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TIMS model verification, December 31, 2021 - January 3, 2022


Holston_River_Rambler
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Going to bed for now, but starting to remind me of the February 7th event here in Crossville. We were under a WWA for 1-3" in that one as well and ended up with around 6-8" of heavy wet snow at daybreak. Hopefully that happens again because it's still pouring down. We probably have 3-4" now and an inch or two on the roads.

270204583_174992678160284_58259388136654

270314839_672198634159315_97782302685823

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  On 1/3/2022 at 6:48 AM, Shocker0 said:

Going to bed for now, but starting to remind me of the February 7th event here in Crossville. We were under a WWA for 1-3" in that one as well and ended up with around 6-8" of heavy wet snow at daybreak. Hopefully that happens again because it's still pouring down. We probably have 3-4" now and an inch or two on the roads.

270204583_174992678160284_58259388136654

270314839_672198634159315_97782302685823

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I knew the NWS was making a mistake not issuing a Winter storm warning there. 

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  On 1/3/2022 at 6:48 AM, Shocker0 said:

Going to bed for now, but starting to remind me of the February 7th event here in Crossville. We were under a WWA for 1-3" in that one as well and ended up with around 6-8" of heavy wet snow at daybreak. Hopefully that happens again because it's still pouring down. We probably have 3-4" now and an inch or two on the roads.

270204583_174992678160284_58259388136654

270314839_672198634159315_97782302685823

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Damn son, congrats!

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  On 1/3/2022 at 6:49 AM, John1122 said:

I knew the NWS was making a mistake not issuing a Winter storm warning there. 

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Supposedly they debated it this evening right as it started snowing, but never pulled the trigger. Seems like anymore here we get the worst storms under WWAs and the WSWs almost always way underperform here.

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  On 1/3/2022 at 6:53 AM, Dsty2001 said:

Anybody else noticing the rain/snow line starting to move from the south?

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The last few frames of the correlation coefficient radar show it starting to accelerate, esp. from NW to SE. The ring around MRX radar site is getting smaller as the snow elevation drops. 

giphy.gif?cid=790b76117fc773fe0705499ea3

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  On 1/3/2022 at 6:58 AM, Carvers Gap said:

Finally started raining steadily her.  Wind is blowing.  It may be raining, but it is cold out there.  Any southwest Virginia folks seeing a changeover?

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Well, nothing too notable just yet but I did just notice the rain is starting to sound awfully clicky haha

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  On 1/3/2022 at 7:02 AM, Holston_River_Rambler said:

The last few frames of the correlation coefficient radar show it starting to accelerate, esp. from NW to SE. The ring around MRX radar site is getting smaller as the snow elevation drops. 

giphy.gif?cid=790b76117fc773fe0705499ea3

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Interesting!  It seems our winds our from the NNW/NW right now and the temperature is dropping fast enough I can refresh the local weather station and see it going down lol

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  On 1/3/2022 at 7:08 AM, dwagner88 said:

Just stuck my head outside to get a feel for things. It’s 35 with wintry mix (bit of everything), and the spring peeper frogs that emerged during our insanely warm December are croaking for mates. Poor things.

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When the mix started here the temp fell a fast 3 degrees in a few minutes. It's went down about 1.6 more since. 

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