Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 hours ago, ice1972 said:

We’ve got busses that still haven’t made it to school yet here…..lol….everyone all up in arms about how they didn’t delay opening - not sure but I think it just hit right before school opening……tough call

We opened fine, but 2 hours into school we had an announcement that the roads, school driveway, etc are now a skating rink

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Somewhere. Someone mentioned that track a day or two ago 

Scott did.

[cleetussnow]

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Some of the mesos hit pretty darn good.

Yeah but counting on those at this range is like cashing a 3rd party check from outer Mongolia at the grocery store cash register.  It will take a day for those to 'clear.'  But hey 100 bucks we can wait a day...

[CoastalWx]

Just now, cleetussnow said:

Yeah but counting on those at this range is like cashing a 3rd party check from outer Mongolia at the grocery store cash register.  It will take a day for those to 'clear.'  But hey 100 bucks we can wait a day...

Was just a comment, I know they can be unstable.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

But easy to see the whiners.

Very small percentage of this place never does it. Its a frustrating hobby, but I think the real issue is those that clog up threads with that without ever adding anything of value.

[cleetussnow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Was just a comment, I know they can be unstable.

The consistency is nice...

[HoarfrostHubb]

16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Uncanny how my area is the anti ORH in the sense that I'm never far enough in a given direction....always too far north or south. North early in the year, now south for Monday and Friday. Going to add to the frustration if that comes to fruition.

Except when you get a 31" monster

[mahk_webstah]

16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Uncanny how my area is the anti ORH in the sense that I'm never far enough in a given direction....always too far north or south. North early in the year, now south for Monday and Friday. Going to add to the frustration if that comes to fruition.

its insane.  But somewhere out there is a Miller B pattern just for you...

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Folks should have stuck to KFS

Mm, yummy - Kentucky Fried Shittin'

[mahk_webstah]

nobody is talking about a deformation band.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Except when you get a 31" monster

Talking about the past 4 years.

I think if I don't move back to Wilmington, I may go to the Amesbury area...nice city, and in a perfect spot to always have the CF just to the east, due to the shape of the coast to the north.

[dryslot]

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

nobody is talking about a deformation band.

Where would you like it? Models don't even know.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, dryslot said:

Where would you like it? Models don't even know.

Need to make sure we get a consolidated low first.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

nobody is talking about a deformation band.

I think some just would like snow. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

nobody is talking about a deformation band.

There's isn't really very strong deformation in this setup...but there is definitely a banding signal for well northwest of the lower level reflection....so a fluff band in a separate stripe well northwest of the main jackpot area is likely IMHO. It won't be huge totals, but I wouldn't be shocked at one of those 6"+ deals inside the band where it drops 0.30" qpf.

[JC-CT]

today's system needs to gtfo

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Need to make sure we get a consolidated low first.

Yeah, That can be ironed out later once you even get the track ironed out.

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Talking about the past 4 years.

I think if I don't move back to Wilmington, I may go to the Amesbury area...nice city, and in a perfect spot to always have the CF just to the east, due to the shape of the coast to the north.

Wow.  That was more than 4 years ago?   My brain is fried...   Amesbury is awesome, but I don't know how they do for snow.   Cape Anne can do well for some events

[dryslot]

Just now, JC-CT said:

today's system needs to gtfo

If it wasn't there it would be congrats albany, But yeah, Its causing problems.

[Damage In Tolland]

15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Scott did.

Oh there was another 

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

If it wasn't there it would be congrats albany, But yeah, Its causing problems.

i'm fine that it is here. now LEAVE. lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Wow.  That was more than 4 years ago?   My brain is fried...   Amesbury is awesome, but I don't know how they do for snow.   Cape Anne can do well for some events

4 years ago in March.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Oh there was another 

Was there anyone who was saying I-95 was definitely going to mix?

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

There's isn't really very strong deformation in this setup...but there is definitely a banding signal for well northwest of the lower level reflection....so a fluff band in a separate stripe well northwest of the main jackpot area is likely IMHO. It won't be huge totals, but I wouldn't be shocked at one of those 6"+ deals inside the band where it drops 0.30" qpf.

Yes exactly my thought process. That’s why I like 4-8” back to the NY border 

[dryslot]

Just now, JC-CT said:

i'm fine that it is here. now LEAVE. lol

Sooner then later please..................

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Was there anyone who was saying I-95 was definitely going to mix?

They may if it keeps coming NW

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

If it wasn't there it would be congrats albany, But yeah, Its causing problems.

I think I'd rather an Albany jackpot scenario.

[Ericjcrash]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think I'd rather an Albany jackpot scenario.

Me too. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Ericjcrash said:

Me too. 

I'd still get more snow than this.

[ORH_wxman]

12z GFS looks to be ticking slightly less amped than 6z through 30 hours.