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Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?


Typhoon Tip
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4 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Next step:

“Looks like the Cape still gets a couple inches.”

I’m not really that worried about a whiff on this. It has that look of ripping some good bands pretty far west…it’s always possible it gets more sheared as we get closer but usually when you see the energy consolidated at the base of the trough like that, it doesn’t trend sheared/flat

 

 

 

36AB2369-FAD3-4717-9F45-973F2FD11CC1.png

823BEC27-C6E7-4D31-A9E2-09A7545159D5.png

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4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’m not really that worried about a whiff on this. It has that look of ripping some good bands pretty far west…it’s always possible it gets more sheared as we get closer but usually when you see the energy consolidated at the base of the trough like that, it doesn’t trend sheared/flat

 

 

 

36AB2369-FAD3-4717-9F45-973F2FD11CC1.png

823BEC27-C6E7-4D31-A9E2-09A7545159D5.png

Always gonna have the ML 20/30:1 ratios well north and west of low.

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Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya inside day 4 now start time is 81 hours for 00z guidance 

Anything can happen obviously, I mean look at the Mid Atlantic today, but this has been modelled for at least 4 days with very little significant wavering.  Tip's post at the beginning was a good one about why there will be a storm.  WPC has had this as a day 7, then day 6, then day 5, now day 4 event for most of New England.  This is probably happening, details tbd, more risk of going inside the coastline than OTS because nothing to push it out.  It is a good set up for the interior zones in particular.

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