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January 2022 Obs/Disco


NorEastermass128
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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not the same exact map but you can find very similar ones here:

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/rsi/nesis

What Will gave ..

but also, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products

Good luck navigating that site though - it's a quagmire of links, often just ending up in a descriptive essay about what you want to see without actually showing it...

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14 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

were this to pan out, it would suck because I'm heading out to GA on Friday morning, driving so that outta be fun, unless I miss it.. I drove back from Florida last month through that line which caused the F5 tornado outbreak in KY, was driving up 40 when the line came through, hardest rain I've ever driven through, small tornado path i drove past was pretty wild, don't want a repeat of that

I drove back from Florida late March 1990, or 91 during a Nor'Easter. Snow started just north of D.C. Drove through it all the way to CT...in a Ford Escort! I'll never forget it!!

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20 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

were this to pan out, it would suck because I'm heading out to GA on Friday morning, driving so that outta be fun, unless I miss it.. I drove back from Florida last month through that line which caused the F5 tornado outbreak in KY, was driving up 40 when the line came through, hardest rain I've ever driven through, small tornado path i drove past was pretty wild, don't want a repeat of that

We’ll be here to celebrate for you… but it’s 1st and 10 on our own 1yd line with Cam Newton behind center.

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Just now, JC-CT said:

GFS actually kind of looks like the ridiculous ggem from 12z yesterday, did anyone catch that one? Captured a low from the Bahamas to the benchmark in like 6 hours. And no, I dont mean Bermuda, I mean the Bahamas.

Don't laugh...that PV lobe and subtropical low phase is plausible IMO. LIKELY, probably not..

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19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

And you?....You and the doggie be smiling. 

Just had a crisis.  Next door neighbors dog blew out his hip or back leg. She just had a baby, nephew passed away so hubby was at wake. She was in total panic. Was able to get dog stabilized and in the house 103 lb lab. Her Mom came brought him to emergency vet.. Geez I felt bad for her. 

Epic happy hour run I see lol

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This 18z GFS shows what Will and I were mentioning earlier ... there's room in the synoptic scaffolding for that clipper to settle in and amplify...  This run not only does so, but the "possible" newly arriving -NOA over the western limb pays immediate dividends to snow enthusiasts by back-logging/jamming it up to snow itself out.

That would be late Thursday and Friday...

This is a break in continuity however;  I'm not incline to think of it - not even one we want to see LOL - as having any particular merit until it there are similar changes from different sources.   It's a little odd that it did so at 120 to 140 hours, but that's right on the cusp of giving latitude to the model vs impugning it so it's just as well, noise. 

It could be as fun a period coming as it may be frustrating at time.  If some how the clipper does go on to do more, it will impact the likeliness of that behind it D9.

Re the -NAO... some of these runs are doing weird stalling/galaxy mergers out there in the Atlantic, and it is almost like they detecting the NAO forcing before the block actually materializes - interesting.. GFS did this 5 days ago with a 950 mb low on the BM - obvious bs but it's homaged.

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Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Just had a crisis.  Next door neighbors dog blew out his hip or back leg. She just had a baby, nephew passed away so hubby was at wake. She was in total panic. Was able to get dog stabilized and in the house 103 lb lab. Her Mom came brought him to emergency vet.. Geez I felt bad for her. 

Epic happy hour run I see lol

Man, sorry to bear that buddy. Glad it worked out

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