain is fried...   Amesbury is awesome, but I don't know how they do for snow.   Cape Anne can do well for some events

[dryslot]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:39 PM, JC-CT said:

today's system needs to gtfo

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If it wasn't there it would be congrats albany, But yeah, Its causing problems.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:25 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Scott did.

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Oh there was another 

[JC-CT]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:40 PM, dryslot said:

If it wasn't there it would be congrats albany, But yeah, Its causing problems.

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i'm fine that it is here. now LEAVE. lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:40 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Wow.  That was more than 4 years ago?   My brain is fried...   Amesbury is awesome, but I don't know how they do for snow.   Cape Anne can do well for some events

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4 years ago in March.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Oh there was another 

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Was there anyone who was saying I-95 was definitely going to mix?

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:38 PM, ORH_wxman said:

There's isn't really very strong deformation in this setup...but there is definitely a banding signal for well northwest of the lower level reflection....so a fluff band in a separate stripe well northwest of the main jackpot area is likely IMHO. It won't be huge totals, but I wouldn't be shocked at one of those 6"+ deals inside the band where it drops 0.30" qpf.

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Yes exactly my thought process. That’s why I like 4-8” back to the NY border 

[dryslot]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:41 PM, JC-CT said:

i'm fine that it is here. now LEAVE. lol

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Sooner then later please..................

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:41 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Was there anyone who was saying I-95 was definitely going to mix?

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They may if it keeps coming NW

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:40 PM, dryslot said:

If it wasn't there it would be congrats albany, But yeah, Its causing problems.

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I think I'd rather an Albany jackpot scenario.

[Ericjcrash]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:42 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think I'd rather an Albany jackpot scenario.

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Me too. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/5/2022 at 3:43 PM, Ericjcrash said:

Me too. 

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I'd still get more snow than this.

[ORH_wxman]

12z GFS looks to be ticking slightly less amped than 6z through 30 hours.