40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 21 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I think we can make a distinction between a Direct cause and a relevant factor. Certainly climate change by itself isn’t causing any particular winter weather event or not. But there are thousands and millions of factors and forces that create the weather and climate changes influencing those, so why there’s no direct causation there’s certainly an influence on our weather all the time when conditions are changing. It doesn’t need to be an either or a conversation I shouldn’t be in my opinion I mean....if this is climate change, than the PNW will love the new weenie world order....hell of a way to run a warming climate out there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Enough with the attribution of a period of meager snowfall to climate change. It's so silly and really quite infantile. The bottom line is that it would have been difficult to get much snow in SNE during a record RNA in 1732. Climate change is very real, but it isn't why it isn't snowing right now. I wasn't talking about "climate change". I was talking about the return to normalcy for snowfalls in New England, where those big SNE snowfall years were an aberration, as were those lackluster years in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, record NNE snows with very little in SNE is not the climatic normal...more snow in NNE is. It was just my prediction for the upcoming January, nothing to do with climate change. Climatic normal meaning more snow for NNE and less for SNE. Just predicting some record snows for NNE and not much for SNE, compared to normal. I'm not trying to take your snow away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Holy cow, 1070 mb. The North American record is 1078. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 hour ago, 78Blizzard said: I wasn't talking about "climate change". I was talking about the return to normalcy for snowfalls in New England, where those big SNE snowfall years were an aberration, as were those lackluster years in NNE. 1 hour ago, 78Blizzard said: It was just my prediction for the upcoming January, nothing to do with climate change. Climatic normal meaning more snow for NNE and less for SNE. Just predicting some record snows for NNE and not much for SNE, compared to normal. I'm not trying to take your snow away. Okay, but surely you understand why predicting "record snows" anywhere as the climatic norm is a bit confusing....its fine to predict an unfavorable outcome, but that was articulated strangely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 That is a perfectly viable prediction, but it's not climo. Unless you mean in a regression to the mean sense... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: I live how he covers his ass with the "when/where" at the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is a perfectly viable prediction, but it's not climo. Unless you mean in a regression to the mean sense... That is what I meant, but could have stated it better I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: That is what I meant, but could have stated it better I suppose. Gotcha. Hopefully if that happens, I end up north of the gradient because I was also significantly below normal last year, while SNE was raking it in. I have been caught in the middle for several years where as I am N of the goods when SNE gets it, and S of the goods when NNE gets it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Gfs is a bomb for interior sections for the 2nd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs is a bomb for interior sections for the 2nd I heard ....shows 2'-4' for the northeast. Do you have a map to post. It's kind of exciting because it's within 7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I heard ....shows 2'-4' for the northeast. Do you have a map to post. It's kind of exciting because it's within 7 days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Cmc is also way less amped. Ukie also followed suite 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 23 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I heard ....shows 2'-4' for the northeast. Do you have a map to post. It's kind of exciting because it's within 7 days out. In this pattern, it isn't exciting until its within 72 hours. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: In this pattern, it isn't exciting until its within 72 hours. pretty much where I’m at. I’m also totally over the quarter inch or half inch snowfalls. If that’s what we are going to get, I’m all set, I’d rather it just be warm and sunny 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: pretty much where I’m at. I’m also totally over the quarter inch or half inch snowfalls. If that’s what we are going to get, I’m all set, I’d rather it just be warm and sunny Yea, if you noticed....I checked out this week.....didn't care to blog on 2" in CT, a slight glaze Xmas AM, or a supposed inch or two in this area this AM. Mother nature can take the nuisance waves, sit on them and rotate. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 No question that Euro's lame, mild, boring ass solution will be closer to reality.....what a swallow-an-uzi evolution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 3 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I heard ....shows 2'-4' for the northeast. Do you have a map to post. It's kind of exciting because it's within 7 days out. Well 8-9 days and the euro is a rain event but neither solution has merit one way or the other this far out. I’d be exited if we were 96 hours and the solution was stable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Looking at GEPS,GEFS,EPS I see us transitioning out of this dogshit pattern around New Year’s Day give or take a day or 2. Now it’s not impossible that we’ll get something meaningful before then but to me the pattern looks great beyond around 1/5. Let’s hope it doesn’t get pushed back! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No question that Euro's lame, mild, boring ass solution will be closer to reality.....what a swallow-an-uzi evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No question that Euro's lame, mild, boring ass solution will be closer to reality.....what a swallow-an-uzi evolution. LOL Breathe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 The pattern change is kicked off with a major storm Jan 2nd 3rd. Looking good going forward finally 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Absolutely nothing to look forward to wxwise for now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Absolutely nothing to look forward to wxwise for now Yeah it's pretty crappy. The Gfs is way too gung-ho on these snowy solutions and it means nothing when it's 3+ days out. 9 out of 10 times the warmest, least snowy model wins 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 10 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Yeah it's pretty crappy. The Gfs is way too gung-ho on these snowy solutions and it means nothing when it's 3+ days out. 9 out of 10 times the warmest, least snowy model wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 46 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: The pattern change is kicked off with a major storm Jan 2nd 3rd. Looking good going forward finally Almost there buddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 0z eps brings the PNA to neutral by the 10th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 13 hours ago, MJO812 said: So now that my call for a -NAO brought record warmth, let’s see if I can make my call correct with a completely different pattern. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: So now that my call for a -NAO brought record warmth, let’s see if I can make my call correct with a completely different pattern. Button pushet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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