Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[PhineasC]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Trajectory is always the key up here, A BM north close to eastport in the GOM works, A BM NE to east of the tip of NS does not, That's why i prefer a low tracking over 41/70 if it goes NE from there, In the GOM, Same, Its still a decent hit, You prefer it tracking over PWM though, That would melt most of the whole board here in NE.....lol

Best bet in his area now is to watch for this thing to really bomb out to the NE and wrap around a bunch of NW flow for days and days.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Based on 12z tea leaves we got some euro predictions ?

[HoarfrostHubb]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I don't remember that storm. How did it end up?

12-16" for a lot of Mass... good storm for N ORH lol

[dryslot]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Best bet in his area now is to watch for this thing to really bomb out to the NE and wrap around a bunch of NW flow for days and days.

That's where he makes out is when its well north of here and you get the return flow more SSE.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Like going on Tinder, spending weeks talking to a perfect 10, and then when she knocks on your door you tell her to get lost. 

Yeah, that's a good analogy...

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Based on 12z tea leaves we got some euro predictions ?

Prob a modest tickle east...though it wouldn't surprise me if it basically held serve since it was already a little bit east.

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Based on 12z tea leaves we got some euro predictions ?

Some will win, some will lose. Some will get Bermuda blues.

[Greg]

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Trajectory is always the key up here, A BM north close to eastport in the GOM works, A BM NE to east of the tip of NS does not, That's why i prefer a low tracking over 41/70 if it goes NE from there, In the GOM, Same, Its still a decent hit, You prefer it tracking over PWM though, That would melt most of the whole board here in NE.....lol

"A BM NE to east of the tip of NS does not" Ironically, this track that you don't like is what actually many of the good ones for both CNE and especially SNE (With exceptions on the far South Shore/Cape and islands) and majority on this weather board.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Some will win, some will lose. Some will get Bermuda blues.

He's looking to take the midnight weenie drive going anywhere.

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, Greg said:

"A BM NE to east of the tip of NS does not" This track what you don't like is what actually many of the good one for both CNE and especially SNE (With exceptions on the far South Shore/Cape and islands) and majority on this weather board.

I'm shocked, I'm speaking to terms up here, To PF's comment, Not for SNE.

[moneypitmike]

19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GEFS illustrate this nicely in the mean.

That would at least legitimize my purchase of a snowblower.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Here is  my first crack at it. Final shot at it on Thursday.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/first-call-for-fast-moving-major-winter.html

[PhineasC]

The Euro lives to disappoint. That's my prediction for 12z.

[SJonesWX]

48 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I think what most need to keep in mind is, everybody is discussing the current run, that doesn’t mean it’s a conclusion.  This is bumping around…as they always do. 

thanks Captain Obvious

[Greg]

Curious to see what the afternoon Euro depicts here. Just merely curious how it behaves to this 12z model suite.

[Lava Rock]

33 minutes ago, kdxken said:

So there's still a chance for a whiff?

by thurs, it'll be an inland runner.

[Greg]

Just now, Lava Rock said:

by thurs, it'll be an inland runner.

Rain to Maine sort of deal.

[powderfreak]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I'm shocked, I'm speaking to terms up here, To PF's comment, Not for SNE.

I mean you did say "I like when it tracks...."  We all know there are different tracks/angles for different locations.

 

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

thanks Captain Obvious

Hey Captain caveman, the point is you have folks ready to jump off a bridge over one run of the goofus when we’re still 60-72 hrs out. Behaving Like the 12z runs today are the divinities answer on this.  

[Greg]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Here is  my first crack at it. Final shot at it on Thursday.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/first-call-for-fast-moving-major-winter.html

Not a bad first guess. Personally, I would expand that 6-12" zone towards the far South Shore and give the Cape and Islands the Mix zone ending with 4-8".  Just my mere opinion.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Ray is going big.

 

[dryslot]

Just now, powderfreak said:

I mean you did say "I like when it tracks...."  We all know there are different tracks/angles for different locations.

 

Yeah, That comment was not directed at anyone in SNE , But maybe i was stealing some's snow i guess.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Greg said:

Not a bad first guess. Personally, I would expand that 6-12" zone towards the far South Shore and give the Cape and Islands the Mix zone ending with 4-8".  Just my mere opinion.

If current guidance is to be believed, sure.

[WxWatcher007]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Here is  my first crack at it. Final shot at it on Thursday.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/first-call-for-fast-moving-major-winter.html

Nice write up. I’d take a half foot of powder and run. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I don't think those numbers are that big if this comes together as it should....

[CoastalWx]

Euro probably tickles east a bit and weenies will jump. 

[Damage In Tolland]

29 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

You need to have an intervention with your CT peeps and prevent them from jumping off the Gold Star Bridge.

They’re all in a great spot there west of river for deformation snows under those heavy bands that always are thrown west of qpf maps. 

[NorEastermass128]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro probably tickles east a bit and weenies will jump. 

For joy. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I don't think those numbers are that big if this comes together as it should....

Yeah... maybe I was getting giddy at the 12" number and higher... I don't know that those are achievable with this setup, but you could be right

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

30 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

You need to have an intervention with your CT peeps and prevent them from jumping off the Gold Star Bridge.

I haven’t read any CT peeps jumping. You should worry about your Sema crowd though because if this shits the bed, there are a lot of whiney biatches out there who would need your immediate support.