Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[ineedsnow]

you could see at hr21 that it was trying to hang back closer to NJ this run.. nowcasting should be fun later on  

[40/70 Benchmark]

Same, exact solution as 06z in terms of snowfall.

[dryslot]

Looks like western areas got trimmed at 12z if its correct.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Same, exact solution as 12z in terms of snowfall.

For you, Yes.

[ineedsnow]

Just now, dryslot said:

Looks like western areas got trimmed at 12z if its correct.

I think its because it couldnt figure out which low to focus on.. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, dryslot said:

For you, Yes.

Point is, I don't see where it got better.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

I think its because it couldnt figure out which low to focus on.. 

ya this is gonna have some surprises with it…so let’s get it on already and see how we do? 

[ORH_wxman]

It good that it didn't shift much at all from 06z....we had been previously seeing a distinct shift eastward, but this time it more or less held serve except maybe on the margins (and those on the margins will notice)

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Point is, I don't see where it got better.

All you need to see.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

All you need to see.

I think you need to distinguish between "looks better aloft", and "this run was snowier".

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'm serious, though...it breeds confusion.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think you need to distinguish between "looks better aloft", and "this run was snowier".

It was a lot "snowier" than 00z.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

It was a lot snowier than 00z.  

Cool...I was comparing to 06z.

I mean, it looks fine...just trying to clarify.

[ineedsnow]

off topic question?  is f5 weather worth it or is there something better?

[dryslot]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Point is, I don't see where it got better.

It actually didn't if your on the fringes.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Cool...I was comparing to 06z.

I mean, it looks fine...just trying to clarify.

[78Blizzard]

I prefer to compare to 0z and ignore the off hour run.  That was a marked improvement from 0z.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

It’s what tends to happen with a late bloomer…ramps up out east and shaves it out west. Basically, it’s them cranberry folk stealing them dragons and evil empire’s snow.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s what tends to happen with a late bloomer…ramps up out east and shaves it out west. Basically, it’s them cranberry folk stealing them dragons and evil empire’s snow.

Luke, I am your Father.

[DavisStraight]

Looks good Ray to Kevin with me getting some being right in the middle  

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

I prefer to compare to 0z and ignore the off hour run.  That was a marked improvement from 0z.

I do the opposite, Euro seems to be a little more exaggerated with it, But you could probably do that with others but then you would be missing out on the most current data as i think the day of the off hour runs on modeling are different, But again, That's outside of the Euro.

[Henry's Weather]

1 hour ago, OceanStWx said:

Well the best WAA push will likely shoot through SNE, like inside 95. This becomes a bit of a pivoting band (I would pin it somewhere between 95 and 495), but is moving so quickly that lollis around 10” sounds about right. 

yes please

[psv88]

Good luck to the SNE crew on this one, from your southern neighbor on LI. Tomorrow will be fun.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Luke, I am your Father.

Lol. I envy the east zones, I do. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Lol. I envy the east zones, I do. 

I have said the opposite in a few winters haha. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Final Call

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/final-call-for-fast-moving-winter-storm.html

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

9 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Looks good Ray to Kevin with me getting some being right in the middle  

That’s a disturbing visual.

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Final Call

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/final-call-for-fast-moving-winter-storm.html

To bad you didn't curl that mix line right over tblizzs head that would have been hillarious.

[Damage In Tolland]

Crazy how the entire of SNE is getting 4-8” lollis to 9-10

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I have said the opposite in a few winters haha. 

Lol, It’s never enough I suppose. But you guys out there do well in northern stream progressive flows and that seems to be the dominate pattern/look in Jan/Feb the last 10yrs or so.