EastonSN+ Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Talk about a sharp trough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 The storm on Thursday-Friday just came way south on the Ukie, CMC, and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 That high and class of airmasses could mean business, these types of storms usually favor interior but if the high gets really strong it could surpress the storm further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 NWS depicting temps near 50 here on Thursday. Hopefully it's not a heavy rain given the fresh snow pak OTG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 18 minutes ago, LoboLeader1 said: NWS depicting temps near 50 here on Thursday. Hopefully it's not a heavy rain given the fresh snow pak OTG. There will be a warmup midweek but if the late week storm tracks further south it will be more brief and in fact the snow pack may replenish as opposed to get completely wiped out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Phase 3 in Feb is country cold. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 hours ago, HVSnowLover said: The storm on Thursday-Friday just came way south on the Ukie, CMC, and Euro. Yup, just saw that. Of course the GooFuS is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Someone who will remain nameless insisted I would need shorts and short sleeves shirts in February. Yeah, Im just not seeing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 23 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: Someone who will remain nameless insisted I would need shorts and short sleeves shirts in February. Yeah, Im just not seeing it. The great Houdini his “MO” is to go into hiding durning a storm and shows face a few days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 30 minutes ago, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said: The great Houdini his “MO” is to go into hiding durning a storm and shows face a few days later. Exactly. And then try to tell us how the next potential storm is not going to work out. Rinse. Lather. Repeat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: Phase 3 in Feb is country cold. Yeah the GFS/GEFS has largely been more SE ridgy overall D5 and beyond last few runs than the EPS/GEPS which is odd given it cranks the MJO into 3 and many other MJO guidance plots showing nothing like that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Yeah the GFS/GEFS has largely been more SE ridgy overall D5 and beyond last few runs than the EPS/GEPS which is odd given it cranks the MJO into 3 and many other MJO guidance plots showing nothing like that I am torn. Want energy savings bit at same time do not want to end up with the 7th below average snowfall season this century. Right now at 15 (I measured only 6.5 in Easton which was lowest in SW CT). Hopefully the EURO is right with the snowstorm as the front passes late week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 hour ago, HeadInTheClouds said: Someone who will remain nameless insisted I would need shorts and short sleeves shirts in February. Yeah, Im just not seeing it. It’s coming :-) 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gmendevils8204 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Is it me or does the warmup not look as impressive now? Just checked the weekly forecast for my town. Warmest days only get up to 42. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 29 minutes ago, snowman19 said: It’s coming :-) So now it's mid February ? Keeps getting pushed back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Recent model runs correcting much stronger with the Arctic high pressure for next week. New run Old run 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: Recent model runs correcting much stronger with the Arctic high pressure for next week. New run Old run If nothing else Feb is looking more active with cold on our side of the hemisphere. Too bad there does not seem to be blocking but happy with 2 to 4 events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: So now it's mid February ? Keeps getting pushed back. How about a thread for February? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, Tatamy said: How about a thread for February? I'm bad luck so no thread from me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 hours ago, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said: The great Houdini his “MO” is to go into hiding durning a storm and shows face a few days later. It’s the same day, couldn’t post before because my limit was up. Nice try and I like your new alter ego, you can change your name all you want I know who you really are lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 hour ago, HeadInTheClouds said: Exactly. And then try to tell us how the next potential storm is not going to work out. Rinse. Lather. Repeat. Funny how to certain people here the storms are always “trending” to a NYC metro area snowstorm without fail, every single time…..if it’s too far east, it’s “trending” west, too far west? it’s “trending” east, too far north? It’s “trending” south, too far south? It’s “trending” north…just as sure as the sun rises in the morning, you can predict exactly which way a particular storm is “trending” in their minds…. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 24 minutes ago, snowman19 said: It’s the same day, couldn’t post before because my limit was up. Nice try and I like your new alter ego, you can change your name all you want I know who you really are lol Hey genius my avatar is the same and that private message you send me obviously shows you my name. I no longer reside in NYC which is why I changed my name. What’s your point???? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 31 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Funny how to certain people here the storms are always “trending” to a NYC metro area snowstorm without fail, every single time…..if it’s too far east, it’s “trending” west, too far west? it’s “trending” east, too far north? It’s “trending” south, too far south? It’s “trending” north…just as sure as the sun rises in the morning, you can predict exactly which way a particular storm is “trending” in their minds…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, gmendevils8204 said: Is it me or does the warmup not look as impressive now? Just checked the weekly forecast for my town. Warmest days only get up to 42. It really depends on what happens with the high placement and the track of late week storm, it will be the difference between one day of 40s on Wed and maybe Thu or Wed-Fri all into the 40s/50s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Hey genius my avatar is the same and that private message you send me obviously shows you my name. I no longer reside in NYC which is why I changed my name. What’s your point????. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: It’s coming :-) Those error bars are mighty large. I wouldn’t put much faith in any pattern from the models over 10 days out warm or cold as we have consistently seen. I’ve eaten a lot of crow this year already thinking December would be average and January slightly above. Once December was so warm I didn’t anticipate such a huge reversal given the models. They have not been good in the long range. My advice, roll with it. We had a great winter storm today and January has been a true winter month which has been amazing. Honestly looking at the pattern I think February will be around average (given DJF and average overall temp) and a cooler March. That’s my two cents for now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: Funny how to certain people here the storms are always “trending” to a NYC metro area snowstorm without fail, every single time…..if it’s too far east, it’s “trending” west, too far west? it’s “trending” east, too far north? It’s “trending” south, too far south? It’s “trending” north…just as sure as the sun rises in the morning, you can predict exactly which way a particular storm is “trending” in their minds…. One thing that is always trending is you being wrong in the end. 5 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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