CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Bring it. End this shit. 1 1 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It’ll change. That’s the thing about the weeklies. They seem to be less than reliable. But that’s a pretty strong signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Personally I would love 4/1/97. That said we already had 25" at Logan that year. Need to have a good stretch to get near there this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 March 2012 walking in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Personally I would love 4/1/97. That said we already had 25" at Logan that year. Need to have a good stretch to get near there this year. Logan is at 12 or 13 inches now? Climo from here on out is prob like 28-30”. So they need less than half that to reach 25”. 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: March 2012 walking in? I’ll go out on a limb and predict a once every 4 or 5 decade type March probably won’t happen. 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Bring it. End this shit. Ain’t happening. That would be way too easy. You know the CFS will probably be more correct about February and we’ll get tortured to death instead of just pulling the plug. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 got to warm our sea temps early to get our 38 in September 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 the 24th is really gearing up to whiff so bad that the 26th is a cutter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Logan is at 12 or 13 inches now? Climo from here on out is prob like 28-30”. So they need less than half that to reach 25”. I’ll go out on a limb and predict a once every 4 or 5 decade type March probably won’t happen. Ain’t happening. That would be way too easy. You know the CFS will probably be more correct about February and we’ll get tortured to death instead of just pulling the plug. OK. Logan is actually doing better this locale, we're a bit under that. Even so personally I would not bet on making 25" here. 4/1/97 still didn't make it a memorable winter, it was a very memorable storm in an otherwise very forgettable winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: the 24th is really gearing up to whiff so bad that the 26th is a cutter Southern stream actually takes a perfect track for us on the 18z gfs but it decides to screw us by having the northern stream lead a weak low over us and rob the baroclinic zone and antecedent airmass. That is perfectly on par for this winter though…ruin a good large scale setup because of some bizarre nuance. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, JC-CT said: the 24th is really gearing up to whiff so bad that the 26th is a cutter The 26th will be a perfectly normal cold and dry day in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Logan is at 12 or 13 inches now? Climo from here on out is prob like 28-30”. So they need less than half that to reach 25”. I’ll go out on a limb and predict a once every 4 or 5 decade type March probably won’t happen. Ain’t happening. That would be way too easy. You know the CFS will probably be more correct about February and we’ll get tortured to death instead of just pulling the plug. I fully expect Aqua Net, Camaro's and White Snake for the rest of the season. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 hour ago, CT Rain said: Right? Oof. Ray and I were discussing this and how the 'typical la nina + E QBO' tends to finish strong, but I had/have reservations because: those climate signals were prior to hell breaking loose on Earth, to put it wildly romantic LOL. Winters have sported eerily hot spells in February's and March's... regardless of ENSO state, recurrent leitmotifs now some 7 years and counting. Perhaps lost in the din because yeah...there's been big snow storms dappled there too, but .. these runs on 80 in Feb are getting a bit disconcertingly connected to the elephant in the room ( imho - )... I've been wondering if apparent disconnect that's increasingly decoupling the ENSO with the circulation mode, might bring an early end one of these times in a bit more of a historic fashion. If we can tap 75 like we did those years... we can definitely do it in that Weekly - assuming a modicum of verification. Time will tell... Also waiting on a correlated SSW ... should that finally take place that may not be yet absorbing into the Weeklies' 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I fully expect Aqua Net, Camaro's and White Snake for the rest of the season. Maybe we can get a resurgence of good/cheesy John Hughes type films at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Looks like that 12z GFS BECS is going to quietly head out to Bermuda a day earlier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Will, do you have any snow left? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Best you can ask for right now, is to see some sort of persistent signals, on the ensembles, for that period around the last weekend of January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I fully expect Aqua Net, Camaro's and White Snake for the rest of the season. So cold I can’t even make a hand print on my hypercolor shirt. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: So cold I can’t even make a hand print on my hypercolor shirt. Funyuns, Poprocks, and Jolt soda all around 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Well, no matter what happens going forward, we are going to take advantage of winter activities when we can. Need some work but we are laying out some sled options in the backyard. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Let’s end winter early so we can enjoy dead tree mud season for 4 months? Not sure that makes sense. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Heh.. not in contrary to that sentiment at all, but I think these 'bizarre nuances' are really not so bizarre/abnormal to a fast, speed saturated hemisphere. It's like splintering and shearing wave mechanics into 'pearling' in that sense... It's hard for any fluid medium to consolidate bigger organized systems in fast flows. There's a larger number smaller perturbations that aggregate the same torque budget. It just that once that wave number ( S/W count ) gets to large, this interference stuff becomes the norm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 I can't believe we may go through this stretch without getting a good snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 It’s gonna torture us, whatever it decides to do. That seems a given. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, EastonSN+ said: I can't believe we may go through this stretch without getting a good snowstorm. Ya, that would be tough to take. If that happens, then this may very well be a rat. We’ll know in 10 days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 That ridge for February could easily give widespread 70s for multiple days even. Maybe even an 80F reading nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Clipper next week looks good for NNE but I can see why the SNE gang is not talking about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 13 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Let’s end winter early so we can enjoy dead tree mud season for 4 months? Not sure that makes sense. Bob says that SE MA doesn’t get a mud season. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 14 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Let’s end winter early so we can enjoy dead tree mud season for 4 months? Not sure that makes sense. Leaf out in April. No mud season for some of us. Even if MLB is closed there’s baseball somewhere nearby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Bob says that SE MA doesn’t get a mud season. We mud, but now freezing again. I sure do mud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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