Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[ineedsnow]

you could see at hr21 that it was trying to hang back closer to NJ this run.. nowcasting should be fun later on  

[40/70 Benchmark]

Same, exact solution as 06z in terms of snowfall.

[dryslot]

Looks like western areas got trimmed at 12z if its correct.

[dryslot]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:02 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Same, exact solution as 12z in terms of snowfall.

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For you, Yes.

[ineedsnow]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:02 PM, dryslot said:

Looks like western areas got trimmed at 12z if its correct.

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I think its because it couldnt figure out which low to focus on.. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:03 PM, dryslot said:

For you, Yes.

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Point is, I don't see where it got better.

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:03 PM, ineedsnow said:

I think its because it couldnt figure out which low to focus on.. 

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ya this is gonna have some surprises with it…so let’s get it on already and see how we do? 

[ORH_wxman]

It good that it didn't shift much at all from 06z....we had been previously seeing a distinct shift eastward, but this time it more or less held serve except maybe on the margins (and those on the margins will notice)

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:04 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Point is, I don't see where it got better.

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All you need to see.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:06 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

All you need to see.

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I think you need to distinguish between "looks better aloft", and "this run was snowier".

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'm serious, though...it breeds confusion.

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:07 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think you need to distinguish between "looks better aloft", and "this run was snowier".

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It was a lot "snowier" than 00z.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:10 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

It was a lot snowier than 00z.  

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Cool...I was comparing to 06z.

I mean, it looks fine...just trying to clarify.

[ineedsnow]

off topic question?  is f5 weather worth it or is there something better?

[dryslot]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:04 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Point is, I don't see where it got better.

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It actually didn't if your on the fringes.

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:11 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Cool...I was comparing to 06z.

I mean, it looks fine...just trying to clarify.

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[78Blizzard]

I prefer to compare to 0z and ignore the off hour run.  That was a marked improvement from 0z.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

It’s what tends to happen with a late bloomer…ramps up out east and shaves it out west. Basically, it’s them cranberry folk stealing them dragons and evil empire’s snow.

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:15 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s what tends to happen with a late bloomer…ramps up out east and shaves it out west. Basically, it’s them cranberry folk stealing them dragons and evil empire’s snow.

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Luke, I am your Father.

[DavisStraight]

Looks good Ray to Kevin with me getting some being right in the middle  

[dryslot]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:14 PM, 78Blizzard said:

I prefer to compare to 0z and ignore the off hour run.  That was a marked improvement from 0z.

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I do the opposite, Euro seems to be a little more exaggerated with it, But you could probably do that with others but then you would be missing out on the most current data as i think the day of the off hour runs on modeling are different, But again, That's outside of the Euro.

[Henry's Weather]

  On 1/6/2022 at 5:18 PM, OceanStWx said:

Well the best WAA push will likely shoot through SNE, like inside 95. This becomes a bit of a pivoting band (I would pin it somewhere between 95 and 495), but is moving so quickly that lollis around 10” sounds about right. 

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yes please

[psv88]

Good luck to the SNE crew on this one, from your southern neighbor on LI. Tomorrow will be fun.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:16 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

Luke, I am your Father.

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Lol. I envy the east zones, I do. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:27 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Lol. I envy the east zones, I do. 

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I have said the opposite in a few winters haha. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Final Call

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/final-call-for-fast-moving-winter-storm.html

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:18 PM, DavisStraight said:

Looks good Ray to Kevin with me getting some being right in the middle  

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That’s a disturbing visual.

[dryslot]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:28 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Final Call

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/final-call-for-fast-moving-winter-storm.html

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To bad you didn't curl that mix line right over tblizzs head that would have been hillarious.

[Damage In Tolland]

Crazy how the entire of SNE is getting 4-8” lollis to 9-10

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/6/2022 at 6:28 PM, CoastalWx said:

I have said the opposite in a few winters haha. 

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Lol, It’s never enough I suppose. But you guys out there do well in northern stream progressive flows and that seems to be the dominate pattern/look in Jan/Feb the last 10yrs or so.