Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[JC-CT]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I find a bust in either direction entertaining . I honestly don’t care how much falls . I know it’s odd but the following of the storm is something I have enjoyed more than the storm for a while, and the emotions .

It strangely feels like fantasy football in a way.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I find a bust in either direction entertaining . I honestly don’t care how much falls . I know it’s odd but the following of the storm is something I have enjoyed more than the storm for a while, and the emotions .

As Tip would say, the cinema and dopamine drip.

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I find a bust in either direction entertaining . I honestly don’t care how much falls . I know it’s odd but the following of the storm is something I have enjoyed more than the storm for a while, and the emotions .

I think that’s pretty common amongst us

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

We needed a touch of blue and we got it…lol

I think my post had missed .1" for some people.  My bad.

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I find a bust in either direction entertaining . I honestly don’t care how much falls . I know it’s odd but the following of the storm is something I have enjoyed more than the storm for a while, and the emotions .

Kind of like Christmas. The lead-up is always better.

[JC-CT]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

I think my post had missed .1" for some people.  My bad.

0.3"

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I find a bust in either direction entertaining . I honestly don’t care how much falls . I know it’s odd but the following of the storm is something I have enjoyed more than the storm for a while, and the emotions .

Yea Tracking is sometimes more enjoyable, Dryslot feels the same IIRC. The science, the emotions, the shitshow in here…it’s a great way to spend time. 

[moneypitmike]

Well--past bed time.   Hopefully I'll find snowcvoer when I get up at 4:15.

[kdxken]

7 minutes ago, WhiteLawns said:

Do you think we’ll get low end of your map in the torrington area?

Probably more than shutesbury and New Marlborough.

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Who cares at this point. Just watch the radar

Thank you.  I’m about done with this POS! Let’s see how it plays out now. Modeling all over the place for days and days.  Ridiculous.  I’m liking the .4-.5 of precip here…that’ll yield 4-6” if that’s even true. Who knows and quite honestly I don’t care anymore.  
 

And If the GFS can’t get this right 6-8 hrs out from go time…that thing should be retired with the NAM. 
 

It’s Nowcast time…put these models to bed now. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I'll gladly take 5 inches to smooth out the ruts on the trails. A little rain on Sunday and a hard freeze, looks like smooth wood Gathering next week.

You go deep in woods to cut and gather?

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I think that’s pretty common amongst us

If it sucks, then I'll just go back to sleep.

[kdxken]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You go deep in woods to cut and gather?

 A mile or two.

[TalcottWx]

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Globals and euro vs rest of mesos pending 0z gfs.  I’m not staying up for the euro

I'm in bed setting alarm little early tomorrow weenie full staff 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 A mile or two.

On your land? Also, Do you ever cut anything down if someone has a tree on their property they’d like removed, for money or otherwise?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea Tracking is sometimes more enjoyable, Dryslot feels the same IIRC. The science, the emotions, the shitshow in here…it’s a great way to spend time. 

With snowstorms for me it’s like this especially , maybe just because being out in the elements is just not as enjoyable (Cold /windy ) . When I lived in Florida for a decade tracking hurricanes on a forum (storm2k) was a favorite past time but the difference was the actual storm was pretty dang awe inspiring , I like the ocean wave aspect and the winds (and warmth ) are just more fun to be out in (being reasonable w risk taking )but I’m still hooked on winter storms 

[DavisStraight]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Thank you.  I’m about done with this POS! Let’s see how it plays out now. Modeling all over the place for days and days.  Ridiculous.  I’m liking the .4-.5 of precip here…that’ll yield 4-6” if that’s even true. Who knows and quite honestly I don’t care anymore.  
 

And If the GFS can’t get this right 6-8 hrs out from go time…that thing should be retired with the NAM. 
 

It’s Nowcast time…put these models to bed now. 

LOL, I feel the same, been a roller coaster.

[JC-CT]

Rgem actually looks pretty nice. Similar to 18z but I think it probably bumped a little.

[George001]

14 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Can we get a grip? Did people get their hearts set on 8-12?

We still don’t know if that eastern low thing will even be real. The upside is still there, we will find out in a few hours.

[The 4 Seasons]

FV3 HI Res looks very nice much better than the last run 12z. Sure most would take that on here. 

[NeonPeon]

2 minutes ago, George001 said:

We still don’t know if that eastern low thing will even be real. The upside is still there, we will find out in a few hours.

What do you mean we don't know whether it'll be real. You think the satellite is doing performance art? Is it a metaphor?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

With snowstorms for me it’s like this especially , maybe just because being out in the elements is just not as enjoyable (Cold /windy ) . When I lived in Florida for a decade tracking hurricanes on a forum (storm2k) was a favorite past time but the difference was the actual storm was pretty dang awe inspiring , I like the ocean wave aspect and the winds (and warmth ) are just more fun to be out in (being reasonable w risk taking )

I can see that for sure. I’ll always be a cold/snow weather guy though. I like being out in it and especially now that my son is a weenie. I can’t deal with wind though. I’m the first one inside and I’ll leave his little ass out there.

[40/70 Benchmark]

There is waaaaay too much short term data.  Its drives me fu&king absolutely bonkers.

[MuddyWx]

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Rgem actually looks pretty nice. Similar to 18z but I think it probably bumped a little.

Where do you find the Rgem this early? Pivotal and TT are slow with it

[kdxken]

8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

On your land? Also, Do you ever cut anything down if someone has a tree on their property they’d like removed, for money or otherwise?

Yes, on my land. I help out folks when I get the chance.

[tavwtby]

18 minutes ago, WhiteLawns said:

Do you think we’ll get low end of your map in the torrington area?

perhaps my initial 1-3 was a good call for our area, got a bit excited seeing yesterday trends, but that convection offshore has been there nagging for days now, have to say don't expect more than a a couple inches, more would be great, but wishcasting leads to disappoint

[JC-CT]

Just now, MuddyWx said:

Where do you find the Rgem this early? Pivotal and TT are slow with it

https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

[FXWX]

49 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Seems like the convection is going to be an issue. A bit disappointing to see the RAP/HRRR and the NAM trends but still looks good for 3-6 in many spots in CT.

That's all I want...

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

There is waaaaay too much short term data.  Its drives me fu&king absolutely bonkers.

I’ve always thought too many models is a detriment. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’ve always thought too many models that don’t show me what I want is a detriment. 

Fixed