Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[IowaStorm05]

  On 1/4/2022 at 2:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I love how the west guys are pissed it doesn't go over ORH

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I’ve been to Albany. I accessed it by traveling up parallel to that the Hudson River with its majestic cliffs on the opposite side.

it’s a weird area despite its beauty. It seems so far away from the world 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/4/2022 at 2:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I love how the west guys are pissed it doesn't go over ORH

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That run looked pretty damned good for western SNE....they get some goodies on that.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/4/2022 at 2:55 PM, ORH_wxman said:

That run looked pretty damned good for western SNE....they get some goodies on that.

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That's why I am laughing....the deformation will end up right over them.

[PhineasC]

  On 1/4/2022 at 2:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I love how the west guys are pissed it doesn't go over ORH

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I just need it a little west to get into some good bands on east winds. NW VT needs it over ORH. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/4/2022 at 2:57 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That's why I am laughing....the deformation will end up right over them.

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Doesn’t always work out, and that was the NAM. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/4/2022 at 2:57 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That's why I am laughing....the deformation will end up right over them.

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There was a weenie band that ran over them prior to it nuking. Christ I'd be happy with 4" of crust. Beggars can't be choosers this year.

[Baroclinic Zone]

She's a beaut Clarke

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/4/2022 at 2:57 PM, PhineasC said:

I just need it a little west to get into some good bands on east winds. NW VT needs it over ORH. 

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The very best may end up south of you, but you should do fine imo....and as you said, just wait for a golfer to queef and the plows will be out up there, anyway.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/4/2022 at 2:59 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Doesn’t always work out, and that was the NAM. 

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No, but the point is with a vort like that it should...I'm not basing this off of the NAM, but that particular run happened to illustrate my point.

[eduggs]

  On 1/4/2022 at 2:42 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Goes over ACK this run. That would be a crusher for a lot of SNE and prob into CNE.

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ORH east would get hit pretty good for 4-6 hrs on that run.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:05 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No, but the point is with a vort like that it should...I'm not basing this off of the NAM, but that particular run happened to illustrate my point.

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Ya, much rather be north and east like you. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

The NAM evolution isn’t that progressive. It’s 12+ hours of snow. Not like this is in at 4am and out at 9am

[Baroclinic Zone]

That shortwave is going to laugh at the convection attempting to pull the storm offshore.

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:07 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The NAM evolution isn’t that progressive. It’s 12+ hours of snow. Not like this is in at 4am and out at 9am

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It actually slots you until late morning. You get your snow in 6 hrs. 

[dryslot]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:08 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

That shortwave is going to laugh at the convection attempting to pull the storm offshore.

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That's when it goes over SE Mass at 18z when its not influenced by it.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:07 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya, much rather be north and east like you. 

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In the sense that the upper levels are closing as it traverses New England, yes.

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:10 PM, dryslot said:

That's when it goes over SE Mass at 18z when its not influenced by it.

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Plausible but I don't think it will end up that far west.

[dryslot]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:11 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

In the sense that the upper levels are closing as it traverses New England, yes.

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This one won't rot before it gets up here.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:09 PM, CoastalWx said:

It actually slots you until late morning. You get your snow in 6 hrs. 

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Whatever… a foots a foot 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:10 PM, dryslot said:

That's when it goes over SE Mass at 18z when its not influenced by it.

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As long as it doesn’t go over my backyard… I’m not too worried about a mainly mix event.

[dryslot]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:13 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

As long as it doesn’t go over my backyard… I’m not too worried about a mainly mix event.

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I have not really dived into looking at everything but i would lean towards something that tracks over or close to 41/70 to Yarmouth NS right now.

[Sn0waddict]

RGEM looks east of 6z

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:12 PM, dryslot said:

This one won't rot before it gets up here.

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I said going into this season....LBSW is so last year.  

We LBNE

[CoastalWx]

Reggie might be just east of BM, but that s/w seems to argue west of that to me. 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:17 PM, CoastalWx said:

Reggie might be just east of BM, but that s/w seems to argue west of that to me. 

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Yeah I was looking at H5 first on Reggie and was thinking that would be more tucked...it hammers SE MA pretty good, but my guess is that would be better further west than it actually shows.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Sey-Mour Snow not happy.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:22 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

Sey-Mour Snow not happy.

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Sey-Mour cirrus?

[PhineasC]

The RGEM's version of the storm is a strung out POS.

[Allsnow]

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/4/2022 at 3:23 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Sey-Mour cirrus?

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Most likely.