Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[kdxken]

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Merritt, 84, 95 closed in some spots, a disaster. Commuting ftl.

Keep it there.

[Ginx snewx]

Some big EPS members 

[Damage In Tolland]

Zr here at 30

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We shall see, but in a sick way, part of me hopes Tblizz has ptype issues so I can rub my westward moving ass in his face.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

It's 7:30am.  Let's begin our counseling session.

Tell me what you were feeling after you saw the 00z NAM last night?  Were you feeling hatred, dejection, fear, panic?  

TBlizz your first appointment?

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

LOL. I feel like we need a therapy thread…

I logged off at 9 last night and did adult things. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

TBlizz your first appointment?

I’ve already been tossed into the padded room.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Looks like Ray left 

Nah, just up

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

TBlizz your first appointment?

He's been mia this AM.  Hoping he didn't toaster bath himself last night.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’ve already been tossed into the padded room.

That should drop you off the tobin in a lead weighted straight jacket.

[HoarfrostHubb]

10 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Absolutely horrible temps 27-31 out all highways are a stand still from here to NYC. Accidents everywhere schools starting to close.

Was happy to see no ice/precip here this morning (yet).  Sick of slip sliding to work

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dryslot said:

That should drop you off the tobin in a lead weighted straight jacket.

I’ve never seen anything like it. Over the nam. Which at 6z also does not mean much to me. Nothing has changed from yesterday. I don’t buy those  eastward solutions. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

3-6" for E SNE, a few 4-8" areas... 2-4" out in the ORH area, 1-3" further west and north

 

Better than nothing

[JC-CT]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Just looked oh yea that instability has a Maul look. We dump?

Depends on the evolution of course. But theres potential. 1/27/11 incoming?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I hope this ends up being enough for Charlie baker to call off all non essential employees (me)

[JC-CT]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I’ve never seen anything like it.

...this week, maybe

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

He's been mia this AM.  Hoping he didn't toaster bath himself last night.

Someone check his bathroom, the water could still be running. Would hate for his wife to have to deal with water damage alone.

 

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

3-6" for E SNE, a few 4-8" areas... 2-4" out in the ORH area, 1-3" further west and north

 

Better than nothing

That’s what I have. Looks good.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Gotta say the RGEM has been remarkably steadfast, not waffling too much.  Still feel like a track inside the BM is the endgame.  We should see the 12z GFS come west inline with other guidance.

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

3-6" for E SNE, a few 4-8" areas... 2-4" out in the ORH area, 1-3" further west and north

 

Better than nothing

This is your personal prediction?

[CoastalWx]

The closer guidance (even euro) has a nice band ahead of the main action. That’s probably a fluff band that will dump a couple extra inches where that sets up well north and west. 

[CoastalWx]

Not surprisingly 6z eps increased QPF.

[UnitedWx]

13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Mets and People concentrate on big snowstorms but it's these minor icing events that are the disasters up here

I left my shop in Simsbury heading to south Farmington...made it 2 miles and turned around. Wicked icy and we don't even have the good precip yet.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

8 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Keep it there.

We do unprepared fukups well here. Schools quickly went from open to 2hr delays to full closures. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

The closer guidance (even euro) has a nice band ahead of the main action. That’s probably a fluff band that will dump a couple extra inches where that sets up well north and west. 

Yeah, that's been popping up pretty consistently.  Some will be having radar hallucinations thinking the storm is well N&W while we wait for the coastal to take over.

[JC-CT]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Gotta say the RGEM has been remarkably steadfast, not waffling too much.  Still feel like a track inside the BM is the endgame.  We should see the 12z GFS come west inline with other guidance.

Clearly this evolved into a flatter system than what some people where hoping to see but like tip said, still could be overdoing the stretching of the wavelengths. Quick hitter regardless but could still be fun.

[SJonesWX]

12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

LOL. I feel like we need a therapy thread…

don't worry, tip will be along shortly to psychoanalyze each and every one of us. Just be prepared for the 100,000 word novel.

[dryslot]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’ve never seen anything like it. Over the nam. Which at 6z also does not mean much to me. Nothing has changed from yesterday. I don’t buy those  eastward solutions. 

Wasn't just him either, Hope we will not have this every time there is a threat, One model in a pkg comes out and they lose there sh it.

[JC-CT]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Yeah, that's been popping up pretty consistently.  Some will be having radar hallucinations thinking the storm is well N&W while we wait for the coastal to take over.

Remember that one storm that was supposed to get sucked out east by a leading vort and it just didn't happen? Models couldn't get it right from 6 hours out, they just kept adjusting to reality. Anyone remember the date? (I feel that one was more miller a, so probably not a good analog, but I just want to know when it was)

[ice1972]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We do unprepared fukups well here. Schools quickly went from open to 2hr delays to full closures. 

We’ve got busses that still haven’t made it to school yet here…..lol….everyone all up in arms about how they didn’t delay opening - not sure but I think it just hit right before school opening……tough call

[Go Kart Mozart]

13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Some big EPS members 

Give me a big member heading right up the canal!