weathafella Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Euro brushing with Monday. Nice storm for parts of MA-DC weenies throwing plates at DT.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: Give me a minute…jfc. Lol I was wondering why you were upset with my fog post lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Euro brushing with Monday. Nice storm for parts of MA-DC weenies throwing plates at DT.... Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I saw an interesting image on another forum, the 18z euro is a miss to the south, but it moved NW about 40-50 miles from the last run and more importantly it is very close to being something much bigger if that northern stream phases just a little quicker. This is so close to being something big even in new england. We have a storm missing us like 50 miles to the south on most guidance 2 days out with a raging La Niña in place…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 37 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro brushing with Monday. Nice storm for parts of MA-DC weenies throwing plates at DT.... Non zero chance that throws some snow south and east of Boston 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 We are seeing some signals we have yet to realize and this could get exciting. Interesting. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 It's raining again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Pretty big shift on the 18z EURO cape gets a couple 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Pretty big shift on the 18z EURO cape gets a couple Eps north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Eps north 48 hours to go not much time and I think dry air to the north will kill any chances.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Nice conflicting signals tonight as sonde data comes in. Both the northern stream and the southern stream are deeper than 12z guidance forecast. Conflicting because ensemble sensitivity suggested that you wanted a deeper southern stream/weaker northern stream to produce a stronger/farther west system for Monday. So then the question becomes which feature do we believe dominates. I'm personally leaning that the northern stream is going to "cap" just how much room this one has to sneak north. If we can't give ridging enough room to flex ahead of the southern stream that pretty well limits potential. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 29 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Nice conflicting signals tonight as sonde data comes in. Both the northern stream and the southern stream are deeper than 12z guidance forecast. Conflicting because ensemble sensitivity suggested that you wanted a deeper southern stream/weaker northern stream to produce a stronger/farther west system for Monday. So then the question becomes which feature do we believe dominates. I'm personally leaning that the northern stream is going to "cap" just how much room this one has to sneak north. If we can't give ridging enough room to flex ahead of the southern stream that pretty well limits potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Yeah keeping an eye on this one. Sneaky potential. Right now it’s swing and a miss but it’s been trending closer. A few more adjustments and I might get into the decent snows as well as the Cape at least. #NovaScotiaStrong 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Everyone touting RIC. Looks way too warm during the event there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 42 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Nice conflicting signals tonight as sonde data comes in. Both the northern stream and the southern stream are deeper than 12z guidance forecast. Conflicting because ensemble sensitivity suggested that you wanted a deeper southern stream/weaker northern stream to produce a stronger/farther west system for Monday. So then the question becomes which feature do we believe dominates. I'm personally leaning that the northern stream is going to "cap" just how much room this one has to sneak north. If we can't give ridging enough room to flex ahead of the southern stream that pretty well limits potential. Recent runs have pushed snow a little further north into NVA, and I could see that continue a little bit. But it may not translate up the coast for the reason you mention. The precipitation edge seems to be running more east-west instead of northeast up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Nammy caving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Nammy caving Oops 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Oops 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I'll take the two SREF members that give me 10 and 12 inches lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I’m not biting yet. Though I have one eye on it now. Hard to get such a big move close in but it happened in the 2/5/16 event. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I’m not biting yet. Though I have one eye on it now. Hard to get such a big move close in but it happened in the 2/5/16 event. Only 2 18z EPS members have measurable here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I’m not biting yet. Though I have one eye on it now. Hard to get such a big move close in but it happened in the 2/5/16 event. We need a big poo poo from scooter and we have 2015 on our hands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: We need a big poo poo from scooter and we have 2015 on our hands. It’s obeying the old srn s/w rule, but I feel like we might be too far NW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I’m not biting yet. Though I have one eye on it now. Hard to get such a big move close in but it happened in the 2/5/16 event. That was a great event if I recall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I’m somewhat interested…. Still has a lot of work to do… and again… airmass is meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Heavy winter coming...we brace 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s obeying the old srn s/w rule, but I feel like we might be too far NW. We need the northern stream to be weaker and sheared but it isn’t playing ball. That southern vort keeps strengthening but if the northern one does too then it’s prob not enough for us. Chris was talking about the competing forces there earlier and it’s a good way to put it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Wait...some were hoping this system could still make it up here? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 19 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m somewhat interested…. Still has a lot of work to do… and again… airmass is meh Zip zero. Can't wait for it to pass so it stops detracting from Friday dialogue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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