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23 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Like a 14/15 flip 

I wonder what's to stop this from rolling straight through March like 14/15.

Even if the MJO goes unfavorable say Feb 1, wouldn't it just circle back to where we are in March? The December pattern was only a bad pattern due to the record RNA. 

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So the 12z/9 GGEM is consistent, certainly I84 corridor for a wintry event.  Will check 12z/EC and ensembles and if EC continues on with wintry LI north, and 18z GFS backs off the Thu-FRI closeness and heads more toward late Sat-Sun night...then I'll start the thread at 9PM.  

No insight.  Walt 1204P/9

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Pardon the digression.  Sorry Snowman for your loss.  She is in a much better place now, no more suffering.  Hang in there.  

Sorry to everyone here who has lost loved ones or going through tough times for any reason. Life is so hard and painful at times.  Here on the weather forums, we all come together and go back and forth, sometimes contentious, conflicting, annoying, confronting, etc. But ultimately, we all have to deal with life's ups and downs and our shared humanity should iron out our conflicts and edges.  My best wishes to you all for health and peace. 

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3 minutes ago, wdrag said:

So the 12z/9 GGEM is consistent, certainly I84 corridor for a wintry event.  Will check 12z/EC and ensembles and if EC continues on with wintry LI north, and 18z GFS backs off the Thu-FRI closeness and heads more toward late Sat-Sun night...then I'll start the thread at 9PM.  

No insight.  Walt 1204P/9

Thanks Walt. Given the H5 look would think the outcome would be snowier for both events (CMC re developer and GFS Jan 24 storm)

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13 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Thanks Walt. Given the H5 look would think the outcome would be snowier for both events (CMC re developer and GFS Jan 24 storm)

first of all the primary low and redevelopment is completely different on the GFS and CMC for next weekend low confidence IMO----- - the Jan 24th storm is still in fantasyland....a thread can be created now but should be open to a wide range of possibilities IMO only...

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3 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

I can’t remember the exact year. But sometime around 2010 didn’t we have multiple snowstorms in a row on LI?

we had the blizzard dec 26 2010 and then another big snowstorm in jan 2011.. in nyc and other areas and then winter was over after that...

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3 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

I can’t remember the exact year. But sometime around 2010 didn’t we have multiple snowstorms in a row on LI?

Its happened numerous times the last 20 years, 09-10 and 10-11 winters it happened where there were 2 or 3 in a span of 2 weeks or less.  2/8 and 2/11 1994 though are the only cases I know of with 2 8 plus inch events in a span of 3 days or less

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some very close snowstorms in Central Park...within a week or so...

..8.0" 1/31/1882...

..9.0" 2/4-5/1882...

...................................

5.0" 12/19/1883...

2.1" 12/21/1883...

7.6" 12/23-24/1883...

5.0" 12/25/1883...

.................................................

10.4" 2/3-4/1926...

12.0" 2/9-10/1926...

....................................

..9.7" 2/13-14/1914...

..5.3" 2/16/1914...

...........................................

7.6" 2/19-20/1934...

9.3" 2/25-26/1934...

.....................................

..5.3" 12/15/1948...

16.0" 12/19-20/1948...

.......................................

..6.7" 3/16-17/1956...

11.6" 3/18-19/1956...

.........................................

..9.0" 2/8-9/1994...

12.8" 2/11/1994...

......................................

5.0" 2/20-21/2005...

6.0" 2/24-25/2005...

7.7" 2/28-3/1 2005

...............................................

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