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January 2022 Obs/Disco


NorEastermass128
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We’ve had a lot of years with even warmer starts and warm falls but in years the pattern shifted cold the SSTs responded quickly.  We also have had many snow events in early winter with infernal SSTs.   As usual early in the season the vector is everything for the coast.

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3 hours ago, jbenedet said:

The pacific isn’t our only problem when it comes to the cold this season. Check out our backyard—the Gulf of Maine. Looking and feeling a lot more like Northern Ireland Climo.

A northeast fetch spells rain for a chunk of us with SST’s in the mid to upper 40’s. This going to be a tall bar to get over for the SNE folks (me included) in less-than-great setups/patterns.

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First Arctic front lasting 2 days will upwell cold water.  Same argument every year

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3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

A PD 1 solution might send Ray over the edge permanently. Just furiously writing novels on RNA and lashing out at everybody and anyone.

Wife calling from Uganda wants to known when it will be safe for her and the kids to come back home…as Ray sucks on his car’s exhaust pipe in his garage after printing out his final arrow driven snow map.

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1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Jan 7th going sideways 

It certainly did at 12z today, But i don't care at this point as we've seen how modeling has gone so far this season, All these full blown cutters that were modeled have went thru the shredder by go time, This weekends is a great example of it.

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Just now, dryslot said:

It certainly did at 12z today, But i don't care at this point as we've seen how modeling has gone so far this season, All these full blown cutters that were modeled have went thru the shredder by go time, This weekends is a great example of it.

Yeah, and that one is starting out colder and further east than the upcoming one did at this time range. Not worried about it yet. Models are still flopping a bit on the upcoming system.

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