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2 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

GFS OTS, CMC a foot and a half of snow for next weekend. Going to be another long week of model following. 

CMC looks a lot like the GFS 6 hours ago. At least that energy is out there lurking or hitting on all of the models. Something possibly exciting to keep an eye on. 

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2 hours ago, cleetussnow said:

Global average temp dropped some for about a year.  

But that had no impact on our winter in terms of snowfall.  It's like La Nina, that also drops global average temperature, but it doesn't mean anything in terms of added snowfall (or cold) for our region.  It did make the 1992 cooler, but the effects didn't last long enough for the winter.

 

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Just now, wdrag said:

For what it is worth: Will begin the 21st-22nd thread around 8AM pending more review. No guarantees on that one for us but certainly potential in a strong baroclinic zone. Maybe ATL-ILM will get 4+"? and we miss? or..... not another LaNina inside runner?

 

What a torture fest for snow lovers already. Miss to the south, miss to the east, inland runner tomorrow all despite a seemingly favorable pattern. 

At least we got a snow event in I guess.

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4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

What a torture fest for snow lovers already. Miss to the south, miss to the east, inland runner tomorrow all despite a seemingly favorable pattern. 

At least we got a snow event in I guess.

Another miss would be brutal.   We are clocking a fairly sustained period of cold, despite some hiccups.   Temps will not be an issue with next weekend, that's looking obvious. 

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The next 8 days are averaging 29degs.(22/36) or -4.

Reached 21 yesterday.

Today: Rising T's to 32 by time any precipitation starts (7pm) and near 40 by tomorrow AM.     Wind e. with gusts to 40-50mph near 4am, Monday.

13*(50%RH) here at 6am.     12* at 6:30am.      16* at 9am.      20* at 10:45am.      25* at Noon.      27* at 1pm.       28* at 3pm.        33* by 7:30pm after about 90 mins. of virga/snow.       38* at 10pm.

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The low of 6° at Newark is the coldest in 3 years.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Ending Date
Lowest Min Temperature Oct 1 to Apr 30
Missing Count
2022-04-30 6 105
2021-04-30 16 0
2020-04-30 12 0
2019-04-30 2 0
2018-04-30 4 0
2017-04-30 12 0
2016-04-30 0 0
2015-04-30 1 0
2014-04-30 3 0
2013-04-30 11 0
2012-04-30 12 0
2011-04-30 5 0
2010-04-30 14 0
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2 hours ago, wdrag said:

For what it is worth: Will begin the 21st-22nd thread around 8AM pending more review. No guarantees on that one for us but certainly potential in a strong baroclinic zone. Maybe ATL-ILM will get 4+"? and we miss? or..... not another LaNina inside runner?

 

Thanks Walt!

I am going to be extremely un-scientific here and say "somethin's gonna get us" :)

I am fascinated with this extreme cold followed by rain followed by extreme cold. I feel like the 1980s and early 90s had this happen often.

 

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