Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Hopefully you rain

Hard pass 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I bet a place like carver is going to do really well with this. Far enough inland to avoid any taint concerns, and close enough to get the real meat 

[Baroclinic Zone]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hopefully you rain

He rain, you rain.

[Greg]

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

He rain, you rain.

You don't want this thing to start coming too close, not that I'm personally worried, but anymore and the smell of taint starts entering into the conversation, especially near you.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's every weenie for him and herself. Snow is a battlefield.

Yea. We play nice up until D2, then it’s war over the qpf. 

[IowaStorm05]

1 minute ago, Greg said:

You don't want this thing to start coming too close, not that I'm personally worried, but anymore and the smell of taint starts entering into the conversation.

Not here it doesn’t. And if it did there this seems like a type of setup where it would flip right back to snow from west to east. You know, the positioning. 

[Greg]

Just now, IowaStorm05 said:

Not here it doesn’t. And if it did, this seems like a type of setup where it would flip right back to snow from west to east. You know, the positioning. 

Where you are in CT is fine, you just need a little more quantity, but where Taunton is, he better stop wishing for large jumps NW. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, Greg said:

You don't want this thing to start coming too close, not that I'm personally worried, but anymore and the smell of taint starts entering into the conversation, especially near you.

I'm not worried about any taint.  The way this is evolving/maturing is a late bloomer, which would actually lead to a colder overall outcome.

[IowaStorm05]

I’d like to dismiss any untoward changes in modeling and evolution as we are 30h out…. But clearly this system is challenging to models…. Is it because blocking somewhere isn’t strong as we’d like? 
 

it’s shifty. My fear is a jump back east but if that happened it would go down as one of the more erratic model jobs I’ve ever seen.

[tunafish]

24 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah it's hitting that fronto from Ryan in WeHa up to Ray and SE NH.

Let's bump that a touch further north right into ME

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said:

I’d like to dismiss any untoward changes in modeling and evolution as we are 30h out…. But clearly this system is challenging to models…. Is it because blocking somewhere isn’t strong as we’d like? 
 

it’s shifty. My fear is a jump back east but if that happened it would go down as one of the more erratic model jobs I’ve ever seen.

We have had some awful model jobs, this isn’t one though. 

[IowaStorm05]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We have had some awful model jobs, this isn’t one though. 

Give me an example. Something modern in terms of current tech.

[Sn0waddict]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We have had some awful model jobs, this isn’t one though. 

Jan 2015 comes to mind. Ugh.

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea. We play nice up until D2, then it’s war over the qpf. 

I’m ready to lead SE Mass into the battle

[40/70 Benchmark]

32 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah it's hitting that fronto from Ryan in WeHa up to Ray and SE NH.

Euro, RGEM and uncle have it, too.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’m ready to lead SE Mass into the battle

Bitch please. Let a real man do that. 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’m ready to lead SE Mass into the battle

That's good, They need a team leader when stuff starts to go to sh it, So i think Bob would be a better fit, We know how you roll, All the troops would perish on your watch.

[JC-CT]

8 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

Give me an example. Something modern in terms of current tech.

jan 2016

[40/70 Benchmark]

46 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

I have schizophrenia I cant smoke that 

Biggest issue with conditions like that is med compliance. I have worked with that population alot and the psychotropic meds have some nasty, nasty side effects, unfortunately. 

[eduggs]

42 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Pants tent on the hi res nam

The bulk of that falls in about 4 hours in NYC and 7 hours in ORH/BOS. So widespread 1"+ per hour.

[mreaves]

39 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's every weenie for him and herself. Snow is a battlefield.

That's what Pat Benatar was really singing about

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That's good, They need a team leader when stuff starts to go to sh it, So i think Bob would be a better fit, We know how you roll, All the troops would perish on your watch.

Scooter loves his weenie tickled through and through by snow but I’ve moved on to more sophisticated tastes.  He’s a true heir to the throne.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

13 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

Give me an example. Something modern in terms of current tech.

Depends. Busts can be very imby centric, I have too many to list, so I won’t go there. If we zoom out, there have been several smaller events recently where models were very erratic and shat the bed. We don’t remember those but I know Will does.

[PhineasC]

No wonder no one mentioned the RGEM. Went east. Gives me more from upslope than it gives to SE MA from the actual storm.

[Ginx snewx]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Bitch please. Let a real man do that. 

I am like Kentucky in the Civil War. Staying nuetral until its clear which side is winning.  Either way I win

[IowaStorm05]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Biggest issue with conditions like that is med compliance. I have worked with that population alot and the psychotropic meds have some nasty, nasty side effects, unfortunately. 

They sure do. Number one for Antipsychotics for me is Akathisia.

my akathisia is so bad because I ALSO have ADHD. Stimulants help reduce the akathisia for me because they increase dopamine, but seriously the best way I deal with it… is I just take my antipsychotics at night, and my Vyvanse by day. Having both ADHD and a schizophrenic type illness means too much dopamine in some regions of the brain and not enough in others. That makes side effects of schizophrenia meds like akathisia even worse.
 

the key to everything staying together for me…. Control of self medication problems, medication adherence, overall functionality… is the stimulant.

There are lots of people who are anti psych and have tried to get me to go off my meds.  They’re like antivaxxers. Obviously I don’t listen to them but it still makes me mad. I grew up taking stimulants… and now I need antipsychotics I cannot stop them, there is no good reason to stop them, and plenty of reasons why not to. there are also some who say schizophrenics shouldn’t take stimulants but for many including myself these help with negative symptoms like depression, happiness and emotional integrity.

I won’t talk about all this again on here but now everyone knows my deal and why I’m a little weird. Be nice and I’ll try not to break the rules.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

No wonder no one mentioned the RGEM. Went east.

Chased that convection offshore 

[Baroclinic Zone]

00z RGEM took a nice bump west

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

No wonder no one mentioned the RGEM. Went east.

It seemed to have the right idea in the mid range, but lost it in the short range.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Biggest issue with conditions like that is med compliance. I have worked with that population alot and the psychotropic meds have some nasty, nasty side effects, unfortunately. 

Very True. It’s why I always urge folks struggling with mental health to meditate. I know it sounds cheesy to meditate…but it helped me when I battled issues for 15yrs.