ineedsnow Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Couple big GEFS members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 19 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: How is this even possible at the surface given the upper levels? Or is there a sneaky layer above 0C somewhere? Warm core seclusion. That’s a big arc of WAA backing in from the midlevels with cold in place near the surface. I like the brief nuke it develops from it that goes into downeast ME. Probably all fantasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 30 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I honestly like your spot a bit better...comparable average and significantly better retention. I love this area for two reasons .. decent elevation relatively speaking and interior enough and far enough east to catch 95% of the coastals .. as opposed to similar elevations in NW CT who miss out on many coastal events. What I don’t like is no CAD . So if any semblance of a cutter happens , this area is toast . 55 miles to the ocean being the highest elevation with a S or SE wind means no buffer to hold the warmth off 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 52 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya 44” was biggest report they accepted several reported 50” and they Were not cleared every 6 hour deals That’s hard to do. Sell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This 18z GFS shows what Will and I were mentioning earlier ... there's room in the synoptic scaffolding for that clipper to settle in and amplify... This run not only does so, but the "possible" newly arriving -NOA over the western limb pays immediate dividends to snow enthusiasts by back-logging/jamming it up to snow itself out. That would be late Thursday and Friday... This is a break in continuity however; I'm not incline to think of it - not even one we want to see LOL - as having any particular merit until it there are similar changes from different sources. It's a little odd that it did so at 120 to 140 hours, but that's right on the cusp of giving latitude to the model vs impugning it so it's just as well, noise. It could be as fun a period coming as it may be frustrating at time. If some how the clipper does go on to do more, it will impact the likeliness of that behind it D9. Re the -NAO... some of these runs are doing weird stalling/galaxy mergers out there in the Atlantic, and it is almost like they detecting the NAO forcing before the block actually materializes - interesting.. GFS did this 5 days ago with a 950 mb low on the BM - obvious bs but it's homaged. Not sure if this animation will work.. triple phaser? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That’s hard to do. Sell. 1888 had several 50s and after all the US record is in the 70s. Mountains do 6 feet on the reg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 18 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Call em as I see em This storm is out to sea, I’m going to bed, this is a bust, I don’t feel good......9” later. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 1888 had several 50s and after all the US record is in the 70s. Mountains do 6 feet on the reg I’m not talking mtns though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I’m not talking mtns though. What's the difference? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 25 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: I drove back from Florida late March 1990, or 91 during a Nor'Easter. Snow started just north of D.C. Drove through it all the way to CT...in a Ford Escort! I'll never forget it!! nice, must have been a fun ride! I'll be taking my truck this go around so no rental but still, she has 250k but brand new sneakers on her, hope it's not too much for her.. I'd only expect winter weather until maybe VA though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Gefs shows some members further west similar to the gfs for next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: Gefs shows some members further west similar to the gfs for next weekend Are seeing the individual members, or the mean? - I guess I mean what is the source ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I love this area for two reasons .. decent elevation relatively speaking and interior enough and far enough east to catch 95% of the coastals .. as opposed to similar elevations in NW CT who miss out on many coastal events. What I don’t like is no CAD . So if any semblance of a cutter happens , this area is toast . 55 miles to the ocean being the highest elevation with a S or SE wind means no buffer to hold the warmth off Yea, I am a bit better for CAD here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s hard to do. Sell. 40” is hard to do. But I think if a storm could’ve put up an isolated 45-50” it was last Dec near BGM or near Ludlow/Okemo in VT. Both spots seemed to have legit 40+ amounts on the level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 guess we have something to track a week out again, although we all knew the pattern shuffle was going to happen after the 10th or so, speaking of which, damn it looks like maybe records breaking Tuesday/Tues night? not sure what it is for BDL, and surrounding areas, but looks frigid, especially at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 24 minutes ago, alex said: 0F at 6pm. Not shabby Wait until next week....Actually 14.7⁰ of fake cold here already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: PLEASE make this come true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Just now, tavwtby said: guess we have something to track a week out again, although we all knew the pattern shuffle was going to happen after the 10th or so, speaking of which, damn it looks like maybe records breaking Tuesday/Tues night? not sure what it is for BDL, and surrounding areas, but looks frigid, especially at 850 Tuesday to me looks like one of those rare days where the hill towns stay in the single digits all day for highs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 40” is hard to do. But I think if a storm could’ve put up an isolated 45-50” it was last Dec near BGM or near Ludlow/Okemo in VT. Both spots seemed to have legit 40+ amounts on the level. If anybody has reports or Pics I’m all for it. I know 40” amounts happened and believe it for sure. Those pics were epic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I love this area for two reasons .. decent elevation relatively speaking and interior enough and far enough east to catch 95% of the coastals .. as opposed to similar elevations in NW CT who miss out on many coastal events. What I don’t like is no CAD . So if any semblance of a cutter happens , this area is toast . 55 miles to the ocean being the highest elevation with a S or SE wind means no buffer to hold the warmth off Now that I have moved back to NW CT after spending 20+ years in Ellington, I can appreciate what you are saying with the benefits of coastal storms by being 35-40 miles east. Growing up here in NW CT, we seemed to have more storms where p-type issues in SE CT was more common and those were the ones were we would clean up in NW CT. My appreciation for the small weather variations in a small state has grown over the years having grown up in the snow capital of CT, then living on the eastern edge of death valley and then moving back to the hills. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 I’m all for that storm. I’ll sell a coastal like that with deformation sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Yippee, another low that climbs up to SNE and then immediately jets off to the east. Fringe time again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Tuesday to me looks like one of those rare days where the hill towns stay in the single digits all day for highs 12z EURO had a max temp of -10F at MVL here in the afternoon lol. 850mb at -32C . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 I don't think I can remember a single big Upstate NY that wasn't LES or w/ LES help. Cities up there don't have much orography and they're too far from the Atlantic for significant ocean effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 hour ago, tavwtby said: yikes, would love this if it was tomorrow and not the only one showing although pattern does look favorable The 12z UK was moving in this direction. Got precipitation to most of SNE. The EC wasn't too far off aloft, but ultimately well offshore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Are seeing the individual members, or the mean? - I guess I mean what is the source ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 30 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yo I have been on this for a week and all of sudden you forget all about me.....lol Hey he started the last one and we did well no? Juju 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Have not had a foot plus storm since last Feb, I am due. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, Connecticut Appleman said: Now that I have moved back to NW CT after spending 20+ years in Ellington, I can appreciate what you are saying with the benefits of coastal storms by being 35-40 miles east. Growing up here in NW CT, we seemed to have more storms where p-type issues in SE CT was more common and those were the ones were we would clean up in NW CT. My appreciation for the small weather variations in a small state has grown over the years having grown up in the snow capital of CT, then living on the eastern edge of death valley and then moving back to the hills. I can relate to this, moving just 30 miles from wtby to Winsted, we avg like 30" more, we do get the few times a year where a solid LES band makes it through the cats and puts a good squall, and the ptype storms usually end up staying all sn while wtby turns sleet or even RN, it's nice, now with the possibility of moving to north georgia, might never see it again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, eduggs said: The 12z UK was moving in this direction. Got precipitation to most of SNE. The EC wasn't too far off aloft, but ultimately well offshore. EC close but a bit late , I love the gifs now lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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