Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[PhineasC]

Any radar hallucinations yet?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Envy is a pathway to the dark side…Luke. 
 

We did just as well last year…no envy here. 

On a relative scale, yes. We avg more than most in sema but I like how they stick out in the path of offshore lows. 

[Torch Tiger]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Envy is a pathway to the dark side…Luke. 
 

We did just as well last year…no envy here. 

snow has tamed you... zero bark or bite today

[IowaStorm05]

It’s not impossible that WWA could be upgraded to warning in some of the eastern areas within the WWA swath, no?

[ROOSTA]

Let the grids do the talking... ANOTHER WEENIE SNOWMAP!   
HRRR from 00z to 12z. Cutback bigtime with not as much W expansion. (rgem too) Expect ML fronto magic with amounts higher than modeled Only question left IMHO is where it sets-up. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Crazy how the entire of SNE is getting 4-8” lollis to 9-10

I actually cut back a hair...I was general 6-12", but that dual low limits this a bit.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I’ll be making a much anticipated map later 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said:

I’m getting 10” IMBY!!!!

Maybe a lolli to 15" where the wind upslopes off of the balk head a bit.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Start high and adjust higher

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

If anyone sees double digits from this I’ll be shocked. I’d consider that a major win.

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Maybe a lolli to 15" where the wind upslopes off of the balk head a bit.

Hahahahaha

[40/70 Benchmark]

14 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

I hope it’s not centered over Methuen. 

If Holliston gets 10", sure.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I think we are out of time as far as meaningful changes go. What you see is what you get for the most part at this point. This isn’t going to move 150 miles over the next 12 hours 

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

If anyone sees double digits from this I’ll be shocked. I’d consider that a major win.

It's going to be you..and everyone won't be shocked at this post

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I actually cut back a hair...I was general 6-12", but that dual low limits this a bit.

From you to Scoots to ORH to here to Runaway to Wolf to RI

All 4-8” lolli 9-10”. Very uniform 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

From you to Scoots to ORH to here to Runaway to Wolf to RI

All 4-8” lolli 9-10”. Very uniform 

Agree.

[moneypitmike]

 

23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

These were blockbusters in the late 1980s/early 1990s before Dec 1992. You got excited for 3-6 but 5-10 was literally "having trouble falling asleep" type excitement like on Christmas Eve. Just the chance of getting 10" was exhilarating.

Growing up in New London, I remember one storm gave us 8".  I was awed--and might have even charge a buck or two more for shoveling walks/drives. 

I'm sure glad I don't live there anymore.    And fortunately, I'm now on that line from Kevin to Ray.

[tamarack]

We're in GYX's 2-4 slot while the forecast for the SNJ crew is 3-5.  Hope they hit the 5" to match what they saw on Monday - would give them 2 storms bigger than any we've had here, like a mini 2009-10.

[LovewellHemp]

4 hours ago, Digityman said:

Where is Rhode Island?   And why did it become so important all of a sudden.   /sarcasim.

You'd be surprised by how many Americans think it's a city in NY lol 

[40/70 Benchmark]

15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It had never happened 3 consecutive before that....or since. Truly an anomaly....a depressing one for a young snow weenie, lol.

Anyways....prob not seeing 10" with this one, but can't entirely rule it out. I'd prob go 5-8" for ORH in this one.

I agree...the higher end totals are reserved for interior eastern Mass IMO. That's why I made that other graphic in my write up denoting that.

[HoarfrostHubb]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

From you to Scoots to ORH to here to Runaway to Wolf to RI

All 4-8” lolli 9-10”. Very uniform 

That sounds about right   Good range

[78Blizzard]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I think we are out of time as far as meaningful changes go. What you see is what you get for the most part at this point. This isn’t going to move 150 miles over the next 12 hours 

If that convection to the east fades away, it doesn't have to move any further west for a meaningful change.  But I don't expect that to happen.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Marlboro jack for this... maybe Hudson?

[LovewellHemp]

4 hours ago, NeonPeon said:

If you draw a line through the middle of RI as far as its longitudinal boundaries, it won't split the state in half in terms of land mass either, because the state isn't a square.

Luckily? Glacially, the bay already does that, and it does a serviceable job of splitting the population, since almost nobody lives in the Northwestern half of the west bay.

I've been living here for over decade, and I've never heard anyone speak about east and west with regard to RI other than in terms of relation to the bay. Perhaps this is something that people on the west bay do, but people on the east bay don't. Which would only underscore the valid distinction, haha.

I don't think Charlestown is in the best place for this, but you're in a good spot and don't have to fret the P-type as is our wont. Enjoy the snow over there.  I feel like early January snow is almost a bonus here.

 

I think that people on the mainland such as myself generally use 95 to split e/w. But if we're talking longitudinally then I understand your perspective. 

 

It's definitely a special event when our neck of the woods is in the sweet spot. I agree that Charlestown is not ideal, but I'm used to getting 30% of the snowfall that the rest of the board sees so I'll be happy with whatever I get. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Marlboro jack for this... maybe Hudson?

Moneypitmike? Lol

[ORH_wxman]

RAP has been getting better each run it seems. Still out of its wheelhouse, but it'll be interesting to see if this carries over the 18z model suite for the big boys.

[NeonPeon]

1 minute ago, LovewellHemp said:

It's definitely a special event when our neck of the woods is in the sweet spot. I agree that Charlestown is not ideal, but I'm used to getting 30% of the snowfall that the rest of the board sees so I'll be happy with whatever I get. 

This is the attitude we beggars must have.

[NeonPeon]

Just now, WestBabylonWeather said:

Can NE annex long island. 

Why on god's green earth would we want that dump?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

From you to Scoots to ORH to here to Runaway to Wolf to RI

All 4-8” lolli 9-10”. Very uniform 

We will smoke a fat J in the morning if you right

Then again, I have 2-4” for here so if I hit 4” we both right.

fuk it, we’ll smoke a fat J regardless.

[ORH_wxman]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

RAP has been getting better each run it seems. Still out of its wheelhouse, but it'll be interesting to see if this carries over the 18z model suite for the big boys.

You can see how consolidated the RAP is trying to get the low by tomorrow morning...this is 15z (10am) tomorrow