Shades Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Single digits and below depicted on Long wavelength infrared LWIR this morning via GOES 16 on Long Island, those localized sweet spots where radiational effects are most pronounced. This screen cap image was from 11UTC/6am 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 hours ago, bluewave said: The historic +13.3 departure in December 2015 marked the shift to much warmer winters. This January is only the 5th winter month out of the last 20 with below normal temperatures. The coldest departure month was this January at -3.2 NYC Jan 22….-3.2 Dec 21….+4.7 Feb 21….-1.1 Jan 21….+2.2 Dec 20…+1.7 Feb 20…+4.8 Jan 20….+6.5 Dec 19….+0.8 Feb 19….+0.9 Jan 19….-0.1 Dec 18…+2.6 Feb 18…+6.7 Jan 18….-0.9 Dec 17…..-2.5 Feb 17…..+6.3 Jan 17….+5.4 Dec 16….+0.8 Feb 16….+2.4 Jan 16….+1.9 Dec 15….+13.3 Pretty nuts in a Niña winter too. How many of us cold- and snow-lovers were banking on a cold January back in December when the hostile PAC seemed to have us doomed? Post Dec. '15's been a pretty wacky period of extreme patterns and events. Is there anything else like it on record? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I love to see it 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Reached 28* today, after an overnite low of 7. Currently 26* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 A cold January is concluding. The mean temperature at New York City's Central Park was 30.3°, which was 3.4° below normal. January 2022 was the coldest January since 2015 when the temperature averaged 29.9° and the coldest month since February 2015 (mean: 23.9°). In terms of snowfall, Atlantic City's 33.2" set a new January mark. The old record was 20.3" in 1987). It was also tied with February 2003 for the 4th snowiest month on record. 5 of the 10 snowiest months have occurred since 2000, including 3 of the 4 months with 30" or more snowfall. Records go back to 1945. Islip's 31.8" made 2022 the 2nd snowiest January on record and 3rd snowiest month of all-time. 5 of the 10 snowiest months have occurred since 2000, including all 5 months with 30" or more snowfall. Records go back to 1963. February will likely finish somewhat warmer than normal, but it won't likely join some of the recent years with 40° or above monthly mean temperatures. Generally colder than normal readings will continue through midweek. Afterward, it will turn briefly milder before another cold front pushes across the region. That front could bring some rain or rain changing to snow late in the week. On the north of the frontal boundary, the potential exists for an extended period of freezing rain and sleet. There are some hints on the long range guidance that the second half of February could experience a significant pattern change. That pattern change would lead to a return of sustained above normal readings. Much can still change given the timeframe involved. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around January 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.85°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.92°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through meteorological winter. The SOI was +27.33 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.065. On January 29 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 0.536 (RMM). The January 28-adjusted amplitude was 0.614 (RMM). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Funny how our boom or bust snowfall seems to play out. 3rd snowiest month ever recorded at Islip yet we had what - just five or six days with snow cover? And we spent most of the month talking about how the favorable pattern wasn’t working out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Down to 18 degrees already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Newark NJ had 28 days with a minimum 32 or lower...tied for 9th most since 1957... 31 in 1977 30 in 1970... 30 in 2009... 29 in 2003... 29 in 1985... 29 in 1981... 29 in 1976... 29 in 1957... 28 in 2022...2011...1996...1994...1982...1978...1971...1965...1961... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Final Smithtown stats for the weekend blizzard: Snowfall: 16.4" Water equivalent: 1.62" Temperature range during the blizzard from 29 at the start down to 12 late Saturday morning. So much for high ratios. I think there's some local effect here that exacerbates the shredding of dendrites. Might be proximity to LI Sound on a bit of an ENE facing hill above the Nisseqogue "fjord". At the surface, it was rather windy but we've had plenty worse. The biggest winds were when we spent an hour or so in subsidence between two nice bands. Other than that, we were on the plus side of banding for much of the storm. Trying to wrap my head around why we're just about always a local min during these windy snowstorms. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Newark NJ had 28 days with a minimum 32 or lower...tied for 9th most since 1957... 31 in 1977 30 in 1970... 30 in 2009... 29 in 2003... 29 in 1985... 29 in 1981... 29 in 1976... 29 in 1957... 28 in 2022...2011...1996...1994...1982...1978...1971...1965...1961...Thank you for this. It made me screenshot this to text my dad and then have a follow-up call to reminisce over the good years.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: A cold January is concluding. The mean temperature at New York City's Central Park was 30.3°, which was 3.4° below normal. January 2022 was the coldest January since 2015 when the temperature averaged 29.9° and the coldest month since February 2015 (mean: 23.9°). In terms of snowfall, Atlantic City's 33.2" set a new January mark. The old record was 20.3" in 1987). It was also tied with February 2003 for the 4th snowiest month on record. 