Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[MaineJayhawk]

Just now, NorEastermass128 said:

I wake up, see this post and think everything went to crap. I then see I’m under a WSW for 5-8” and WeatherBug shows 6-10”. I go back a page and see that the GFS is a good storm. Man, we need to be more positive. 

Dude acts like he's getting fringed

[TalcottWx]

14 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’m pretty surprised and disappointed west trends didn’t materialize. I think we are out of time. This event is what it is at this point 

You have the gall to shine about being *directly in the CROSSHAIRS* of where the most snow is going to fall. For the love of all that is holy.... ENOUGH

[TalcottWx]

11 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

I wake up, see this post and think everything went to crap. I then see I’m under a WSW for 5-8” and WeatherBug shows 6-10”. I go back a page and see that the GFS is a good storm. Man, we need to be more positive. 

Anyone just waking up and lurking: storm is on. Our weather board is mentally deranged. Including myself. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I never said a storm wasn’t coming. It’s just disappointing this just can’t get over the hump.

[Damage In Tolland]

21 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

Teabag in Tolland?

Tickle the bag?

[Modfan2]

4 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Anyone just waking up and lurking: storm is on. Our weather board is mentally deranged. Including myself. 

I never knew DotRat was really Antonio Brown! Lol!

[Damage In Tolland]

Best map I have seen though I would extend that 6-8” right down thru SW CT 

[kdxken]

13 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I never said a storm wasn’t coming. It’s just disappointing this just can’t get over the hump.

The storm track for an approaching coastal low pressure system
is beginning to become more clear. At this time it appears as
though this system will pass just south and east of the 40N/70W
benchmark. This will support accumulating snowfall for almost
all of southern New England. At this time it appears as though
the heaviest snowfall will be over southeastern MA. Consulting
mesoscale model guidance a respectable low-level frontogenesis
band extending southwest to northeast is expected to set up
somewhere over The Cape and Islands. We generally expect
heaviest snowfall just to the northwest of these frontogenetic
features. Hence, the expectation that southeastern MA will see
the brunt of this snowfall.

[TalcottWx]

17 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I never said a storm wasn’t coming. It’s just disappointing this just can’t get over the hump.

The vast majority, 95%+ of winter storms never get over the hump to a historic or major snowfall. Especially when looking at this from for example the last 50 years. We have had an active period that has skewed everyone's mental expectations of winter. We have a strong snowstorm on the way and you are waffling run to run. When you drive a car, you're looking at the road in front of you, not staring at the windshield wipers going side to eyes. Steady the mental ship. 

The reason why I make sure to be kinda mean about this topic, is because if you get snow, I generally do too. But if I was sitting up just far north and west to miss this storm completely, I would hate you. I am trying to make you see it from that Individuals perception. 

[The 4 Seasons]

12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Best map I have seen though I would extend that 6-8” right down thru SW CT 

agree

[MJO812]

[ORH_wxman]

Nice bump back west on 06z euro. Man, that off hour/on hour tango is so weird. 

[The 4 Seasons]

I was getting deja vu with some of these maps so i went back and looked through Feb 7th 2021. Had to share these striking similarities at the surface from models from the Feb 7th 2021 nor'easter.

21 left/22 right

 

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Nice bump back west on 06z euro. Man, that off hour/on hour tango is so weird. 

It’s a left and right goalpost. 

[CoastalWx]

Wtf is Tblizz talking about?

[The 4 Seasons]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Nice bump back west on 06z euro. Man, that off hour/on hour tango is so weird. 

i remember it last season too for some reason. 

[CoastalWx]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Scooter knows cancel?

 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Wtf is Tblizz talking about?

Just playing his old tired game that you and a few others fall for everytime and respond 

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

i remember it last season too for some reason. 

The euro has done this since they started with the 06z and 18z runs, I made the comment over a year ago that they were different from the 0z and 12z runs and still are.

[Damage In Tolland]

Nice heavy banding sig on HREF. Ryan loves this model 

 

[WinterWolf]

52 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

You have the gall to shine about being *directly in the CROSSHAIRS* of where the most snow is going to fall. For the love of all that is holy.... ENOUGH

He just sucks…unreadable. 5 post him for god sakes! 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

SE of benchmark , Meh. Back to se mass system with advisory for others still looking hopeful but not guaranteed. Lots of bias and spiking last nite before 0z euro and 6z suite .

I would anticipate this will tickle again in any direction the next 18 hours .

also the maps will tickle down by noon unless 12z tickles back west , if you can’t see that your too emotionally involved 

watch the 12z HREF and see if it hangs on to the 0z last nite look 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

32 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

agree

Nah. 6-8” back to swct is a bit of a stretch. I think we see the majority out here report 3-4”. 

[TalcottWx]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

He just sucks…unreadable. 5 post him for god sakes! 

Hahaha Tblizz good dude he just negative Nance sometimes.... I would five post others lol.... If we five post Tblizz, I would have been five posted a few times

[HoarfrostHubb]

Wolfie on the rampage

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

SE of benchmark , Meh. Back to se mass system with advisory for others still looking hopeful but not guaranteed. Lots of bias and spiking last nite before 0z euro and 6z suite .

I would anticipate this will tickle again in any direction the next 18 hours .

also the maps will tickle down by noon unless 12z tickles back west , if you can’t see that your too emotionally involved 

You're still in ASH right? I don't blame you for being unexcited at all. BTW we gotta catch up on messenger soon. Plenty to talk about in markets... I made 700% on a QQQ put yesterday. Lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Hahaha Tblizz good dude he just negative Nance sometimes.... I would five post others lol.... If we five post Tblizz, I would have been five posted a few times

Sometimes?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Wolfie on the rampage

The morning hunt is on.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 hour ago, DotRat_Wx said:

That's officer Seymour

Officer Seymour butts to you

Some Seymour weenies unfortunately 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nah. 6-8” back to swct is a bit of a stretch. I think we see the majority out here report 3-4”. 

4-8”+ coming for most of CT, 2-4” for Litchfield county maybe. Can’t ignore the banding signature across the heart of CT.