Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

6-10“

I could see it near 32-33 for a bit early on.

[ineedsnow]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

That weenie band signal makes sense as shown on QPF. Congrats Ray to Will To Kev in that.

hoping that can push west just a bit

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

That weenie band signal makes sense as shown on QPF. Congrats Ray to Will To Kev in that.

We dong

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

High stakes in eastern areas....there is definitely some upside bust potential if some of that veyr heavy precip can get onshore....I think really all it will take is a slight increase in the ML inflow which would happen if the convection is less dominant.

Why I'd like to see the main s/w take over sooner.  That convective POS is messing with what could be a larger event.

[MaineJayhawk]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

We dong

Bang a dong, get it on

[Great Snow 1717]

3 minutes ago, George001 said:

Someones going to get over a foot with this storm. Models (like the NAM) are struggling with chasing convection, but they look really good at the 500mb.

Can you tell us who???

[Greg]

That's a nice look for sure for here in Eastern, Mass

[TalcottWx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I could see it near 32-33 for a bit early on.

I think if this tracks by were in a sweet spot where we get initial slug and maybe even ccb kiss down to south shore as if departs. Probably great banding. I think it may be slightly south and west of me though. You will be in vicinity. It will be very interesting to see. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Great Snow 1717 said:

Can you tell us who???

Everyone in Foxborough?

[moneypitmike]

Well I"ll fess up to being one of the nay-sayers after 12z yesterday.  I'm feeling pretty good about this and where I'm sitting.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We dong

I heard that.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Everyone in Foxborough?

It's a Superbowl Party!

[TalcottWx]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

Well I"ll fess up to being one of the nay-sayers after 12z yesterday.  I'm feeling pretty good about this and where I'm sitting.

Attaboy Mike haha let's all smile snow is comin

[George001]

Just now, Great Snow 1717 said:

Can you tell us who???

Probably same areas that got hammered by the superbowl storm last winter.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Everyone in Foxborough?

Just one big Nathan's Hot Dog stand occupying the town.

[PhineasC]

06z GFS was slightly better here but basically noise. GFS is fairly locked in, IMO.

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Everyone in Foxborough?

I think you are going to be closer to 6" than 3" so that is good trend for you as of late imo.... 

[TalcottWx]

Just now, WestBabylonWeather said:

Rhode Island seems to think their weiners are special. 

We hot dog. 

[mahk_webstah]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I felt that.

Wow

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

A bit worse for WOR though as it ramps up for EMAATT. 
 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

A bit worse for WOR though as it ramps up for EMAATT. 
 

Seems like we still get the heavy band but it’s a bit quicker to go through here

[Baroclinic Zone]

Get this to occur 6hrs sooner and we do naked snow angels for the 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I heard that.

The GFS is trending towards congealing the two mid level centers in the middle...check out this trend from 06z to 12z

[weathafella]

I think we're pretty much locked.   3-7 NW CT, 4-6 western half of CT, 6-8 inside of a BDL-ORH-PSM-canal-PVD line.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

A bit worse for WOR though as it ramps up for EMAATT. 
 

I think that band slapping Kevin in the rear, may be over you too.

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The GFS is trending towards congealing the two mid level centers in the middle...check out this trend from 06z to 12z

I like congealing.  Suspect the watch areas will be upgraded shortly.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, weathafella said:

I think we're pretty much locked.   3-7 NW CT, 4-6 western half of CT, 6-8 inside of a BDL-ORH-PSM-canal-PVD line.

I have a feeling there won't be a huge difference across the region. Between some fluff inland, and maybe lower ratio stuff, but higher QPF near coast. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The GFS is trending towards congealing the two mid level centers in the middle...check out this trend from 06z to 12z

We want that to optimize inflow.

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I have a feeling there won't be a huge difference across the region. Between some fluff inland, and maybe lower ratio stuff, but higher QPF near coast. 

I'll take the meat please.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

We want that to optimize inflow.

Yea, this is going to be less disjointed in the end.