Brian5671 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Got down to 9 here-another night of single digits....cold month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 22 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: I think it has been a descent January. Nice and cold. A few snow events (a little paltry) but my lawn has had some snow on it for most of month without the hassle of widespread deep snow cover Much better than some past winters of constant warmth Like other posters mentioned, I also dont get the torch/snow lovers. There is so much more to winter than a day of snow: skiing, skating, clean air with great visibility, the crisp morning air, stepping out of a hot bar to smoke a cigarette in the cold with friends. In an increasingly hot and humid climate, it is a nice reprieve. Enjoy it. Up to 11F In terms of extremes, I will take this over 100F anyday This guy winters. I can’t stand the torchy patterns or, worse, torchy winters. It’s depressing and reminds me of the general trend of where we’re headed. Seasonal variation is a nice thing to have, and a little cold air is good for the soul. I completely respect a “to each their own” approach, but I 100% prefer cold and dry to hot and humid. Frankly I don’t enjoy the way NJ does heat, the humidity makes it unbearable for me. Writing is on the wall that it’s time for my wife and I to consider moving out of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 The temperatures this month are certainly feeling more winter-like for a change. NYC already has 5 days with a low under 20 this January with more to come. This is the most for any winter month in 3 years. These colder winter months have been few and far between since 15-16. Colder than average months bolded with 5 out of 20 Monthly Number of Days Min Temperature < 20 for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Dec Jan Feb Season 2021-2022 0 5 M 4 2020-2021 0 2 1 3 2019-2020 1 0 2 3 2018-2019 0 5 2 7 2017-2018 5 13 2 20 2016-2017 2 2 2 6 2015-2016 0 4 5 9 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Got down to 9 here-another night of single digits....cold month. Despite what little snow we've seen, it's been pretty cold. More single digit nights than we've had the last couple winters here. Not only that, but there hasn't been a thaw yet. The snow cover is minimal but has stuck around pretty well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Despite what little snow we've seen, it's been pretty cold. More single digit nights than we've had the last couple winters here. Not only that, but there hasn't been a thaw yet. The snow cover is minimal but has stuck around pretty well.It’s good, too, to have this bitter cold with a relative lack of snowcover to help keep a lot of insect and invasive plant populations in check near your home.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 kync is -.9 and that's with the new warmer averages 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
guinness77 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 I’m sick of the wind. that’s it, that’s the post. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: kync is -.9 and that's with the new warmer averages So basically, this January's temperatures used to be normal. Subjectively, it does seem that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 I’ve often tried to research weather reports from the LIA (Little Ice Age) and the magnitude of the cold during the worst winters of that period I can’t even fathom, and I’ve no idea how modern people today would adjust. It was just such a different climate back then. Despite my name I don’t subscribe fully to the notion that the LIA was “caused” by large scale volcanism, rather it was enhanced in certain years. Even very large eruptions haven’t conclusively been proven to impact the climate for a period longer than a decade at the extreme end. The LIA was just a very cold oscillation that got punctuated by additional forcings. Regardless, I routinely daydream about what that period would’ve been like in our area. (If stuff like this is better served in the banter thread please ignore, I’m still a bit new here and this is quite a slow period). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 8* at 10am. It's pretty damn cold outside. We should have no problem getting below zero tonight up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 46 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: So basically, thus January's temperatures used to be normal. Subjectively, it does seem that way. Exactly, people have grown so soft. It's seem like one big winter storm is everyone's ideal winter now. It can be mild the rest of the winter and no one seems to care. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 45 minutes ago, bluewave said: February is one of the few months of the cold season when a -PNA gradient pattern can work for us. The EPS moved to this look during the first of February. Maybe this would take the January suppression off the table? But mixed precipitation issues could arise if the gradient is too far north. It could work out but it could also be a not quite cold enough modified CP air mass bumping into cool not cold maritime air leaving us with 31-33° rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg g Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 What is Tuesday looking like at this point ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 25 minutes ago, Greg g said: What is Tuesday looking like at this point ?? A chance of rain or snow showers, no major storm here. The flow is too flat/fast and the northern and southern streams do not phase. Moisture from the southern system slips out well to our south and the snow showers we would get would be from the cold front. Onto the 28th-30th. WX/PT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Nice looking storm for the end of the month on gfs It crushes the south and then comes up here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Nice looking storm for the end of the month on gfs It crushes the south and then comes up here. Your lips to Gaia’s ears. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nice looking storm for the end of the month on gfs It crushes the south and then comes up here. I highly doubt that’s accurate. I really don’t see Augusta Georgia getting 2 1/2 feet of snow but than again after this winter who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 30 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: A chance of rain or snow showers, no major storm here. The flow is too flat/fast and the northern and southern streams do not phase. Moisture from the southern system slips out well to our south and the snow showers we would get would be from the cold front. Onto the 28th-30th. WX/PT I see 12z GGEM is giving areas just slightly to the northwest of NYC a significant snowstorm late tuesday, and changes the city over to snow for a few hours at the end with a couple inches. I assume GGEM is off on this though. This scenario doesn't seem very realistic for the reasons you stated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: I see 12z GGEM is giving areas just slightly to the northwest of NYC a significant snowstorm late tuesday, and changes the city over to snow for a few hours at the end with a couple inches. I assume GGEM is off on this though. This scenario doesn't seem very realistic for the reasons you stated. It still looks interesting to keep an eye on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said: I highly doubt that’s accurate. I really don’t see Augusta Georgia getting 2 1/2 feet of snow but than again after this winter who knows Of course it’s likely not accurate at this point. Hopefully if other models start to show a storm signal for that time period the takeaway is an event to track and hopefully something productive. Not ready to write winter off despite it at times making me feel I’d be better off doing so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Im not giving up on Tuesday just yet. 12z GFS and CMC show a decent wintry event especially N and W. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 No sign of a warmup on the gfs in the long range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 21 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It still looks interesting to keep an eye on I mentioned this yesterday. Looks even better today. As for the storm day 8. The ggem has the same storm. Something to watch next week I guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No sign of a warmup on the gfs in the long range The ridge over Alaska maintains the cold supply despite seemingly unfavorable parameters otherwise. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 So the concern I brought up yesterday in regards to the February torch seems to have been reflected on some of the guidance today. Interesting. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: No sign of a warmup on the gfs in the long range Well I know you must be kidding because yesterday snowman19 guaranteed a torch beginning February 1, like has never been seen before and it would last through March and pretty much wipe out the rest of winter. It's not like him to make predictions like that unless they're a sure thing. I actually took out all my spring clothes last night even though it's going to -5° here tomorrow morning. Other than his call in December for a torch in January and the virtual end of winter he's never steered me wrong. 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Say what you will, but this winter has a sense of humor. Overproducing cold with midday high of 19 at CPK after our warm bust of white rain yesterday. Teleconnections be damned: I fully expect a Feb torch and a damp miserable spring. This winter has strong late 80s early 90s in Mass vibes to me. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Euro is definitely more amped so far for the end of the month storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Some GEFS Members start hitting 60 by the second week of February. SD gives winter till the 10th. The Sun-Angle-Boys will join the fray soon too. But of course we still have that CFSv2 I posted yesterday. That climate model messed up December I believe---but got January right. Our end of month storm has shifted 500 miles to the west from two runs ago and is Sigma -4 overhead---unfortunately with the warm sector on board--- cause it shows no snow and a lot of rain: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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