dendrite Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: None of them All of you worship the euro where it's just an average model. Average is a bit harsh although it’s been less impressive lately. I think people just want to hate it. I can remember so many systems in the last 5+ years where the GFS was late to the cyclogenesis party even inside of 24hrs. I mean it was still trying to snow through a bone dry column in SNE yesterday right up until go-time so it still has plenty of physical flaws. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Tomer is a gfs hugger whatever it shows that run he goes with . Yesterday he was saying it will be a total whiff… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Come with me my sheep, for I am thy shepherd...... 1 1 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 The gfs track could happen. Bombogenesis near the Cape. Still think Ptype is the issue for me, but that would work even here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 6z euro came back west from 00z by about 25 miles, goes a bit east of BM. also a good bit stronger than 00z 25 mb drop in 18 hours. nice for eastern areas. also looks to be chasing convection to east like 00z but it’s def a bit west. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Let's go, hopefully goes north of BOS with sfc low track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 11 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Let’s get it to blow up and everyone happy. YES SIR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 6z euro cane back west from 00z by about 25 miles also a good bit stronger than 00z nice for eastern areas. also looks to be chasing convection to east like 00z but it’s def a bit west Yep more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Is it sampling the split yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Is it sampling the split yet No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Euro will come west in the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 hour ago, dendrite said: I love how suddenly the GFS is treated as the best model now. Ha ha…good luck with that long term. The days of the euro king in the 2-4 day range definitely have not occurred. I’m sure gfs will still have its issues, but the days of euro yore are gone for the time being. Still weigh EPS more than GEFS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Scott , maybe not the thread for this....you still like Jan. 10-11 range for next to follow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Shouldn’t we be dumping ensembles pretty soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Shouldn’t we be dumping ensembles pretty soon? Wut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Shouldn’t we be dumping ensembles pretty soon? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The days of the euro king in the 2-4 day range definitely have not occurred. I’m sure gfs will still have its issues, but the days of euro yore are gone for the time being. Still weigh EPS more than GEFS. Yes I agree, euro has been absolutely dreadful in a few storms this year. GFS was late to the party on this one so nod to euro on that. Let’s see which is more consistent in the lead up to the storm. They are about equal now in my eyes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Cmc gets no respect. Good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Can we to back to the euro from the early 2000s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Cmc gets no respect. Good. Cmc just had a big upgrade last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Shouldn’t we be dumping ensembles pretty soon? Usually 24-36 hours yes but we still have about 6 runs to get there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: Cmc just had a big upgrade last year If this comes to fruition, def mark it as a mid range win for the canadians. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 If not for Euro chasing this convection it would ride up over SE Mass.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 12z should be fun to watch come out today.. first good threat for us of the year! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 6 minutes ago, 512high said: Scott , maybe not the thread for this....you still like Jan. 10-11 range for next to follow? Yeah, but don’t expect 14-15 to happen. We’ll have a window for some snow chances and colder weather. Some signs a more Nina look happens later in the month with maybe a drop in the PNA, but most guidance maintains a decent ridge in the EPAC. That’s about all I can say. Can’t say if it’s a snowy period or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: If not for Euro chasing this convection it would ride up over SE Mass.. Yeah those are the areas I mentioned yesterday. I sort of see this moving due north and crossing the Cape. Maybe even near PYM. Hope not over PYM, but just my feeling. We’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Come with me my sheep, for I am thy shepherd...... Yee could have snow up to thy knickers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cmc just had a big upgrade downgrade last year You mean it went from bad to worse? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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