Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[CoastalWx]

10th on folks. 

[MaineJayhawk]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:34 PM, CoastalWx said:

10th on folks. 

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[ORH_wxman]

Looks like GEM will be a huge hit. 

[Henry's Weather]

Canadian runs it right up the gullet

[MJO812]

Huge hit

[dryslot]

Big, Big Large.
 

[Henry's Weather]

reminds me of 3/14/17

[Damage In Tolland]

Poor Gfs

7th on folks 

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Poor Gfs

7th on folks 

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Ya that model is just completely abysmal!  Euro hasn’t been much better either.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/2/2022 at 3:15 PM, dryslot said:

Mentioned about the speed yesterday, Going to limit big totals, Right now i would favor a just inside the BM track just looking at everything

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All you need is 8-12 hours for big totals if you have dynamics. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/2/2022 at 3:24 PM, moneypitmike said:

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You could have also emboldened "chances"

[MJO812]

Ukie is a coastal

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:34 PM, CoastalWx said:

26th, 1st, 7th, I mean 10th on folks. 

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[WinterWolf]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:47 PM, MJO812 said:

Ukie is a coastal

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A coastal can be to far off shore to affect the area too…

[MJO812]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:49 PM, WinterWolf said:

A coastal can be to far off shore to affect the area too…

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[moneypitmike]

A Jeff special on the Canadian.

[George001]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:43 PM, Henry's Weather said:

reminds me of 3/14/17

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That’s a good comparison, the euro and Canadian guidance look similar to that one. Also looks similar to the storm the week before the massive blizzard in mid March 2018, I got about 8 inches in both of those.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Speed as a player with respect to totals is vastly overrated. People focus on that too much. Given that the NAO is gone, I will take "progressive".

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:50 PM, MJO812 said:

 

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Ya that looks pretty nice….

[ineedsnow]

12 plus here on the CMC

[PhineasC]

CMC is a beauty. Too bad that model blows. 

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:52 PM, ineedsnow said:

12 plus here on the CMC

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Canadian though….but nice look. It never really does too well in reality however.

[ORH_wxman]

Ukie is an eastern special. But it does get most with at least advisory. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:45 PM, WinterWolf said:

Ya that model is just completely abysmal!  Euro hasn’t been much better either.  

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Gfs has nailed this storm. Euro is no better than that.

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:50 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Speed as a player with respect to totals is vastly overrated. People focus on that too much. Given that the NAO is gone, I will take "progressive".

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Thank you.

This is up there with the warm ground idea, and snow won’t accumulate cuz it’s been in the 50’s for days before a storm hits. 

[CoastalWx]

Could do a nice Ukie/GEM combo. Like two drunken sailors.

[weathafella]

It's like old times.  GFS had it and lost it way out to sea or no storm, the rest of the models have variations of a big hit for humans in New England.   Euro has been reasonably steady with minor variations.  Let's see if it can stay that way.  Pattern change FINALLY en route.

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:57 PM, CoastalWx said:

Gfs has nailed this storm. Euro is no better than that.

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Ya I said…Euro hasn’t been much better.  
 

And the GFS sh*t itself in the couple here previous.  

[Allsnow]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:34 PM, CoastalWx said:

10th on folks. 

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? Looks like we might be too far into the trough next week. The ridge is way to Far East imo 

[MJO812]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:34 PM, CoastalWx said:

10th on folks. 

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Uh