Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: My dad estimated 4-5 inches where they are in Marshfield. Said he had about an inch in the last hour so probably more now. He's got the Jack Jack Jack..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Have fun frolicking in the fields with -20 degree wind chills...I'd rather dodge puddles and be comfortable. Again, if I had a respectable snow pack, maybe I would feel differently. At this latitude, midwinter rain equals ice rink follow-up. No thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I noted that same subtle tendency....those are the higher end "hybrids" that I was alluding to...like Feb 2013, 1978 etc. Feb 1978 is indeed a hybrid, though many don't consider as such bc the s stream SW was so minor, but technically it is. I remember Will debated me on that before. Yeah for all intents and purposes, '78 was a Miller B...there's really no binary answer on most of these because we are able to observe a fart swirl in the low levels a lot better than we did back in the 1940s when the designations came out in the Miller paper. I would say Feb '13 was more of a hybrid than '78 was...but both were very northern stream dominant which is why they went insane on SNE. You could say the same thing for January 12, 2011 too. Like, technically there's a swirl down off FL as the storm approaches from the west, but do we really care that much when the dominant low is in the OH valley at first? That's kind of the distinction Miller made in his paper too....talking about a dominant low inland in the OH valley yielding to cyclogenesis on the east coast. I think that's really the spirit of the definition. Anyways, enough of the semantics before I derail the thread further. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: He's got the Jack Jack Jack..... Family in marshfield says 6+ now and snowing 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Day 9??. Ok I will bite. Will saying we won't get to normal snow this year is interesting seeing as we are in the climo bombs period for the next 8 weeks. Hope he is wrong. February will be a battle zone. Hopefully we get a 3 day overrunning. There have been 20 winters which filled the bucket to bring me to normal from my current 21 inches to my average 56 . Snow from Jan 27th on. I will take those odds and say we normal by April 30th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, LaGrangewx said: Family in marshfield says 6+ now and snowing NWS fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Day 9??. Ok I will bite. Will saying we won't get to normal snow this year is interesting seeing as we are in the climo bombs period for the next 8 weeks. Hope he is wrong. February will be a battle zone. Hopefully we get a 3 day overrunning. There have been 20 winters which filled the bucket to bring me to normal from my current 21 inches to my average 56 . Snow from Jan 27th on. I will take those odds and say we normal by April 30th You have a much better chance to reach normal than I do (I already specifically mentioned that CT has a better shot)....you already have more snow than me on the year and your climo is lower. For a place like here that barely has 15" and needs another 50 to reach climo is much bleaker....it's possible, but odds are stacked against it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You have a much better chance to reach normal than I do (I already specifically mentioned that CT has a better shot)....you already have more snow than me on the year and your climo is lower. For a place like here that barely has 15" and needs another 50 to reach climo is much bleaker....it's possible, but odds are stacked against it. You average the same as this area and Union/ NE CT ? We are at ~20” YTD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You average the same as this area and Union/ NE CT ? We are at ~20” YTD I likely avg around 65 here...and I'm around 15 so far. 50" is a heavy lift from here on out. Not impossible but unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah for all intents and purposes, '78 was a Miller B...there's really no binary answer on most of these because we are able to observe a fart swirl in the low levels a lot better than we did back in the 1940s when the designations came out in the Miller paper. I would say Feb '13 was more of a hybrid than '78 was...but both were very northern stream dominant which is why they went insane on SNE. You could say the same thing for January 12, 2011 too. Like, technically there's a swirl down off FL as the storm approaches from the west, but do we really care that much when the dominant low is in the OH valley at first? That's kind of the distinction Miller made in his paper too....talking about a dominant low inland in the OH valley yielding to cyclogenesis on the east coast. I think that's really the spirit of the definition. Anyways, enough of the semantics before I derail the thread further. Fair enough. I haven't read the literature, so if that is the distinction that he made, then so be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Had to take a weenie drive. You go from a coating to about 5” in maybe 3-4 miles. Crazy gradient. Makes me want to camp out on a frozen cranberry bog by myself like Bear Grylls. