SnoSki14 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 14 minutes ago, lee59 said: 12z GFS still insistent with that hurricane intense like low off the east coast on Friday. If that PNA spike didn't get knocked down it could've worked out but there's still time to watch it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 23 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Like a 14/15 flip I wonder what's to stop this from rolling straight through March like 14/15. Even if the MJO goes unfavorable say Feb 1, wouldn't it just circle back to where we are in March? The December pattern was only a bad pattern due to the record RNA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 10 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Let’s hope no big wind. Snow plus no power sucks. It is interesting to see it there at such an intensity but I give it little chance of happening, at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 7 minutes ago, lee59 said: It is interesting to see it there at such an intensity but I give it little chance of happening, at this point. I'm keeping an eye out west. Are models breaking down the PNA too quickly. Will it be a stronger spike? Looks like CMC went towards GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 So the 12z/9 GGEM is consistent, certainly I84 corridor for a wintry event. Will check 12z/EC and ensembles and if EC continues on with wintry LI north, and 18z GFS backs off the Thu-FRI closeness and heads more toward late Sat-Sun night...then I'll start the thread at 9PM. No insight. Walt 1204P/9 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Beautiful storm on the CMC. I would bet on it ending up further south and colder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Pardon the digression. Sorry Snowman for your loss. She is in a much better place now, no more suffering. Hang in there. Sorry to everyone here who has lost loved ones or going through tough times for any reason. Life is so hard and painful at times. Here on the weather forums, we all come together and go back and forth, sometimes contentious, conflicting, annoying, confronting, etc. But ultimately, we all have to deal with life's ups and downs and our shared humanity should iron out our conflicts and edges. My best wishes to you all for health and peace. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Beautiful storm on the CMC. I would bet on it ending up further south and colder. why ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, wdrag said: So the 12z/9 GGEM is consistent, certainly I84 corridor for a wintry event. Will check 12z/EC and ensembles and if EC continues on with wintry LI north, and 18z GFS backs off the Thu-FRI closeness and heads more toward late Sat-Sun night...then I'll start the thread at 9PM. No insight. Walt 1204P/9 Thanks Walt. Given the H5 look would think the outcome would be snowier for both events (CMC re developer and GFS Jan 24 storm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 GFS storm actually ends up much snowier than I expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: GFS storm actually ends up much snowier than I expected. We should probably ignore the GFS day 15 QPF map for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 7 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: why ? Love the blocking holding in the High pressure. Watching modeling over the past 25 years generally when there is blocking storms trend more south and colder compared to no blocking where the opposite happens. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 13 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Thanks Walt. Given the H5 look would think the outcome would be snowier for both events (CMC re developer and GFS Jan 24 storm) first of all the primary low and redevelopment is completely different on the GFS and CMC for next weekend low confidence IMO----- - the Jan 24th storm is still in fantasyland....a thread can be created now but should be open to a wide range of possibilities IMO only... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Sorry to hear about your loss, snowman. I too have been impacted by cancer. My dad died of colon cancer in 2018. It’s a horrible disease and I am very hopeful we get a cure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Sorry for your loss Snowman. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Very active Euro run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Op Euro tried with the storm at 120 for sure but did not do it. was the closest its been so far though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 That Euro is loaded with potential.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Op Euro tried with the storm at 120 for sure but did not do it. was the closest its been so far though Plenty of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 32 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Op Euro tried with the storm at 120 for sure but did not do it. was the closest its been so far though Eps mean is impressive for the 17th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Very sorry for your loss, Snowman. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Incredible potential coming up the next few weeks. Winter is here 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: Op Euro tried with the storm at 120 for sure but did not do it. was the closest its been so far though That's a good amount of time to correct as well. Hopefully it continues to show a more pronounced ridge out west that doesn't get knocked down so quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Eps snow mean 8-10 for the run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 21 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: That's a good amount of time to correct as well. Hopefully it continues to show a more pronounced ridge out west that doesn't get knocked down so quickly. Yeah, amplification will help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 29 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Incredible potential coming up the next few weeks. Winter is here The 1/15 - 1/25 period is definitely legit. Big potential for sure. After 1/25 I think RNA takes over again 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 6 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The 1/15 - 1/25 period is definitely legit. Big potential for sure. After 1/25 I think RNA takes over again Agree on the active pattern coming up. As others sent their condolences for your loss, I also send them to you and your family. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: I can’t remember the exact year. But sometime around 2010 didn’t we have multiple snowstorms in a row on LI? we had the blizzard dec 26 2010 and then another big snowstorm in jan 2011.. in nyc and other areas and then winter was over after that... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: I can’t remember the exact year. But sometime around 2010 didn’t we have multiple snowstorms in a row on LI? Its happened numerous times the last 20 years, 09-10 and 10-11 winters it happened where there were 2 or 3 in a span of 2 weeks or less. 2/8 and 2/11 1994 though are the only cases I know of with 2 8 plus inch events in a span of 3 days or less 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 some very close snowstorms in Central Park...within a week or so... ..8.0" 1/31/1882... ..9.0" 2/4-5/1882... ................................... 5.0" 12/19/1883... 2.1" 12/21/1883... 7.6" 12/23-24/1883... 5.0" 12/25/1883... ................................................. 10.4" 2/3-4/1926... 12.0" 2/9-10/1926... .................................... ..9.7" 2/13-14/1914... ..5.3" 2/16/1914... ........................................... 7.6" 2/19-20/1934... 9.3" 2/25-26/1934... ..................................... ..5.3" 12/15/1948... 16.0" 12/19-20/1948... ....................................... ..6.7" 3/16-17/1956... 11.6" 3/18-19/1956... ......................................... ..9.0" 2/8-9/1994... 12.8" 2/11/1994... ...................................... 5.0" 2/20-21/2005... 6.0" 2/24-25/2005... 7.7" 2/28-3/1 2005 ............................................... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now