Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[weathafella]

I thought this was a better run of H

[JC-CT]

  On 1/7/2022 at 12:56 AM, weathafella said:

 

Was it 2/5/16?

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oooh, i don't think so but maybe? wasn't that the anafrontal that turned into a coastal

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:05 AM, wxsniss said:

I know what you're referring to... now this is bothering me too lol... I remember dubbing it "mogwai" because multiple pieces of vorticity spawned all these disparate surface lows upon hitting the coast and as a result guidance was a mess... the night before was stressful in this forum... ultimately consolidated west and we had a blizzard

I thought it was March 13 2018 blizzard but that was a fujiwara of 2 distinct lows

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It was the late January 2011 one(the second monster that month).  It came together at the last minute and croaked us hard!! 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Final call staying the course just mentioning potential for 8”+ if a quasi stationary band does develop. 
 

 

[JC-CT]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:20 AM, WinterWolf said:

It was the late January 2011 one(the second monster that month).  It came together at the last minute and croaked us hard!! 

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it's not the one I'm thinking of, but I did note that storm on the cips analogs yesterday

[moneypitmike]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:22 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Final call staying the course just mentioning potential for 8”+ if a quasi stationary band does develop. 
 

 

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Put that stake in the ground.  HRRR be damned!

[DavisStraight]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:18 AM, Sn0waddict said:

0Z HRRR was definitely better though.

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Yeah, doesn't look bad at all

[Damage In Tolland]

HRRR brought the band back together !

[JC-CT]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:23 AM, moneypitmike said:

Put that stake in the ground.  HRRR be damned!

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HRRR would still mostly verify that map

[moneypitmike]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:25 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR brought the band back together !

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Too bad it sucks with snow.

[JC-CT]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:27 AM, moneypitmike said:

Too bad it sucks with snow.

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So does your mazda miata

[weathafella]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:20 AM, JC-CT said:

oooh, i don't think so but maybe? wasn't that the anafrontal that turned into a coastal

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I think so.  I got about 9 inches-most falling during the day.  Nothing got cancelled including schools here in my town but every surrounding town was off.  

[Ginx snewx]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:20 AM, JC-CT said:

oooh, i don't think so but maybe? wasn't that the anafrontal that turned into a coastal

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Yes it was.

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:20 AM, JC-CT said:

oooh, i don't think so but maybe? wasn't that the anafrontal that turned into a coastal

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2/5/16 was the one that hit right after the super bowl that morning. 

[bishbish777]

00Z RAP much better than previous run too

[ineedsnow]

0z  increased qpf a bit 

[wxsniss]

01z (still comparing 18z 3kNAM to mesoanalysis):

looks weaker by windfields and pressure

[mob1]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:39 AM, bishbish777 said:

00Z RAP much better than previous run too

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[STILL N OF PIKE]

The superintendents unanimously want to close school tomorrow, they are hemorrhaging teachers due to Covid and pool testing positives for kids have gone up about 300% this week , they will do whatever they can to not go virtual or hybrid but they just want a break. if there is a chance it could snow tomorrow they are cancelling before any possible busted forecast  

[The 4 Seasons]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:22 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Final call staying the course just mentioning potential for 8”+ if a quasi stationary band does develop. 
 

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Nice graphic

[WinterWolf]

This is gonna be a good storm….  It’s gonna come together very nicely for most all of us. 

[DavisStraight]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:43 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

The superintendents unanimously want to close school tomorrow, they are hemorrhaging teaches due to Covid and pool testing positives have gone up about 300% this week , if there is a chance it could snow tomorrow they are cancelling before any possible busted forecast  

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Most schools in my area already announced they're closed tomorrow.

[Hoth]

qg-omega still calling a whiff?

[JC-CT]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:44 AM, The 4 Seasons said:

Nice graphic

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I just figured you were the same person

[Lava Rock]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:45 AM, DavisStraight said:

Most schools in my area already announced they're closed tomorrow.

Zoom instead?

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:45 AM, DavisStraight said:

Most schools in my area already announced they're closed tomorrow.

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Our superintendent announced at 300 pm that we’d be closed tomorrow.  He got caught yesterday morning with the ice here that was super bad, so we knew he’d cancel today for tomorrow’s snow, due to the extreme heat he took yesterday for not delaying due to the treacherous conditions yesterday morning.  

[The 4 Seasons]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:46 AM, JC-CT said:

I just figured you were the same person

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No, we are indeed two different people,but work together. Along with another met here on the board. 

But I did that graphic, so it was a joke he just posted it for me. We work on the fx together though

[bishbish777]

So..is the FV3 any good? Because the 00Z run is pretty nice..

[Greg]

Nam 12KM and 3KM coming in! 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/7/2022 at 1:25 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR brought the band back together !

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Yea, the Hanson brothers.