Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

39 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

19z rap is even better than 18z lol

what site do you use?

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We knew you still loved snow. You haven’t been this excited since your Christmas goose came early 

Been fun to see one track positively for once.  I had a 6.4" and a 6.2" storm last season, so that's the benchmark. Mar 2018 was my last storm over 10"

[CT Rain]

Updated numbers

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Updated numbers

Kissed Ginx with the purple weenie, he happy now.

[ineedsnow]

7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

what site do you use?

pivotal probably 

[JC-CT]

 

 

[Sn0waddict]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

pivotal probably 

Correct 

[NorEastermass128]

My brother is a Lowell Public teacher. Snow day tomorrow. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

My map :

[PhineasC]

Yeah let’s get some radar hallucinations going.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

My map :

DIT has been drinking already so watch out…

[NotSureWeather]

Can the OES off the lakes help enhance this storm at all?

[George001]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

 

 

Looks like the precip shield is more expansive then expected

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

Yeah let’s get some radar hallucinations going.  

K.

KCMH 062051Z 28004KT 3/4SM R28L/P6000FT -SN OVC027 M07/M11 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP160 P0000 60000 T10721106 56014

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Kissed Ginx with the purple weenie, he happy now.

The 6-8 will be all the way back to you all along 84

[NorEastermass128]

Just now, NotSureWeather said:

Can the OES off the lakes help enhance this storm at all?

Only the Gulf Stream can do such things. 

[Greg]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

Looks like the precip shield is more expansive then expected

I noticed that too.

[JC-CT]

Just now, Greg said:

I see that too.

Phineas says No. He knows things, he's a very successful person.

[JC-CT]

Anyway, I was more focused on the convection in the atlantic.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The 6-8 will be all the way back to you all along 84

The RAP says you right. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

RAP keeps doubling down...

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, George001 said:

Looks like the precip shield is more expansive then expected

Doesn't mean anything for us, it's going west of us and will transfer to coastal.

[tunafish]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Anyway, I was more focused on the convection in the atlantic.

is it overdone on the model compared to radar, or is that just noise?  wondering if truly weaker on radar that helps at all, or does its mere presence, regardless of strength, cause the low to chase?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, tunafish said:

is it overdone on the model compared to radar, or is that just noise?  wondering if truly weaker on radar that helps at all, or does its mere presence, regardless of strength, cause the low to chase?

It's not a huge difference, but like tip said, it's kind of a self-feeding dynamic so little changes have the potential for (relatively) outsized effects. I don't think it means much for most of us, but for those on the fringes it could.

[tunafish]

WCSH going bullish up here 

[PhineasC]

6 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

K.

KCMH 062051Z 28004KT 3/4SM R28L/P6000FT -SN OVC027 M07/M11 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP160 P0000 60000 T10721106 56014

I was serious. I need a model bust up here.   

[wxsniss]

Here's the culprit off the coast that we're hoping is over-developed on guidance:

Hard to extrapolate from now, need to see how this evolves over next 6 hours... we want to see less convection blowing up and less of an organized/deepening low

21z:

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, tunafish said:

WCSH going bullish up here 

I'm sure he talked with Gutner, But Carson loves him some Euro, He's been itching the last two days to be able to do that lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Rgem better than 12z which was better than 6z.