dryslot Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: No follow up event tho. I think we all know one of these two storms will take over and the other will be washed out into oblivion. Yeah, The spacing is rather short between them, I think we get one of them though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Same for DC? They’re at full season climo or close. They are doing well compared to climo. Winter could end today and it would have been a great season for them in the context of the last several disaster seasons. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Now this is what progressive looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, The spacing is rather short between them, I think we get one of them though. Depends on how things end up, obviously, but yeah if the first one keeps getting slower than the next one will be squashed. If it sped up, the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You’re not seeing the 1-3”? On the GFS? What? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Theres going to be a run on Kleenex . Everyone might be out by the next 12z so hold up on a new thread until everyone can stock up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 21 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Now this is what progressive looks like But even that doesn’t have a raging pac jet slamming against the west coast head on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: But even that doesn’t have a raging pac jet slamming against the west coast head on. Looks like 3 to 4 days of extra inning snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 31 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks kinda OTS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 49 minutes ago, JC-CT said: On the GFS? What? No , in general 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 That would be blizzard conditions for a time along much of the coast all the way from Norfolk to Portland. Close to 50 kt winds with higher gusts in many coastal areas. Massive outages. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Looks kinda OTS? Didn’t want to be the one to say it out loud… An eternity away still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Looks kinda OTS? Looks fine to me, Lot of west members of the mean. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: They are doing well compared to climo. Winter could end today and it would have been a great season for them in the context of the last several disaster seasons. Glad I at least got that right this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks fine to me, Lot of west members of the mean. That 972 just off the elbow me thinks would please many 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Glad I at least got that right this season. What Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What Slightly better than average snowfall in mid Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Looks great for the same area that’s gotten blasted this winter Dude, it's basically 1-8-96...I'll deal with LBSW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Love to see it Bengals 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Love to see it Bengals 80s wx pattern. 80s Bengals. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Love to see it Bengals I figured they could pull that off...just don't trust Tannerhill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: 80s wx pattern. 80s Bengals. Solid underrated post here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 hour ago, dendrite said: But even that doesn’t have a raging pac jet slamming against the west coast head on. Progressive ( you now this just sayn' ..) doesn't mean fast in the sense of packed isohypses resulting in fast flow... Progressive means the L/W and S/W are moving east, faster relative to climo, and that storm tracks propagate right of the predecessor... so if you miss a storm E, the next one misses even farther east.. And models will bully waves in - the flow in the 12 Euro is progressive. The flow in the 18z GFS is pretty neutral. That flow out there (abv), looks neutral, but saturated with gradient. -EPO dump down Pacific-Canada, which will temporarily stall a L/W there.. .and hopefully for storm enthusiasts, splits a separate jet across southern Canada, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: 80s wx pattern. 80s Bengals. Isaac Curtis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, weathafella said: Isaac Curtis Cris Collinsworth feeling like he’s 25 again tonight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Cris Collinsworth feeling like he’s 25 again tonight. Look out ladies. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Anecdotally and perhaps a tall-tail sign ... we used to note back in school that these 'fish hook' mid level troughs tend to be nasty All that energy getting dumped into a pretty confined space. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, RDRY said: All that energy getting dumped into a pretty confined space. Hopefully said confined space isn't the Bay of Fundy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hopefully said confined space isn't the Bay of Fundy. It might be ... It doesn't stop the significance of the signal, nor (probably) the significance of the storm itself if it misses, but try explaining that to anyone that lives between NYC and CAR. I'm confident enough to fire a thread off even at D7.5 which is probably more normal for me, but I cannot get around the risk of this region watching a dream bomb E on radar, despite even adept foresight. I was explaining earlier that that the runs that revert to progressivity bias, whiff... Runs that show that backing off ( and the flow its self slowing enough that S/W have bigger mechanical force in the stream(s)) end up like the 18z-esque. The GEFs ensemble mean is showing dangerous spread west with Cat 4 hurricane pressure depths... there's got to be some solutions in that membership that best even this operational one - wow. I think I'll let the chips fall where they may if the 18z EPS trends favorably... I've been on the fence with this f'cker all day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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