LibertyBell Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, Nibor said: The other thing that bothers me is the antithesis to Tom Brady is Eli Manning. Which means the antithesis to metsfan would be Snowman19 and this hurts my Giants fandom brain. I dont think the antithesis to Tom Brady is Eli Manning. They've both won multiple superbowls (and multiple superbowl MVPs) and they're both clutch. The antithesis to Tom Brady should be someone like Matt Ryan, who hasn't won a single superbowl and isn't clutch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: I dont think the antithesis to Tom Brady is Eli Manning. They've both won multiple superbowls (and multiple superbowl MVPs) and they're both clutch. The antithesis to Tom Brady should be someone like Matt Ryan, who hasn't won a single superbowl and isn't clutch. Thank you for trying to console me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 No Jan 15-16 thread til either late today or Saturday morning at the earliest. Still looks promising to me for a northeast USA snow and ice event but it could easily turn to just a cold frontal passage if the northern stream dominates. I do like the multi ensemble suggestion of something out of the Ohio Valley redeveloping mid Atlantic coast with high pressure to our north and leftover snow cover keeping ground temps cooler than without. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, wdrag said: No Jan 15-16 thread til either late today or Saturday morning at the earliest. Still looks promising to me for a northeast USA snow and ice event but it could easily turn to just a cold frontal passage if the northern stream dominates. I do like the multi ensemble suggestion of something out of the Ohio Valley redeveloping mid Atlantic coast with high pressure to our north and leftover snow cover keeping ground temps cooler than without. One of top analogs for that period was Jan 2005 which had a big storm due to a similar setup. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 29degs.(24/33), or -4>>>-6 nowadays. Reached 40* here yesterday. Today: 33-35, wind n. to nw. and breezy, Snow till Noon, 23 tomorrow AM. No more snow for 7-10 days? 29*(99%RH) here at 6am{was 36 at Midnight and did not get to 32 till 3:30AM.}, Mod./Heavy Snow. 30* at 9am and sunny. 33* at 11am. 34* at 1pm. 30* at 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 So the January thread possibilities. We've exceeded our 4" low threshold for a storm. I sure hope everyone is satisfied. AND, it's not a persistence month with December. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Anyone have the Teles? They are not updating on NOAA. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Morning thoughts… Heavy snow will end this morning and the sun will return during the afternoon from west to east. It will be cold. High temperatures will likely reach mainly the lower and middle 30s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 34° Newark: 36° Philadelphia: 35° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 39.7°; 15-Year: 40.7° Newark: 30-Year: 40.2°; 15-Year: 41.4° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 41.6°; 15-Year: 42.5° Tomorrow will be sunny and cold. An Arctic shot lies ahead for early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Anyone have the Teles? They are not updating on NOAA. Thanks. Forget the teles, just have a look at this. Then, rest assured that the EPS is also headed in this direction. Because it is. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, EasternLI said: Forget the teles, just have a look at this. Then, rest assured that the EPS is also headed in this direction. Because it is. Thanks! Looks like it lost the blocking up top but we are in the frigid trough. I wonder is we can avoid the RNA altogether given that people are saying now that it's and east based la Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 10 minutes ago, EasternLI said: Forget the teles, just have a look at this. Then, rest assured that the EPS is also headed in this direction. Because it is. This may be the most extreme reversal of a La Niña pattern in December to a much more Nino-like one in January. The forcing near the Dateline and WWB would be impressive for a regular El Niño January. It will be interesting to see what type of pattern shows up in February. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 10 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Thanks! Looks like it lost the blocking up top but we are in the frigid trough. I wonder is we can avoid the RNA altogether given that people are saying now that it's and east based la Nina. We take the Alaska ridging with the vortex in that position. The east based nature of the la Niña certainly keeps it interesting. It's going to be interesting to see how that plays into the rest of the season. If it were a more central based event, you could forget about it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, EasternLI said: We take the Alaska ridging with the vortex in that position. The east based nature of the la Niña certainly keeps it interesting. It's going to be interesting to see how that plays into the rest of the season. If it were a more central based event, you could forget about it. East based blocking helping our chances. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: This may be the most extreme reversal of a La Niña pattern in December to a much more Nino-like one in January. The forcing near the Dateline and WWB would be impressive for a regular El Niño January. It will be interesting to see what type of pattern shows up in February. Yeah, I agree. This year has been fascinating and it continues to be. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 hour ago, bluewave said: This may be the most extreme reversal of a La Niña pattern in December to a much more Nino-like one in January. The forcing near the Dateline and WWB would be impressive for a regular El Niño January. It will be interesting to see what type of pattern shows up in February. January 97 and 99 both flipped pretty hard but then reverted right back in February 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 12/28/2021 at 2:06 PM, qg_omega said: Historic torch looking likely Jan 5 to 15, even warmer than what we had most of December as we loose the blocking and RNA rages Almost 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 9 minutes ago, Rjay said: Almost literally every storm 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 17 minutes ago, Rjay said: Almost We cant even get the rna vaccines to rage #dadjoke 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 52 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: January 97 and 99 both flipped pretty hard but then reverted right back in February This is the most dramatic December La Niña to January positive flip without a SSW. The SSW Januaries still maintained the La Niña background forcing state. This one is all by itself with the pronounced Nino-like forcing near the dateline and WWB pattern. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 since 2010 have there been any DJFM periods with only one 6" or greater nyc storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: since 2010 have there been any DJFM periods with only one 6" or greater nyc storm? I'm really bad at this but 2016? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just now, Rjay said: I'm really bad at this but 2016? we had a second storm in february 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: since 2010 have there been any DJFM periods with only one 6" or greater nyc storm? None honestly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 7 minutes ago, forkyfork said: we had a second storm in february Was only 2.5" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 25 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Was only 2.5" i didn't remember how far west the warning criteria amounts got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 well we're not in a super nino so precedent says we get at least one more significant storm 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Is there a thread or discussion yet on Sunday morning’s possible icing event? Not a big fan of power losses before a cold snap.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, North and West said: Is there a thread or discussion yet on Sunday morning’s possible icing event? Not a big fan of power losses before a cold snap. . Walt made a thread. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Walt made a thread. . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 This is the only snowstorm in the area during the first week of January with a 60° high temperature. We saw the first 12”+ daily snow at ACY following a 60° day. This has been a common theme for us in recent years with record warmth and heavy snows close together. Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Highest Max Temperature Jan 1 to Jan 7 Snow 2007-01-07 72 0.0 1950-01-07 66 0.0 1993-01-07 64 T 2000-01-07 63 0.0 1998-01-07 63 0.0 2012-01-07 62 0.0 1946-01-07 62 T 2008-01-07 61 T 1997-01-07 61 0.1 2022-01-07 60 8.4 2019-01-07 60 0.0 1966-01-07 60 T 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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