ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Maybe I’m a weenie but that looks like snow here It is. That’s prob a big solution for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It is. That’s prob a big solution for eastern areas. Next step: “Looks like the Cape still gets a couple inches.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Maybe I’m a weenie but that looks like snow here You’re fine there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Wake me up Thurs when this is more of a lock...or not Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 East of River special coming you can feel it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 18Z coming in hot with 1 to 2 per hour snows. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Extrapolates unite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lean back . Do tha Rockaway Drunk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 That's a BM special 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Next step: “Looks like the Cape still gets a couple inches.” I’m not really that worried about a whiff on this. It has that look of ripping some good bands pretty far west…it’s always possible it gets more sheared as we get closer but usually when you see the energy consolidated at the base of the trough like that, it doesn’t trend sheared/flat 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Two competing things I see. Low pressure feeling tugged by the strong S/W and the baroclinic zone off of Hatteras. It’s a matter of which is dominant. I take it we can guess which one you think it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Nice inside 5 days now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's a BM special That looks inside the benchmark, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Not much in the way of confluence to the NE either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, mahk_webstah said: That looks inside the benchmark, no? Yes, That's inside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: Yes, That's inside. 18Z stops the bleeding. Confidence growing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I’m not really that worried about a whiff on this. It has that look of ripping some good bands pretty far west…it’s always possible it gets more sheared as we get closer but usually when you see the energy consolidated at the base of the trough like that, it doesn’t trend sheared/flat Always gonna have the ML 20/30:1 ratios well north and west of low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, mahk_webstah said: 18Z stops the bleeding. Confidence growing. Another frame and that looks like it would cross 41/70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It is. That’s prob a big solution for eastern areas. Most are more concerned with what happens along 495. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Two competing things I see. Low pressure feeling tugged by the strong S/W and the baroclinic zone off of Hatteras. It’s a matter of which is dominant. You rang? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: 18Z stops the bleeding. Confidence growing. Until 0z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Another frame and that looks like it would cross 41/70. a very good spot for a Berks to Dendrite to Jeff deformation band. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice inside 5 days now Ya inside day 4 now start time is 81 hours for 00z guidance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Until 0z: Hang in there brother. Its comin... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 The stronger versions we’ve seen of this storm are pretty intense. It’s moving fast but you’d easily see widespread 12+ with some of those looks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 13 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I take it we can guess which one you think it is Let’s get it to blow up and everyone happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ya inside day 4 now start time is 81 hours for 00z guidance Anything can happen obviously, I mean look at the Mid Atlantic today, but this has been modelled for at least 4 days with very little significant wavering. Tip's post at the beginning was a good one about why there will be a storm. WPC has had this as a day 7, then day 6, then day 5, now day 4 event for most of New England. This is probably happening, details tbd, more risk of going inside the coastline than OTS because nothing to push it out. It is a good set up for the interior zones in particular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 18z EPS looks like it would be east of 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Seems like Willimantic is a pretty good spot for this one. Maybe a risk of some sleet mixing in late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 21 minutes ago, dryslot said: Drunk? You should give rap a chance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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