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 25 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You have a much better chance to reach normal than I do (I already specifically mentioned that CT has a better shot)....you already have more snow than me on the year and your climo is lower. For a place like here that barely has 15" and needs another 50 to reach climo is much bleaker....it's possible, but odds are stacked against it. Yea you mentioned sw CT. Hope everyone gets there. The Incessant negative Nellie's need a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Had to take a weenie drive. You go from a coating to about 5” in maybe 3-4 miles. Crazy gradient. Makes me want to camp out on a frozen cranberry bog by myself like Bear Grylls. Lol pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol pics? Ignoring the road salt smear, but perfect dendrites. This stuff is Jspin fluff. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Frigid. 313 PM EST Fri Jan 21 2022 ...Bitterly cold temperatures are forecast for the North Country tonight... Another round of cold temperatures are expected tonight with low temperatures generally dipping to between 10 and 30 below zero. Although winds will be light to calm, protect against hypothermia and expect to need multiple layers of clothing if heading outdoors. Running or even a brisk walk in these conditions could result in frost bite on exposed skin. Damn. If this were a full out torch there would be dozens of posts from the usually heat mizer, torch tiger,Ct rain types. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Ignoring the road salt smear, but perfect dendrites. This stuff is Jspin fluff. When it stops tomorrow it’ll go from 12” to 3.5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Had to take a weenie drive. You go from a coating to about 5” in maybe 3-4 miles. Crazy gradient. Makes me want to camp out on a frozen cranberry bog by myself like Bear Grylls. Had maybe about 2 inches here where I am in Pembroke. Like being in a snow globe all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 -20 to -30 isn’t that big of a deal in the Coos pits. They used to pull that every winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: When it stops tomorrow it’ll go from 12” to 3.5” It’s so fluffy lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Caught up with this thread. Looks like euro has a repeat of MLK and Kevin says 4-8” Tuesday. All is well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s so fluffy lol. Lake effect and upslope . All the same stuff. I bet people are using leaf blowers to clear . Still awesome though . That area gets screwed in so many ways in winter so it’s good for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 18z GFS looking healthier for Tuesday. Hopefully we can all bow to Rev Kev’s 4-8” when the time comes. I’m still skeptical but I’ve been keeping an eye on that southern stream. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Lol.. Wee Willie Winky and Scoots using my own tactics against me . Good stuff Snowy Tuesday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Had to take a weenie drive. You go from a coating to about 5” in maybe 3-4 miles. Crazy gradient. Makes me want to camp out on a frozen cranberry bog by myself like Bear Grylls. It was pretty wild… our work building is right on the carver Plymouth line in front of the airport…. Was 2+ inches of snow when I left work at noon and a few miles west by the time I was getting on 44, didn’t even have evidence of snow. Very local. Cool stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol.. Wee Willie Winky and Scoots using my own tactics against me . Good stuff Snowy Tuesday I just realized something. I'm not sure if I am proud or scared by it. I went down to see some cool mesoscale effects and snow, suddenly I feel happier. Even though I am home and it looks like a Chernobyl landscape outside...was nice to see. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 22 minutes ago, dendrite said: -20 to -30 isn’t that big of a deal in the Coos pits. They used to pull that every winter. If I get -20 I assume they will be -35 at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ignoring the road salt smear, but perfect dendrites. This stuff is Jspin fluff. Scooter shit streaks on the windshield now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 957MB over ack on the 18z GFS on the 30th, That should work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 That 45" over Rays head is cute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Frigid. 313 PM EST Fri Jan 21 2022 ...Bitterly cold temperatures are forecast for the North Country tonight... Another round of cold temperatures are expected tonight with low temperatures generally dipping to between 10 and 30 below zero. Although winds will be light to calm, protect against hypothermia and expect to need multiple layers of clothing if heading outdoors. Running or even a brisk walk in these conditions could result in frost bite on exposed skin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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