Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[ROOSTA]

Zeus is in the house.
Becoming clearer that a moderate event will unfold. Where? how much? minor details.
Come March or in the prolific snow years of yesteryear this type event would likely only garner a dozen posts or so.
First one is big regradless of amounts.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

5 minutes ago, Greg said:

Jet Streak and spacing influence of the storm to the north and strength of the SLP.

It's been doing this the past several storms....

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

And better for you. 

We edible. 
 

00z NAM looks like slightly lower heights over us through 18h but the vortmax is definitely stronger so we’ll see what happens later on. 

[Sn0waddict]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Congrats sema on hrrrrrr.

 

Pretty damn good for CT too. We take.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

ny86yanks is my username. i have not been active in awhile.

I’ll connect tomorrow. Legro and Runaway chose illicit weed and that’s their thing.  Beer is the way to go 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

We edible. 
 

00z NAM looks like slightly lower heights over us through 18h but the vortmax is definitely stronger so we’ll see what happens later on. 

You da boss. 
 

If the hrrrr has any legs we’ll need other mesos to start moving nw now.

[SeanInWayland]

10 minutes ago, Greg said:

Jet Streak and spacing influence of the storm to the north and strength of the SLP.

So, IANAM. WIth that being said, there clearly appears to be some kind of relative bias between on-hour and off-hour runs. Seems like that's something modelers would want to eliminate, so I'm wondering if that pattern is common.

[dryslot]

Yes, looks like 0z Nam is making up some ground, That s/w is strong and its looks like its a tic or two west @hr27

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’ll connect tomorrow. Legro and Runaway chose illicit weed and that’s their thing.  Beer is the way to go 

It’s like you think thc is lsd for some reason. You’re so old, so conservative…such a shame. 

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’ll connect tomorrow. Legro and Runaway chose illicit weed and that’s their thing.  Beer is the way to go 

it's no different than 100 years ago

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s like you think thc is lsd for some reason. You’re so old, so conservative…such a shame. 

What’s wrong with acid? 

[Baroclinic Zone]

I like the subtle sharper trough with the energy consolidated at the base.

[HoarfrostHubb]

9 minutes ago, eduggs said:

The HRRR looks like the NWS expected snowfall map from earlier today.

Garden State Parkway to I-95 special. That's a legit storm if it's real.

I find it usually underdoes it too... so that's eye opening

[ORH_wxman]

Looks a bit more amped by 30h. I’m doing this on my phone tonight though so it’s not easy to toggle. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Liking tonight’s trends.  I should have trusted Scooter!!

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Pretty damn good for CT too. We take.

Yea that would get some good bands back to us, for sure. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

What’s wrong with acid? 

'shrooms are the bees knees

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Looks a bit more amped by 30h. I’m doing this on my phone tonight though so it’s not easy to toggle. 

I'm looking for a more consolidated look out of the NAM from upper levels to surface and that's what I'm seeing thus far.  Good start to tnites runs.

[ineedsnow]

NAM is going to be better for sure 

[JC-CT]

weenies gonna be happy

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

What’s wrong with acid? 

Absolutely nothing but he thinks people take 5mg of a gummy and they trip their faces off for 6hrs.

[ORH_wxman]

Yep this is def NW of 18z

[Baroclinic Zone]

Wow, what a difference at 33hr.  998mb low vs 1001mb low and 100mi NW.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Getting its act together, sooner

[JC-CT]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Yep this is def NW of 18z

by a lot

[wxsniss]

At hr 33 look at that upstream kink at H5, wasn't there on 18z... I think gonna be a better run

What's for sure, 12z NAM was an outlier

[JC-CT]

the holdouts are gone. pretty good agreement for a box-like map now

[Baroclinic Zone]

That's a great move by the NAM.

[dryslot]

That's a good move W, The stronger s/w is the key.

[radarman]

Shutesbury microclimo talk, hallucinogen references, and the nammy ramping up as we close in... 2022 is already better than 2021