5 of the 10 snowiest months have occurred since 2000, including 3 of the 4 months with 30" or more snowfall. Records go back to 1945. Islip's 31.8" made 2022 the 2nd snowiest January on record and 3rd snowiest month of all-time. 5 of the 10 snowiest months have occurred since 2000, including all 5 months with 30" or more snowfall. Records go back to 1963. February will likely finish somewhat warmer than normal, but it won't likely join some of the recent years with 40° or above monthly mean temperatures. Generally colder than normal readings will continue through midweek. Afterward, it will turn briefly milder before another cold front pushes across the region. That front could bring some rain or rain changing to snow late in the week. On the north of the frontal boundary, the potential exists for an extended period of freezing rain and sleet. There are some hints on the long range guidance that the second half of February could experience a significant pattern change. That pattern change would lead to a return of sustained above normal readings. Much can still change given the timeframe involved. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around January 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.85°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.92°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through meteorological winter. The SOI was +27.33 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.065. On January 29 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 0.536 (RMM). The January 28-adjusted amplitude was 0.614 (RMM). Surprising that ACY has 3 months with more snow than this. Were they all February Don and did any reach 40" of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 13 hours ago, Shades said: Single digits and below depicted on Long wavelength infrared LWIR this morning via GOES 16 on Long Island, those localized sweet spots where radiational effects are most pronounced. This screen cap image was from 11UTC/6am Can we use this to figure out what the exact temp was in a given location? Looks like there's an area NW of FOK that radiates even better than they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 13 hours ago, bluewave said: The remarkable thing is that even our least snowy winters since 09-10 still had record snows. The 11-12 winter had the record snowiest October in NYC. 19-20 tied for the snowiest May with the trace of snow. So every year since 09-10 had a top 10 snowiest month at one of the sites in the OKX forecast zones. Didn't NYC once have 0.8" of snow in May? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 14 hours ago, bluewave said: The historic +13.3 departure in December 2015 marked the shift to much warmer winters. This January is only the 5th winter month out of the last 20 with below normal temperatures. The coldest departure month was this January at -3.2 NYC Jan 22….-3.2 Dec 21….+4.7 Feb 21….-1.1 Jan 21….+2.2 Dec 20…+1.7 Feb 20…+4.8 Jan 20….+6.5 Dec 19….+0.8 Feb 19….+0.9 Jan 19….-0.1 Dec 18…+2.6 Feb 18…+6.7 Jan 18….-0.9 Dec 17…..-2.5 Feb 17…..+6.3 Jan 17….+5.4 Dec 16….+0.8 Feb 16….+2.4 Jan 16….+1.9 Dec 15….+13.3 Coldest since Feb 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, LibertyBell said: Coldest since Feb 2015 Outside of Feb, 17-18 was really cold and winter extended into March and April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 9 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Surprising that ACY has 3 months with more snow than this. Were they all February Don and did any reach 40" of snow? All three cases with at least as much snowfall as last month occurred in February. 1. 36.6", February 2010 2. 35.7", February 1967 3. 33.2", February 2003 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 9 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Coldest since Feb 2015 The first 30° month in NYC since 15-16. Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Dec Jan Feb Season 2021-2022 43.8 30.3 M 37.1 2020-2021 39.2 34.8 34.2 36.1 2019-2020 38.3 39.1 40.1 39.2 2018-2019 40.1 32.5 36.2 36.3 2017-2018 35.0 31.7 42.0 36.2 2016-2017 38.3 38.0 41.6 39.3 2015-2016 50.8 34.5 37.7 41.0 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 12/26/2021 at 7:04 AM, snowman19 said: @bluewave @donsutherland1 The talk of a cold and snowy early-mid January may need to be tamed a bit: This aged welL haha 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 This turned out to be one of my favorite winter months in a long time. Nice sustained cold, tons of machine made snow on the ski areas all topped with amazing powdery snow this weekend. This is what winter should be! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 What helped as well is the mjo getting into p8 then dying into IO. We had lingering effects of p8. This was all the mjo imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 hours ago, JustinRP37 said: This aged welL haha Haha. Poor snowman. Last year February did him in and this year was January lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Haha. Poor snowman. Last year February did him in and this year was January lol Sooner or later when he keeps saying mild and snowless he'll end up right. The torch February that Snowman and I also believed would happen doesn't look to be playing out based on ensembles. The 2nd half of Feb would have to be really warm for it to work out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 hours ago, Allsnow said: Haha. Poor snowman. Last year February did him in and this year was January lol time to stop all the cult talk of enso, enso doesn't matter as much as some people think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Sooner or later when he keeps saying mild and snowless he'll end up right. The torch February that Snowman and I also believed would happen doesn't look to be playing out based on ensembles. The 2nd half of Feb would have to be really warm for it to work out. the problem with you guys is you keep believing in enso, when it has very little to do with our weather and you guys never learn your lesson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Sooner or later when he keeps saying mild and snowless he'll end up right. The torch February that Snowman and I also believed would happen doesn't look to be playing out based on ensembles. The 2nd half of Feb would have to be really warm for it to work out. a bad clock is still right twice a day as they say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 9 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: All three cases with at least as much snowfall as last month occurred in February. 1. 36.6", February 2010 2. 35.7", February 1967 3. 33.2", February 2003 all three were amazing here too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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