Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[moneypitmike]

Hopefully, the late-to-the-party shift of the GEFS is indicative of a final solution that's a little less tucked than the EC.  Many more runs to figure it out.

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Interring set of runs as we hone in on start time late Thursday . We are due for a good old fashioned Scooter melt. He’s good for 1-2 per winter. So this would time well 

Why? I know Friday won’t work and it warms up after. More interested after the 10 th.

[ineedsnow]

6z ICON went ots now 

[ineedsnow]

snowed a little in Pensacola this morning yet we have nothing 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Why? I know Friday won’t work and it warms up after. More interested after the 10 th.

Saturday looks cold. You’re thinking it all will melt Sunday ?

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Saturday looks cold. You’re thinking it all will melt Sunday ?

Probably not if it’s sufficient. We don’t even know what will happen never mind what stays or goes lol. 
 

[HoarfrostHubb]

15 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

6z ICON went ots now 

La la la lock it in

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

No consensus at all… whiff to taint city 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

No consensus at all… whiff to taint city 

It will taint.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It will taint.

Lol… it’s Monday. You are worse than me lol

[MJO812]

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Lol… it’s Monday. You are worse than me lol

Seriously

[greenmtnwx]

Anyone interested in seeing snow, ACY cam 

 

https://www.webcamtaxi.com/en/usa/new-jersey/boardwalk-atlantic-city.html

[CoastalWx]

13 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Lol… it’s Monday. You are worse than me lol

It’s the setup. Scooter knows.

[ORH_wxman]

I actually like where this one is right now. You have pretty much all non-GFS guidance with a significant storm and the OP euro is on the western side of the EPS envelope. The classic 70/30 or 80/20 compromise would be ideal. 
 

Too bad it’s not 3 days out instead of 4 though. 

[NorEastermass128]

26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It will taint.

I saw the NARCAN and reference to 2/1/21. I don’t need to see anything else. I know what that means. 

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

I saw the NARCAN and reference to 2/1/21. I don’t need to see anything else. I know what that means. 

You have a primary with a secondary off the coast. Not much to prevent it due north into SNE. JMHO.

[512high]

20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I actually like where this one is right now. You have pretty much all non-GFS guidance with a significant storm and the OP euro is on the western side of the EPS envelope. The classic 70/30 or 80/20 compromise would be ideal. 
 

Too bad it’s not 3 days out instead of 4 though. 

Yup, if this is still showing tomorrow, I will watch closely, however, great to have threats!

[UnitedWx]

25 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I actually like where this one is right now. You have pretty much all non-GFS guidance with a significant storm and the OP euro is on the western side of the EPS envelope. The classic 70/30 or 80/20 compromise would be ideal. 
 

Too bad it’s not 3 days out instead of 4 though. 

Yeah, if we're still getting this look tomorrow afternoon I'll start getting excited. At least we have something interesting to track 

[NorEastermass128]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You have a primary with a secondary off the coast. Not much to prevent it due north into SNE. JMHO.

Fine by me. We need the rain. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You have a primary with a secondary off the coast. Not much to prevent it due north into SNE. JMHO.

If that’s the case, it will be congrats NNE

[CoastalWx]

11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

If that’s the case, it will be congrats NNE

Probably decent for interior SNE too. Again, I’ve looked past this. 

[jbenedet]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You have a primary with a secondary off the coast. Not much to prevent it due north into SNE. JMHO.

That’s my thinking as well. SLP ends up going over PSM or MHT then ENE. Great storm Berks and most of interior NNE. 

[Damage In Tolland]

53 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I actually like where this one is right now. You have pretty much all non-GFS guidance with a significant storm and the OP euro is on the western side of the EPS envelope. The classic 70/30 or 80/20 compromise would be ideal. 
 

Too bad it’s not 3 days out instead of 4 though. 

May be Dryslot issues if it takes the BM to ACK to outer Cape track 

[MJO812]

30 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

If that’s the case, it will be congrats NNE

Hopefully we all cash in

[EastonSN+]

December 2000. Obviously more blocking but high and tight track with no changeover.

[CoastalWx]

21 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

That’s my thinking as well. SLP ends up going over PSM or MHT then ENE. Great storm Berks and most of interior NNE. 

Oh you’ll be fine. Dobut  it goes to MHT.

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Lol… it’s Monday. You are worse than me lol

He's right.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

He's right.

Lots of spread with 5 days to go… gfs is basically a whiff. It may end up like crap, but it’s early.

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

He's right.

Nah just my guess. Anyways something to track. 

[MarkO]

Not sure if this has been brought up, but can't believe the number of schools closed or on delay this AM. I think it's more of "we need one more vacation day".