mimillman Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Not sure I saw posted anywhere but plumes up to 6.5 mean at ORD with a good cluster in the 8-10” range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 The 18z GFS/RGEM are in and the NAM stands alone. 4" call here looking money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 7 minutes ago, mimillman said: Not sure I saw posted anywhere but plumes up to 6.5 mean at ORD with a good cluster in the 8-10” range Mostly all snow now is the difference. But it did bump qpf up slightly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 21z RAP snow totals. More down to earth now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 GEFS really dried up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 1 minute ago, hlcater said: GEFS really dried up. There are some solutions on the low side that literally have no chance of verifying. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Surprise freezing drizzle/"mist" event kind of came out of nowhere. Parking lots dangerously slick and car icing over during every stop as my wife and I are trying to run some NYE errands. @madwx Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Duster 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 11 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Duster U r under a winter storm warning for a duster!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: U r under a winter storm warning for a duster!!!!! I think ALEK needs a friendly well being check.. make sure he's doing ok 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 1 hour ago, Natester said: 21z RAP snow totals. More down to earth now. Shucks, was hoping the 16" from yesterday's run would verify. Gonna stick with my 5-7" call for here/QC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 4-8” area wide looks spot on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 29 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Duster “Boy this party really died” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Just now, Thundersnow12 said: “Boy this party really died” It is New Year's Eve 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: It is New Year's Eve He’s waiting for Mark Giangreco & Janet Davies to ring in the New Year. I’ll be watching Cheryl Scott’s fine behind. Anywho, snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Tomorrows southern severe outbreak is going to play a huge role on the snowy side of things. Just too likely that intense convection is going to rob the backside of the storm of moisture, 3-5” except back towards the IA/MO/IL border is probably best bet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 Tomorrows southern severe outbreak is going to play a huge role on the snowy side of things. Just too likely that intense convection is going to rob the backside of the storm of moisture, 3-5” except back towards the IA/MO/IL border is probably best bet. There was a similar comment yesterday.The wintry side of this storm is Pac moisture based.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Just now, Chicago Storm said: There was a similar comment yesterday. This wintry side of this storm is Pac moisture based. . It was one of LOTs "caveats" in yesterday's AFD. As a possible scenario for lower end totals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 This thing is falling apart hard on HRRR/RAP for what that's worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 It was one of LOTs "caveats" in yesterday's AFD. As a possible scenario for lower end totalsToss worthy concern.This is a heavily Pac moisture laden system. That compares to a storm like GHD1, which was very Gulf moisture driven.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 I'm expecting 0z HRRR to really cut down on the totals, perhaps giving CR only 2-3 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 57 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Duster Greek for "Ready 2 B buried" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 18z euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 4 hours ago, sbnwx85 said: Not advocating for a WSW in my county...but a little surprised IWX didn't go with one for LaPorte and Berrien. I think they'll do a little better with snow totals thanks to the lake. You may be correct, but by the time winds swing to favor LaPorte and Berrien, moisture goes bye bye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 I'm anticipating the northern tier of counties in Iowa under a WSW to be downgraded to an advisory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 idk about yall but im all in on the SREF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Looks like a pretty solid 4-6 incher around here, might end up with some isolated 7-8” in some spots but a very nice snow to welcome in the new year. SREF plumes trending upward with a mean just shy of 6” with a few over 8”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 I don't think the convection is a huge issue... at least not as much as some other times. As mentioned, we have the Pac moisture source. I get more concerned when there's a big east-west line of convection laying out and less of a Pac source. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Toss worthy concern.This is a heavily Pac moisture laden system. That compares to a storm like GHD1, which was very Gulf moisture driven..Absolutely not toss worthy. Hard wish casting by a pro right here 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 Absolutely not toss worthy. Hard wish casting by a pro right hereYou haven’t taken a look at things if you’re making that statement.Again, it’s heavily Pac moisture driven.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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