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Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?


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Granted NAM, but I don't like seeing that as the energy is getting sampled. 

Just catching up to 0z stuff

Yeah agree I’d dismiss NAM in a heartbeat at this time range especially vs EPS, but can’t rule out that this is reflecting better sampling of a weaker shortwave. The differences were apparent already when it was up in the Pacific Northwest.

Still too early to nail the coffin.
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3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I guess….from a shart to a turd.

If it wasn't for my 10 year old longing for snow, I'm with Ray, I'll pass on anything less than 3-4"

I'll take what we can get though, because he asks me how much snow we are getting, every time he sees me on the computer or iPhone.  lol.

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Just now, wxsniss said:


Just catching up to 0z stuff

Yeah agree I’d dismiss NAM in a heartbeat at this time range especially vs EPS, but can’t rule out that this is reflecting better sampling of a weaker shortwave. The differences were apparent already when it was up in the Pacific Northwest.

Still too early to nail the coffin.

There are a lot of nice EPS members to the west... but there are plenty pretty far south and east like what the NAM is showing. Seems like the NAM is well within the reasonable range of solutions. 

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