Chicago Storm Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 . 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 12Z GFS looking hot! Funny how things are trending towards the Euro now. Definitely got that amped look again. Track will change a million times but good trend away from a strung out POS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 I liked Ricky Ricardo a little better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Interesting how snow totals have increased even though the track has trended south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 28, 2021 Author Share Posted December 28, 2021 10 minutes ago, hlcater said: Interesting how snow totals have increased even though the track has trended south. Waves within the mean trough are less strung out, and have more positive interaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Whoa, the Euro is coming in hot and nw this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Whoa, the Euro is coming in hot and nw this run. Dry slot potential somewhere with this thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 12z Euro 24 hour storm totals 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 It would also be in the teens and very windy during this event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 GFS came south and Euro came north. Should be be a fun week. Lol. Euro was significantly more amped with sfc low this run which brought it more nw. Gfs still had a decent sfc reflection but nothing like Euro and more strung out and not as consolidated. Curious to see this once it's in nam's range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Fun week ahead 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 I do better with this type of storm chasing stress than that of chasing shit that disappears. Tomorrow the GFS will be north and the Euro will be south lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Frog Town said: I do better with this type of storm chasing stress than that of chasing shit that disappears. Tomorrow the GFS will be north and the Euro will be south lol. It's a game the models play almost every storm lol. I actually thought of that the other day when the euro was very South. Hopefully we get some good bowling ball type storms this Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 42 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Waves within the mean trough are less strung out, and have more positive interaction. Yeah gefs jumped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Won’t be here probably so pulling for a rainer 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 fantasy 18z 84hr NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 DVN is bullish Quote Saturday through next Tuesday...Latest ensembles and blends seem to be coming together in suggesting a classic southwestern plains low will develop and "hook" it`s way up along and northwest of the OH RVR Valley. This path would place much of the CWA under the gun of heavy def zone snows on northwest flank of H85 mb low pressure center. POPs and some confidence increasing on a significant system for New Years Day, but still plenty of time for additional storm track deviation. Strong cold dump and temporary arctic fetch still on track to flow down the western GRT LKS and upper MS RVR Valley into Sunday behind whatever system can bully it`s way through the region on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 28, 2021 Author Share Posted December 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, hlcater said: DVN is bullish when are they not. their 'local tools and techniques' are always hoppin'. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CANNOTDIVIDEBY0 Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 18Z looking real good for chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 ILX likes the NW track. Surface cyclogenesis will develop in SE Colorado Friday, with the low tracking to western Missouri by 6 am on New Years Day/Saturday. A warm front ahead of the low will advance into a cold Canadian high pressure in place across the northern Midwest. The 12z model suite has kept the general trend of ECMWF with the northerly track of the low and the GFS the southerly track. GFS ensemble output is targeting central IL (roughly the I-72 corridor) for some of the heavier snows from that system. The ECMWF continues to target northern IL for heavier snows, roughly north of Galesburg to south Chicago. The blended extended guidance in our system is leaning toward the northerly track, and keeping snow amounts down and mainly northwest of Peoria. While freezing rain signals are present in the transition zone soundings, it does not appear to be a good setup for an ice storm in any of our counties, with a lack of persistent sub- freezing dewpoint air feeding in from the northeast. Still, there is potential of high impact to travel New Years Day, so anyone with travel plans toward northern Illinois will need to keep a close eye on updates to this winter storm system. After the surface low passes on Saturday, much colder air will arrive on gusty NW winds. Wind chills will likely drop into the zero to -15F range by Sunday morning, which will be a rude awakening after a warm December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 18z GFS and still snowing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 28, 2021 Author Share Posted December 28, 2021 chefs kiss. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Kuchera ratio snow forecast totals from the 18z GFS. Hope this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Monster run on the GFS. Lake response looks good, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 A smidge south to get us out of the mixing issues would be golden for here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Nice closeup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Fire up the grill, time for some weenie roastin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 18z GFS with the weenie alert siren blaring 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Certainly sweating this one a bit. Regardless, looking like a good storm here or nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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