Allsnow Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Stronge January for nyc. The power of p8 and a pna. January is the best month to have winter in it imo. How below avg will nyc be this month? -3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 hours ago, ForestHillWx said: 5 currently. This January has had more single digit low temps for my house than I can remember; lasting cold spell. Past winters I have dipped sub-zero, but quickly bounced back with the temps. I was just thinking this last night. Lot of single digit lows, and also a lot of highs sub 25, some of which failed to hit 20. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 hours ago, Juliancolton said: The bottom absolutely fell out up here. Low of -13F. Not sure why folks are laughing, lol. I was being serious. 1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Seriously? So where you lack for snow the past several storms you make up for in bitter cold. That's generally how it goes here. I downslope on just about any wind direction and my south-facing hill is very poor for pack retention, but I radiate extremely well as a rule. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 in my lifetime only two winters had a cold January and February after a warm December...1957-58 and 2014-15...both el nino years...1993-94 and 1967-68 had a cold Jan/Feb after a mild Dec...both neutral years...1984-85 was cold January and the first half of February but the second half of Feb was warm... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 As cold as it has been there are a surprising number of unfrozen reservoirs around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 hours ago, Juliancolton said: Not sure why folks are laughing, lol. I was being serious. That's generally how it goes here. I downslope on just about any wind direction and my south-facing hill is very poor for pack retention, but I radiate extremely well as a rule. Not gonna lie, I was surprised too when I read it but then checked out the WeatherLink map and saw just how cold it was in that neck of the woods. Impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 59 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Not gonna lie, I was surprised too when I read it but then checked out the WeatherLink map and saw just how cold it was in that neck of the woods. Impressive. I was pretty shocked to see it when I got up. By the time I got to 84 on my way to Cold Spring for sunrise, my truck thermo was already up to +10. Pretty localized decoupling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 5 hours ago, Allsnow said: Stronge January for nyc. The power of p8 and a pna. January is the best month to have winter in it imo. How below avg will nyc be this month? -3? sctually feb is a better snow month in nyc then january is.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 27” of snow here this month. Just about to seasonal average now. Quite the turnaround. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 58 minutes ago, psv88 said: 27” of snow here this month. Just about to seasonal average now. Quite the turnaround. Yeah, I guess the exterminator decided to finally take care of our rat problem on the island. I've only been calling him non stop since November!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Generally colder than normal readings will continue through midweek. Afterward, it will turn briefly milder before another cold front pushes across the region. That front could bring some rain or rain changing to snow late in the week. There are some hints on the long range guidance that the second half of February could experience a significant pattern change. That pattern change would lead to a return of sustained above normal readings. Much can still change given the timeframe involved. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around January 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.05°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.98°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through meteorological winter. The SOI was +24.03 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.713. On January 28 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 0.614 (RMM). The January 27-adjusted amplitude was 0.507 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a colder than normal January (1991-2020 normal). January will likely finish with a mean temperature near 30.2° (3.5° below normal). 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 10* here this AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 -4 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 -5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will be partly sunny but cold. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 20s and lower 30s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 30° Newark: 30° Philadelphia: 32° It will turn milder at midweek, but more cold air is likely to return for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 The last day of January is averaging 25degs.(24/30) or -8. It was suppose to start at single digits this AM according to EURO,CMC---what happened? Storm total from Saturday storm was 8.5"(NYC) with 0.90" liquid equivalent---what happened to the predicted 15:1 ratios? First 10 days of February are averaging 30(24/35)or -4 and little snow. Month to date is 30.5[-3.2]. January will end at 30.3[-3.4]. Reached 27 yesterday. Today: 28-32, wind e., p. cloudy. 24*(54%RH) here at 6am. 28* at 9am. 30* at 10am. 32 at 11am. 33* at Noon. Reached 38* at 4:30pm. 30* at 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 9 degrees here this morning, 21 in the city. Heat island in full affect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 7F! Coldest night yet. I cant believe how many single digit nights we have had this month. And they havent been strung together in one shot but rather spread out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3F in Wading River. Another nice wintry morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Westhampton reading -3F. I just drove by there and the reading on my dashboard was the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Checking the Davis Weatherlink map, the difference in temperatures at both the immediate south and north shore and the middle of the island is about 10-15 degrees. Both shores are about 15-20 degrees while away from the water is generally 0-10 degrees. No wind and snow pack and you have some variety in temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Brookhaven Labs in Upton is 0 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Now at 7F here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 10° low here for 3rd straight day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 The historic +13.3 departure in December 2015 marked the shift to much warmer winters. This January is only the 5th winter month out of the last 20 with below normal temperatures. The coldest departure month was this January at -3.2 NYC Jan 22….-3.2 Dec 21….+4.7 Feb 21….-1.1 Jan 21….+2.2 Dec 20…+1.7 Feb 20…+4.8 Jan 20….+6.5 Dec 19….+0.8 Feb 19….+0.9 Jan 19….-0.1 Dec 18…+2.6 Feb 18…+6.7 Jan 18….-0.9 Dec 17…..-2.5 Feb 17…..+6.3 Jan 17….+5.4 Dec 16….+0.8 Feb 16….+2.4 Jan 16….+1.9 Dec 15….+13.3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 hours ago, Juliancolton said: -5 -5 wound up being my low 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 40 minutes ago, bluewave said: The historic +13.3 departure in December 2015 marked the shift to much warmer winters. This January is only the 5th winter month out of the last 20 with below normal temperatures. The coldest departure month was this January at -3.2 NYC Jan 22….-3.2 Dec 21….+4.7 Feb 21….-1.1 Jan 21….+2.2 Dec 20…+1.7 Feb 20…+4.8 Jan 20….+6.5 Dec 19….+0.8 Feb 19….+0.9 Jan 19….-0.1 Dec 18…+2.6 Feb 18…+6.7 Jan 18….-0.9 Dec 17…..-2.5 Feb 17…..+6.3 Jan 17….+5.4 Dec 16….+0.8 Feb 16….+2.4 Jan 16….+1.9 Dec 15….+13.3 Yes winters have definitely changed. Milder and wetter and more snow thanks mostly to large snowfalls in single storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Low of 8 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 degrees this morning!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 23 minutes ago, lee59 said: Yes winters have definitely changed. Milder and wetter and more snow thanks mostly to large snowfalls in single storms. The remarkable thing is that even our least snowy winters since 09-10 still had record snows. The 11-12 winter had the record snowiest October in NYC. 19-20 tied for the snowiest May with the trace of snow. So every year since 09-10 had a top 10 snowiest month at one of the sites in the OKX forecast zones. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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