Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Fffftt in pants kind of dump?

The kind that makes you wanna FOLLLOOOOOWWW MEEEEEE

[qg_omega]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would like to be @dryslotfor this one.

if you like smoking cirrus, good place to be for this one 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

 

I think it's real, but I sort of envision the low developing just offshore and moving north as an elongated low dueling out those features before bombing near the Cape. The GFS track or a bit west of that looks reasonable.

That's s/w is strong, so I see no reason why the low won't be more tucked in to it.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, qg_omega said:

if you like smoking cirrus, good place to be for this one 

#5TOOMANY

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

 

I think it's real, but I sort of envision the low developing just offshore and moving north as an elongated low dueling out those features before bombing near the Cape. The GFS track or a bit west of that looks reasonable.

128 special?

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would like to be @dryslotfor this one.

Looks good but i want to see today's runs, I was giving it until 0z-12z Weds so tonight or tomorrow 12z, It should be pretty much set with some room up here for the last minute track nuances.

[dryslot]

34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

One can hope it seems 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

128 special?

Maybe, who knows, it's early to get cute. I like the idea of rapid cyclogenesis if it does tuck, as long as it is not over your house like the NAM has lol.

[CoastalWx]

What's the spread on the EPS? I'll sell that far SE.

[PhineasC]

The NAM is gorgeous. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

What's the spread on the EPS? I'll sell that far SE.

We should start seeing those outliers go bye-bye today.

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

Let’s goooooooooo weenies!!!!! Timing of this event? We looking at a quick hittin, start to finish, Friday AM deal?

[Baroclinic Zone]

NAM is the western envelope imo.

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

The NAM is gorgeous. 

Beauty is truly within the eye of the beholder. I’m on the huggy train with this one. Perhaps the march west begins once the split is fully sampled.

[MJO812]

Sref fwiw is slightly east

[CoastalWx]

Will you stop with the GD SREFs?

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Will you stop with the GD SREFs?

Can we add the NAM?

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

NAM is the western envelope imo.

LOL Right over me...I'll sell that for now.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Will you stop with the GD SREFs?

Beer anger ?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

NAM is the western envelope imo.

That's a Berks to Mitch jackpot.

[ORH_wxman]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

What's the spread on the EPS? I'll sell that far SE.

Starting to tighten up a bit though still plenty of spread....you can see that cluster near the BM though.

 

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Will you stop with the GD SREFs?

Be prepared for popo knocking on your door later. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

LOL Right over me...I'll sell that for now.

Yeah, that'd have you jumping off a bridge.  I don't believe it but it's in the realm this far out.

[Damage In Tolland]

They laughed when we said BM days ago. They laugh no more 

[Baroclinic Zone]

A BM track with the antecedent airmass would be great for majority of the forum.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Yeah, that'd have you jumping off a bridge.  I don't believe it but it's in the realm this far out.

That would....a rainer following the mid atl MECS and arctic shot would send me into major melt mode....probably one tier down from my record melt of Feb 2010.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

They laughed when we said BM days ago. They laugh no more 

We laughed because you're awful at geography

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

They laughed when we said BM days ago. They laugh no more 

Yeah but if you're pimping a benchmark track, why are you saying I-95 will mix? They aren't sniffing a mix with a BM track.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I’d favor something just inside the benchmark right now

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah but if you're pimping a benchmark track, why are you saying I-95 will mix? They aren't sniffing a mix with a BM track.

laying the burn on