Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[weathafella]

  On 1/2/2022 at 1:42 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its eastly to shit  on the NAO right now, but its misguided.....shit on the record RNA.

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NNE never wants NAO because of 2009.  Without it, they'd be looking at bare ground up to Canada today.

[dendrite]

  On 1/2/2022 at 1:43 AM, weathafella said:

NNE never wants NAO because of 2009.  Without it, they'd be looking at bare ground up to Canada today.

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Heh…it’s not like it has been epic up here. A few messy overrunning events.

[moneypitmike]

  On 1/2/2022 at 1:48 AM, dendrite said:

Heh…it’s not like it has been epic up here. A few messy overrunning events.

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When comparing to our foggy, muddy, brown, mild new year's, a few messy overrunning events equates to epic.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/2/2022 at 1:48 AM, dendrite said:

Heh…it’s not like it has been epic up here. A few messy overrunning events.

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You have had a deep winter thus far. So has Phin and Slot and Lava and Jayhawks and C and N VT. South of that general line has blown dongs that curve to the left and to the right . We have had no winter . It’s been perpetual spring . Our angst is real 

[powderfreak]

  On 1/2/2022 at 2:12 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

You have had a deep winter thus far. So has Phin and Slot and Lava and Jayhawks and C and N VT. South of that general line has blown dongs that curve to the left and to the right . We have had no winter . It’s been perpetual spring . Our angst is real 

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Ground white with 2-6” for long stretches of time is apparently deep.  November seemed white but no where close to deep… and somehow that low ratio, but solid QPF, snow event followed by a ZR event has kept a snowpack and banks.

All we want is a net gain from this current event.  Priorities are low.  We aren’t swimming in snow.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I had a thin cover for the holiday period, but it's gone now.

[DavisStraight]

  On 1/2/2022 at 2:12 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

You have had a deep winter thus far. So has Phin and Slot and Lava and Jayhawks and C and N VT. South of that general line has blown dongs that curve to the left and to the right . We have had no winter . It’s been perpetual spring . Our angst is real 

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Compared to us they have, I haven't burned the wood stove the last couple of days it's been so mild. Looks cold tomorrow night into Monday so I'll fire it up tomorrow.

[dendrite]

  On 1/2/2022 at 2:48 AM, DavisStraight said:

Compared to us they have, I haven't burned the wood stove the last couple of days it's been so mild. Looks cold tomorrow night into Monday so I'll fire it up tomorrow.

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I've used my chicken water heater like 5x so far. I've had Decembers where the only time I turn it off is Christmas.

[DavisStraight]

  On 1/2/2022 at 2:51 AM, dendrite said:

I've used my chicken water heater like 5x so far. I've had Decembers where the only time I turn it off is Christmas.

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Compared to what you guys usually get it's not so great I'm just comparing it to our dud so far down here.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/2/2022 at 2:12 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

You have had a deep winter thus far. So has Phin and Slot and Lava and Jayhawks and C and N VT. South of that general line has blown dongs that curve to the left and to the right . We have had no winter . It’s been perpetual spring . Our angst is real 

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Bedtime for you 

[PhineasC]

I wouldn't exactly call it "deep winter" but it has been better than last winter so far if only because we avoided the pack destroying holiday cutters on Thanksgiving and Christmas. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Wow. That may be the biggest about face in a single run I’ve ever seen. 

ICON  is is mostly sunny. Pretty sure the 12z was warning event … heh

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/2/2022 at 3:53 AM, Typhoon Tip said:

Wow. That may be the biggest about face in a single run I’ve ever seen. 

ICON  is is mostly sunny. Pretty sure the 12z was warning event … heh

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GFS going to be way south, too.

[dryslot]

0z GFS basically whiffs, Keep it there for now.

[78Blizzard]

Here today, gone tomorrow next run.

[weathafella]

I'm glad GFS whiffs.   Let's see what the euro shows but if euro shows a nice hit still we're back in the old days....

[Typhoon Tip]

GFS is carrying the system still. That ICON was just weird. 
 

this thing is slipping initialization 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

All over the map, as you’d expect 

[weathafella]

CMC is fun.

[78Blizzard]

CMC way north this run.

[weathafella]

CMC is a nuke.  Big snows for most of us.

[MJO812]

Then crushes SNE

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:37 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

All over the map, as you’d expect 

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Yeah no kidding. 
 

meanwhile the GGEM destroys 

[Typhoon Tip]

Bottom line it’s gonna do this probably for the next two days

[Typhoon Tip]

This is probably where the Euro’s control mechanisms come in handy

[George001]

The Canadian and gfs look to have switched places. Canadian whiffed and gfs was a big storm at 12z and now it’s the other way around. In my eyes that is a step in the right direction, I love to see the Canadian on board. One step close to having the entire big 3 (Euro, Canadian, Navy) on board.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I’d plan on blue balls and then think about a money shot if things look good Tuesday 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:41 AM, weathafella said:

CMC is a nuke.  Big snows for most of us.

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It’s like 4-8” for most. Nice… but not sure I’d go “big” pretty progressive 

[CoastalWx]

Ukie is nice and so is GEFs. Still a ways out folks.

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 1/2/2022 at 4:50 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

It’s like 4-8” for most. Nice… but not sure I’d go “big” pretty progressive 

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Ha. Well there’s some seasonal relativity there …

yeah it’s the GGEM and outside of day 5 at that but 132 looked like it’d be better performing but the 138 hyper contracted the system into the dimensions of a thunderstorm. Jesus