ILSNOW Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 look at that cutoff from Arlington Heights to Downtown Chicago ( about 25 miles) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 total precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Nest looks even more heartbreaking. DAB for Naperville. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Cary#s revenge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 2:42 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Nest looks even more heartbreaking. DAB for Naperville. unfortunate for them.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 New Years 1985 Redux on the table 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 2:44 PM, Chicago Storm said: unfortunate for them. . Expand Ricky is in my thoughts after those two runs. Brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 2:45 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Ricky is in my thoughts after those two runs. Brutal ricky says it’s time to retire the NAM.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 2:44 PM, A-L-E-K said: Cary#s revenge Expand Fond memories of the 2007-08 winter. NAM running time should only go out 36hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Well either nam is onto something or smoking something. We shall see soon. Nam solution could verify if a more phased system came to fruition. 12km is a cold rain here and 3km nam is ice storm part 2. This is going to be a long 3 days. But still not going to trust nam 3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 2:46 PM, Chicago Storm said: ricky says it’s time to retire the NAM. . Expand Can’t blame him given the mention of a south shift in the AFD lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 2:48 PM, StormChaser4Life said: Well either nam is onto something or smoking something. We shall see soon. Nam solution could verify if a more phased system came to fruition. 12km is a cold rain here and 3km nam is ice storm part 2. This is going to be a long 3 days. But still not going to trust nam 3 days out. Easy toss on the NAM.Also, we’re only 2 days out now.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 2:46 PM, Chicago Storm said: ricky says it’s time to retire the NAM. . Expand Hopefully Ricky will stop by Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Hate to bring it up but NAM did decently at this range with Tuesday’s event? At least around here. Obviously completely different set up so the comparison on how it handles relevant features is a bit moot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 2:50 PM, Chicago Storm said: Easy toss on the NAM. Also, we’re only 2 days out now. . Expand Idk what day it is anymore. Ha. Long hours at the hospital get you delirious. Yes 2 days. I feel like nam is an easy toss 99.9% of the time. I agree with Ricky, retire nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 2:58 PM, mimillman said: Hate to bring it up but NAM did decently at this range with Tuesday’s event? At least around here. Obviously completely different set up so the comparison on how it handles relevant features is a bit moot.It did not.The Euro took an easy run-away victory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 12z ICON expands the snow shield to the north although track is unchanged. Snow doesn't miss Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Fv3 good, gfs probably gonna come in hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Being near the cutoff in so many models sucks, hopefully the cold overperforms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 1:45 PM, Thundersnow12 said: P sure plumes are not 10:1, slick. Expand Correct. It's their other web graphics that use 10:1. Quote Storm Prediction Center SLR Scheme (SREF Plumes) WHERE: http://www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/ The SPC uses the equation (via Israel Jirak): SLR = 1000 / (100 + 6T) based on a paper by Boone and Etchevers (2001; eq. 6). T is the warmest saturated temperature (in oC) (using a dewpoint depression < 2oC) in the lowest 300 mb AGL. A cap is set at 40:1 for temperatures colder than -12.5oC (9.5oF). The wind component of the original equation is ignored, as it led to conservative estimates. The coefficient was modified (from the original 109 to 100) to converge at 10:1 for T=0oC, and has remained unchanged since its inception. Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 3:08 PM, purduewx80 said: Good to know. Whoever provided the false info before needs to be canned.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 12z RGEM snow totals (kuchera method) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 3:12 PM, Chicago Storm said: On 12/30/2021 at 3:08 PM, purduewx80 said: Correct. It's their other web graphics that use 10:1. Expand Thank you for helping me prove Joey wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 3:16 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Thank you for helping me prove Joey wrong. you need any victory you can get these days. my gift to you.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 3:16 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Thank you for helping me prove Joey wrong. Expand Yeah we used plumes for past high ratio events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Matty ice > joe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 3:18 PM, A-L-E-K said: Matty ice > joedef not.he’s just in emotional times, so trying to boost his mental state.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Aren't we all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 3:08 PM, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Being near the cutoff in so many models sucks, hopefully the cold overperforms Expand Gotta ride that line to jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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