Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[Typhoon Tip]

19 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

It won't be that far away, gotta be close enough to tease us. My call is still that the euro caves and mostly whiffs on a run soon but then the models all jump back a west somewhat 36-48 hours out to give a moderate event to some areas. 

I’ve been dancing with the Boxing Day storm in 2010. Disappeared for two days and came all the way back in like two cycles to wallop everyone excep me heh. No but it too came off the PAC rather blindly in fast flow leaving offices little time to go all the way to blizzard warnings.  Actually check that on bl but it was a rush job. 

[IowaStorm05]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I’ve been dancing with the Boxing Day storm in 2010. Disappeared for two days and came all the way back in like two cycles to wallop everyone excep me heh. No but it too came off the PAC rather blindly in fast flow leaving office little time to go Althea way to blizzard warnings.  Actually check that on bl but it was a rush job. 

Boxing Day slammed my hood on the west side of Coventry Ct with like 30 - 35 inches of snow. My dad was married to a woman and they had a huge house. But strangely I remember the storm taking place before Christmas like the 22nd not the 27th. But my adult memory isn’t as strong as my childhood one

[IowaStorm05]

So perhaps this would be an event where the keepers say “no, Willimantic, this is a mild winter and you’ve already had 2 inches at Christmas so this storm is only for Boston.

[powderfreak]

21 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

It won't be that far away, gotta be close enough to tease us. My call is still that the euro caves and mostly whiffs on a run soon but then the models all jump back west somewhat 36-48 hours out to give a moderate event to some areas. 

That is often the model run pattern, I like that line of thinking based on anecdotal experience.

[MJO812]

Nam way more amped 

[PhineasC]

NAM with a cool 1000+ mile shift from 18z. No biggie.

[78Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

NAM with a cool 1000+ mile shift from 18z. No biggie.

Looks like the 18z was a burp run.  Definitely digging more this run.

[weathafella]

Just now, PhineasC said:

NAM with a cool 1000+ mile shift from 18z. No biggie.

To quote Forest Gump-NAM is like a box of chocolates-you never know what you’re gonna get..”

[ariof]

5 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

NAM with a cool 1000+ mile shift from 18z. No biggie.

Hey be nice to the NAM. It's only about 700 miles.

 

It's west of the 12Z Euro. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nam way more amped 

And slower, just good to see it’s not fish food 

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

And slower, just good to see it’s not fish food 

Definitely a half day slower!

[CoastalWx]

We knew.

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

And slower, just good to see it’s not fish food 

So not Thursday night?...........

[Ginx snewx]

37 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

Boxing Day slammed my hood on the west side of Coventry Ct with like 30 - 35 inches of snow. My dad was married to a woman and they had a huge house. But strangely I remember the storm taking place before Christmas like the 22nd not the 27th. But my adult memory isn’t as strong as my childhood one

You got 6 inches in Boxing day 2010. Glad he was married to a woman and not a dog.

[PhineasC]

37 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

Boxing Day slammed my hood on the west side of Coventry Ct with like 30 - 35 inches of snow. My dad was married to a woman and they had a huge house. But strangely I remember the storm taking place before Christmas like the 22nd not the 27th. But my adult memory isn’t as strong as my childhood one

Is your dad no longer married to a woman?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

NAM was setting up a big hit 

[ariof]

Toggling back and forth this NAM run at 84h looks most like the 00Z CMC run which was … hefty. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

NAM was setting up a big hit 

Yep.  Just looking at upper levels and it was gonna 

[IowaStorm05]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

You got 6 inches in Boxing day 2010. Glad he was married to a woman and not a dog.

Why am I so confused. I wonder if this massive storm I am thinking about…. Was not the Boxing Day storm.  What was it? I swear there was a multi footer, that Christmas 2010 had all that snow. I was about 25 years old. We’re there multiple storms that week? My recollections are pretty vivid… even what YouTube music videos I watched when I was there. Rihanna what’s my name…. The song Animal by some weird group that nobody remembers. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

3 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Is your dad no longer married to a woman?

Wtf…

[CoastalWx]

Given the s/w passing over the Gulf Stream, I’m sure the NAM will do something stupid over the next several runs.  

[MaineJayhawk]

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

So not Thursday night?...........

Apparently Thursday extends 6 hours into Friday

[IowaStorm05]

5 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Is your dad no longer married to a woman?

He is married to a woman. Just not the same one.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Given the s/w passing over the Gulf Stream, I’m sure the NAM will do something stupid over the next several runs.  

Gonna see some Uber amped solutions 4 sure.

[PhineasC]

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Wtf…

The way he phrased it was weird as hell.

[IowaStorm05]

14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

You got 6 inches in Boxing day 2010. Glad he was married to a woman and not a dog.

No I did not. I’m right after all. 14 to 20 inches on the map. Right where I was…. And guarantee it was closer to 20.

I remember the forecast leading up to it as well was something on the order of forecasting 10 to 20 inches but most people got screwed evidently 

[Ginx snewx]

NAM is a classic Noreaster in development.  Beautiful 500 mile easterly flow at 925 over dews in the teens. 850 and 700 in great position   200 and 300 mb steering winds right exit jet taking this off the Coast of NJ NE. Excellent looking on the model at least

[forkyfork]

we all want a 90 hour nam and 246 hour euro

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said:

No I did not. I’m right after all. 14 to 20 inches on the map. Right where I was…. And guarantee it was closer to 20

Is that Lunnenburg?

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

Why am I so confused. I wonder if this massive storm I am thinking about…. Was not the Boxing Day storm.  What was it? I swear there was a multi footer, that Christmas 2010 had all that snow. I was about 25 years old. We’re there multiple storms that week? My recollections are pretty vivid… even what YouTube music videos I watched when I was there. Rihanna what’s my name…. The song Animal by some weird group that nobody remembers. 

30 to 35 inches was Feb 2013