bluewave Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 44 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Didn't this similar pattern last for 2.5 months in 15/16? Wondering if this can lock in for the remainder on the year? I know the blob was off the west coast, however heard that they still don't know if the blob was caused by the constant ridge or vise versa. Perhaps this year we reverse 89/90 Past dramatic December to January La Niña flips usually occurred with a SSW event. This year we did it without a SSW. The current reversal is being driven by the convection shift from the Western to Central Pacific. Plus we already have much more snow in early January from Atlantic City to NYC Metro than in the past La Niña years. That being said, the favorable patterns in those years lasted into the first week of February. More La Niña-like patterns made a return by the 2nd week of February. So it will be interesting to see how we can keep this pattern going. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 8° here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 17° Min was 16° 0.1" snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 8/-3 and hasn’t moved all morning, hard to fathom getting to the 15 degree high for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: Last night's snow squall: Nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Past dramatic December to January La Niña flips usually occurred with a SSW event. This year we did it without a SSW. The current reversal is being driven by the convection shift from the Western to Central Pacific. Plus we already have much more snow in early January from Atlantic City to NYC Metro than in the past La Niña years. That being said, the favorable patterns in those years lasted into the first week of February. More La Niña-like patterns made a return by the 2nd week of February. So it will be interesting to see how we can keep this pattern going. Plus patterns lately haven’t been quick to change. We kicked the can on the December pattern improving for several weeks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt8204 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Got down to 12 on my drive into work. The heated seats came in handy this morning. Haven't felt that cold in awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 18 here now, maybe we make a run at 20, only down to 16 last night, thought we would get lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 17 just south and west of Newark here, now. The bite of the wind is definitely noticeable, but having a good down parka makes all the difference. Wonder how this 24 hour period would go if we maintained more snowcover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 ewr's low of 15 is closer to the average low of 26 than the record of -2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 cold yes but by any stretch not bitter cold as it has been..in the past... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 This Arctic shot came in on a NW flow across the Great Lakes which were still very warm from December. You can see how the Arctic air moderated crossing SE of the lakes. The models did a good job with the big spread between the 850 mb temperatures and the surface. The next Arctic front will come through Friday night. This one will have more of a NNW flow avoiding the warmer lakes. So while the 850s won’t be as cold, the 2m low temperatures could be several degrees colder than today. More NNW flow for early Saturday NW flow moderating across the lakes today 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Despite brilliant sunshine, the noon temperature at Central Park was 16. The last time the temperature was in the teens at noon was February 1, 2019 when the mercury also stood at 16. The high temperature that day was 21. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Gfs looks great moving forward. What a reversal from December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs looks great moving forward. What a reversal from December. Yeah usually a snowless December during a La Nina means a terrible winter ahead, but it's not a typical La Nina pattern this year. Nice looking pattern ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Couldn’t have been more depressed reading the Dec thread. A member posted the table showing winters where NYC fails to record a few inches of snow in Dec and then we basically gets bagels the rest of the winter. Now look where are. Two solid storms in the books, cold and a favorable pattern, with multiple events potentially on the horizon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah usually a snowless December during a La Nina means a terrible winter ahead, but it's not a typical La Nina pattern this year. Nice looking pattern ahead. With increasing warming occurring by the dateline that’s progressively pushing eastward, La Niña is on its way to a quicker demise than earlier thought. Pattern is behaving more like an El Niño. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I remember an awful lot of folks canceling the whole season in December. I was not one of them. Always said this year held some potential. Now let's see if we can take advantage. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Snow glistening 16F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Stuck at 13 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Here's the day 10-15 12z EPS, today's edition. This is a 5 day mean. The very end of the run still has the same look as this. Its impressive. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Up to 20 degrees. Pretty meh arctic airmass. Low of 16 and high of 20 (midnight high of 24). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Been sitting at 20 the last 5 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 stayed in the upper teens here-not that windy today either. Run of the mill. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 The first -10 or lower temperature departure day in NYC since the July 4th and Memorial Day weekends. CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 443 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2022 ................................... ...THE CENTRAL PARK NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JANUARY 11 2022... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1869 TO 2022 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 24 1248 AM 69 2020 39 -15 37 MINIMUM 15 1058 AM 3 1968 28 -13 28 AVERAGE 20 34 -14 33 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 hour ago, EasternLI said: Here's the day 10-15 12z EPS, today's edition. This is a 5 day mean. The very end of the run still has the same look as this. Its impressive. That almost has a 2013–14 look to it! One of my favorite winters. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Been stuck at 18F all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Temperature down to 16 here but will probably stop dropping before morning. Already not to far from the zero mark in parts of the mid Hudson Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 14* here currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 13° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now