George001 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Welp, I think it’s safe to admit my forecast the Boston’s getting more snow than DC for this storm is going to be a massive bust. DC is getting hammered, our turn is on Friday. 2 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
giventofly Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Few flakes here in Newport, RI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Box will probably cancel advisories and the warning on Nantucket soon what a bust for them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Euro really has the arctic air in here early next week, GFS not so much. Euro has a low of -14F in my hood early Wed. AM, not getting above 0F on Tues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Euro really has the arctic air in here early next week, GFS not so much. Euro has a low of -14F in my hood early Wed. AM, not getting above 0F on Tues. about the same for here we take! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Euro really has the arctic air in here early next week, GFS not so much. Euro has a low of -14F in my hood early Wed. AM, not getting above 0F on Tues. Check out the -30s at 850 deep into Cow Hampshire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 EPS built heights back up near AK on this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Holy EURO run thats DEEP DEEP winter post Friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Holy EURO run thats DEEP DEEP winter post Friday Jan 10 PV visit like Scott promised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 It’s back 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: I went 8 to 16 max zones. Over a foot in areas already. Disaster though with trees down That's probably going to be the biggest story in post-event reviews. Not buying the snow threat wasn't great, but then no real mention of a power outage threat. 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: By the way those total snow depth change maps are bunk. I think you're being a little harsh there. Kuchera and 10:1 were pretty similar maps. But that depth map isn't that far off reported totals as it winds down. DCA reporting a snowfall and depth of 6.7/7. The over 10" amounts are just south of the DC area like shown on the 02/12z ECMWF. Maybe the depth is going to miss the highest amounts, but overall that map will be vastly better than the 10:1 or Kuchie maps. Of course that's why we don't like to forecast with clown maps to begin with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Yeah EPS went back to pants tent pattern....you could see the OP run doing it to at the end of the run there around D10....and the EPS gets better and better beyond that as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Probably changes, but that was nice haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 36 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Box will probably cancel advisories and the warning on Nantucket soon what a bust for them It was always going to be close there. Even the HRRR was showing a decent bout of snow there until very recently. Might be a few hours before they decide to abandon them entirely... it was a close call, but going with a warning instead of an advisory was probably the call to make based on the forecasting tools available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Time sensitive, but these traffic cams form central and southern DE are great. Windy and heavy snow. They don't often JP; I know cuz I grew up there. The Rehoboth Beach cam is great right now as are some around Milford. https://deldot.gov/map/index.shtml?tab=TrafficCameras# 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wow, we get a great +NAO pattern, but then are we headed back to -NAO? There may be enough in that image to slow some storms down, but a KU crawler under a block could be cool. Looks like this won't be Delaware's last storm of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Weeklies look good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Looks like the pattern changes just in time for my 1/22-1/30 trip to Idaho. That would suck to ski in 50 degree weather out there while watching it pound snow out here (after been its the exact opposite the last month). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Cautiously optimistic about this winter as a whole, When looking at the analogs that were being thrown around it was like a 50/50 split of good years and bad ones, But that's for up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Judging by the sunset we may finally get a decent day tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, kdxken said: Judging by the sunset we may finally get a decent day tomorrow. Yeah that was an awesome 10 minute show before it got dark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 My MD place got like an inch on the patio table. Didn’t even lay on paved surfaces. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 11 minutes ago, PhineasC said: My MD place got like an inch on the patio table. Didn’t even lay on paved surfaces. LOL You get that in Randolph when a moose farts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah EPS went back to pants tent pattern....you could see the OP run doing it to at the end of the run there around D10....and the EPS gets better and better beyond that as well. So we get a decent +PNA, -EPO?. +NAO to -NAO?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Box will probably cancel advisories and the warning on Nantucket soon what a bust for them Well, they are an island surrounded by 40° water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 WPC day 4 map looks perfect, with the low forming right in the Delaware Bay and 24 hours later NNE of NS. That is a good track for interior SNE, CNE, NNE. And from the discussion: Regarding the early period East Coast low, the 06z/12zGFS continues to be faster/more offshore with the track while thebulk of the rest of the guidance suggests something closer to thecoast and a more impactful winter storm from the lower Ohio Valleyinto the Northeast. And in the threats/hazards everywhere form just nw of Philly into all of NE is under threat for heavy snow. I'm thinking a general 6-12 is coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: WPC day 4 map looks perfect, with the low forming right in the Delaware Bay and 24 hours later NNE of NS. That is a good track for interior SNE, CNE, NNE. And from the discussion: Regarding the early period East Coast low, the 06z/12zGFS continues to be faster/more offshore with the track while thebulk of the rest of the guidance suggests something closer to thecoast and a more impactful winter storm from the lower Ohio Valleyinto the Northeast. And in the threats/hazards everywhere form just nw of Philly into all of NE is under threat for heavy snow. I'm thinking a general 6-12 is coming. Agreed, its not worth fretting over details at this point. It's better to just let the baroclinic zone and the west coast ridge do the macroscale work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 59 minutes ago, PhineasC said: My MD place got like an inch on the patio table. Didn’t even lay on paved surfaces. LOL You’re 3rd home in Dover had 8-10” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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