Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

12z Hrrr is kind of a shredded mess so far

I mean, it's not bad still, decent track. just not quite like 6z

[NeonPeon]

4 minutes ago, Pluffmud said:

Are we really arguing semantics here? The east side of the bay is the RI/ Mass line. Just let it go dude.

Yes, we are really arguing petty semantics about geography, that's about 10% of what this board does, near as I can figure it. I'm not really that invested, however, you are wrong.

The east bay is Little Compton, Tiverton, Bristol, Warren, Barrington, and Riverside. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

My take.  These off hour waffles on the models is maddening.  

Starting to see the banding signal in the qpf/snow graphics.  Hopefully someone doesn't rot in the middle as this thing gets going.  Would be nice to see a widespread snowfall for all.  I feel confident on a broad 4-8" snow, with some lollies t0 24" in lunenburg,

[Ginx snewx]

6 EPS mean is NW at 30 and W at 36 we snow

[dryslot]

53 minutes ago, The Graupler said:

Since Covid coffee just doesn’t taste the same.    Thinking of not going into work because the timing off the storm greatly effects my commute. 
 

thinking of buying baseball cards to flip 

How long have you been wrestling with that idea? Or do you still have it in a hold, What’s the timing? Have you got that pinned down? How many did you buy? 1-2-3?

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

The trends at 18z were moving back to @ Bench mark or Just inside it , then every model but the putrid gf’s was chucked at 0z when they bumped East . For the 495 crowd we went from Weenie band magic to meh band . We’ll see where that initial banding sets up prior to the meat getting here but we are not in a good spot for this and last evening you were . 
 

I dunno what Direction next 12 hours will Tickle but this has been a back and forth for day’s .

I guess I wasn't that  unnerved by the EURO going a bit east at 00z BC I expected it, and likewise RE west shift at 06z. I don't really care about the GEM and NAM.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

6 EPS mean is NW at 30 and W at 36 we snow

Big un coming 

[codfishsnowman]

7 minutes ago, Pluffmud said:

Are we really arguing semantics here? The east side of the bay is the RI/ Mass line. Just let it go dude.

Reading the banter between the two of you had been amusing. I spent half my life in RI and never gave it that much thought

[Cmass495]

[CoastalWx]

Doesn't look shredded to me. I actually think 95 east (esp near coast) may have some temps near 32-33 for a bit to limit accumulations at first. They'll catch up later though. 

[ORH_wxman]

HRRR definitely a bit more subdued than 06z though it is still really good for E MA and RI and E CT.

[HoarfrostHubb]

7 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

Yes, we are really arguing petty semantics about geography, that's about 10% of what this board does, near as I can figure it. I'm not really that invested, however, you are wrong.

The east bay is Little Compton, Tiverton, Bristol, Warren, Barrington, and Riverside. 

Jamestown?

[PhineasC]

1 minute ago, Cmass495 said:

If only it would go NNE from there.   

[JC-CT]

Just now, Cmass495 said:

Yeah, it's really feeling the confluence or something, I'm not sure...but it's going to be a major cutback on qpf from 0z and especially 6z. Still in line with other guidance, probably more so now. Goalposts are pretty honed in.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Doesn't look shredded to me. I actually think 95 east (esp near coast) may have some temps near 32-33 for a bit to limit accumulations at first. They'll catch up later though. 

Yeah places like BOS might be slow in the first 2-3 hours and then they'll go to poundtown tomorrow morning.

[Baroclinic Zone]

12z HRRR looks fine to me.

[JC-CT]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Doesn't look shredded to me. I actually think 95 east (esp near coast) may have some temps near 32-33 for a bit to limit accumulations at first. They'll catch up later though. 

Just vs prior runs of itself. It's still fine, within the range of board expectations (hopefully)

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Ya worst hrrr run in a while  meh until you get to eastern areas. 

[NeonPeon]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Jamestown?

A semi autonomous collective.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

12z HRRR looks fine to me.

 

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya worst hrrr run in a while  meh until you get to eastern areas. 

I don't need to look at it...got a pretty good idea lol

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Doesn't look shredded to me. I actually think 95 east (esp near coast) may have some temps near 32-33 for a bit to limit accumulations at first. They'll catch up later though. 

It just took longer to get its act going, to late west of river.

[JC-CT]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

12z HRRR looks fine to me.

I promise, those further west than you will notice the difference if they are paying attention to it.

[Ginx snewx]

12 minutes ago, WalpoleJoe said:

East Bay and West Bay.  I grew up in Cranston, West Bay, and we went to Narragansett for the summer, so the East Bay didn't exist....RI is unique, a great place to grow up

Hey Giuseppe 

 

[JC-CT]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

I don't need to look at it...got a pretty good idea lol

Yeah, it got cranking later. So eastern areas still do pretty well, western areas did worse. But it still cut back for everyone.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah places like BOS might be slow in the first 2-3 hours and then they'll go to poundtown tomorrow morning.

Yet another event in which I am probably too far in one direction....could see you and scooter getting like 7", while I get like 3".

I'm at peace with it, at this point.

[karmac]

17 minutes ago, Pluffmud said:

I’m a mile from Narragansett Bay so yes 

I too am in E. Greenwich (just moved here from NJ)... always considered this west bay.... so???

[JC-CT]

It was a bridge jumping change from 6z for our mid atlantic friends.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Yeah, it got cranking later. So eastern areas still do pretty well, western areas did worse. But it still cut back for everyone.

Ya cut back from .65qpf at 6z in western areas to like .18 big drop off.  Just got going way to late you can see early in the run.

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya cut back from .65qpf at 6z in western areas to like .18 big drop off.  Just got going way to late you can see early in the run.

Pants tent to pants indent….

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yet another event in which I am probably too far in one direction....could see you and scooter getting like 7", while I get like 3".

I'm at peace with it, at this point.

You might have enough longitude eastward to do just fine.