Chicago Storm Posted December 29, 2021 Author Share Posted December 29, 2021 You want consistency? The GFS has had Chicago in the middle of the snowfall axis for consecutive 7 runs now.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Best model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Lock it in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Just eyeballing a roughly 18 hour snow event for Chicago on that run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Actually looks slightly later with the onset of precipitation if you’re worried about temperatures 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 16 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: You want consistency? The GFS has had Chicago in the middle of the snowfall axis for consecutive 7 runs now. . sh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 29, 2021 Author Share Posted December 29, 2021 18z RGEM jumped back north to join the NAM, EURO and GFS in terms of snow.18z GEM caving as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Gefs looking p good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Gefs looking p good Still Rainer camp or are you swaying a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 29, 2021 Author Share Posted December 29, 2021 Almost to the point we’ll have to start worrying about who will be measuring the snow at ORD . 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Here's a look at 18z GFS and GEFS snowfall 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 18z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: 18z Euro Through hour 90 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 18z GEFS members. Starting to get some consistency among the individual members. CHI/N IL/E IA starting to look pretty good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Sitting relatively close to the rain/snow line here and one thing I've noticed is there's not a huge ice threat as the storm advances north. Ice might be more of a threat back toward Kansas and Missouri, but not so much to the north. IWX seems to like the more snowy solution to this point: .LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday) Issued at 223 PM EST Wed Dec 29 2021 This is where it gets interesting. Confidence continues to increase that the Great Lakes Region will experience a potentially significant winter event...the confidence is still low on exactly where, when and how much of an impact. Continued trends are for a more southerly trajectory...which would favor more snow vs. rain and somewhat higher snow ratio. However that also would be a situation that has less moisture to work with. Regardless...keeping the trend of the previous forecast and have bumped up PoP for Sunday as the flow would favor Lake Enhanced snow. Will begin pushing messaging via Social Media for the upcoming weekend and trending toward a colder solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Way too early to post this for Chicago but posting anyways. Watch this thing shrivel up now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CANNOTDIVIDEBY0 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 33 minutes ago, tuanis said: Way too early to post this for Chicago but posting anyways. Watch this thing shrivel up now. For when this turns into a rainer 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 0z NAM gonna have Alek up in his Eurythmics feels.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 0z NAM gonna have Alek up in his Eurythmics feels..False alarm.NAM is now in more of the consensus.Edit: To add, there were some things going on aloft that suggested it might end up north, but some changes as time went on made that not happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Seems to have a hard time ejecting out into the plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Chicago is gonna get nailed on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Metro rick rolled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Chicago is gonna get nailed on this run. Dats a bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Well at least the latest NAM doesn't have Cedar Rapids in the shaft. Still has about 6-7 inches in the metro according to kuchera method. This better not end up like 11/25/18 where Cedar Rapids got nothing while the county south of Cedar Rapids got several inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Metro rick rolled Kuchera is kind of screwing the immediate metro. I say kind of because it's still a good hit. Wonder if ratios may be a bit better though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Haven't seen much talk about possible lake enhancement, but seeing hints of it at the end of the 3km NAM (obvious long range caveats apply) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 Kuchera is kind of screwing the immediate metro. I say kind of because it's still a good hit. Wonder if ratios may be a bit better though...Temps are a bit ‘warmer’, which is not surprising with a longer fetch wind off the lake.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Kuchera is kind of screwing the immediate metro. I say kind of because it's still a good hit. Wonder if ratios may be a bit better though... Idk.. That lake is mighty warm. Not sure how much that might impact it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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